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The wealth of data being gathered about humans and their surroundings drives new machine learning applications in various fields. Consequently, more and more often, classifiers are trained using not only numerical data but also complex data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Maciej Piernik , Dariusz Brzezinski , Pawel Zawadzki

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is frequently used to analyze the influence of uncertain parameters in mathematical models and simulations. In principle, tools from GSA may be extended to analyze the influence of parameters in statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-29 Joseph Hart , Julie Bessac , Emil Constantinescu

In this paper, we address the "black-box" problem in predictive process analytics by building interpretable models that are capable to inform both what and why is a prediction. Predictive process analytics is a newly emerged discipline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Bemali Wickramanayake , Zhipeng He , Chun Ouyang , Catarina Moreira , Yue Xu , Renuka Sindhgatta

Interpretable machine learning offers insights into what factors drive a certain prediction of a black-box system. A large number of interpreting methods focus on identifying explanatory input features, which generally fall into two main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Vy Vo , Van Nguyen , Trung Le , Quan Hung Tran , Gholamreza Haffari , Seyit Camtepe , Dinh Phung

Understanding the inner workings of complex machine learning models is a long-standing problem and most recent research has focused on local interpretability. To assess the role of individual input features in a global sense, we explore the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Ian Covert , Scott Lundberg , Su-In Lee

Global sensitivity analysis aims at quantifying the impact of input variability onto the variation of the response of a computational model. It has been widely applied to deterministic simulators, for which a set of input parameters has a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-01 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

It is becoming increasingly important for machine learning methods to make predictions that are interpretable as well as accurate. In many practical applications, it is of interest which features and feature interactions are relevant to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-09 Viktoriya Krakovna , Jiong Du , Jun S. Liu

For nonlinear supervised learning models, assessing the importance of predictor variables or their interactions is not straightforward because it can vary in the domain of the variables. Importance can be assessed locally with sensitivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Topi Paananen , Michael Riis Andersen , Aki Vehtari

The most popular methods for measuring importance of the variables in a black box prediction algorithm make use of synthetic inputs that combine predictor variables from multiple subjects. These inputs can be unlikely, physically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Masayoshi Mase , Art B. Owen , Benjamin B. Seiler

Random forests have been widely used for their ability to provide so-called importance measures, which give insight at a global (per dataset) level on the relevance of input variables to predict a certain output. On the other hand, methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 Antonio Sutera , Gilles Louppe , Van Anh Huynh-Thu , Louis Wehenkel , Pierre Geurts

We investigate an application in the automatic tuning of computer codes, an area of research that has come to prominence alongside the recent rise of distributed scientific processing and heterogeneity in high-performance computing…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-17 Robert B. Gramacy , Matt Taddy , Stefan M. Wild

This paper proposes a new method for interpreting and simplifying a black box model of a deep random forest (RF) using a proposed rule elimination. In deep RF, a large number of decision trees are connected to multiple layers, thereby…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Sangwon Kim , Mira Jeong , Byoung Chul Ko

In many cases, feature selection is often more complicated than identifying a single subset of input variables that would together explain the output. There may be interactions that depend on contextual information, i.e., variables that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-13 Antonio Sutera , Gilles Louppe , Vân Anh Huynh-Thu , Louis Wehenkel , Pierre Geurts

Variable selection for Gaussian process models is often done using automatic relevance determination, which uses the inverse length-scale parameter of each input variable as a proxy for variable relevance. This implicitly determined…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-24 Topi Paananen , Juho Piironen , Michael Riis Andersen , Aki Vehtari

Assured AI in unrestricted settings is a critical problem. Our framework addresses AI assurance challenges lying at the intersection of domain adaptation, fairness, and counterfactuals analysis, operating via the discovery and intervention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 William Paul , Philippe Burlina

Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

Neural classifiers are non linear systems providing decisions on the classes of patterns, for a given problem they have learned. The output computed by a classifier for each pattern constitutes an approximation of the output of some unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Stavros P. Adam , Aristidis C. Likas

Black box models only provide results for deep learning tasks, and lack informative details about how these results were obtained. Knowing how input variables are related to outputs, in addition to why they are related, can be critical to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Sichao Li , Amanda Barnard

Traditionally, the sensitivity analysis of a Bayesian network studies the impact of individually modifying the entries of its conditional probability tables in a one-at-a-time (OAT) fashion. However, this approach fails to give a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

We introduce a variable importance measure to quantify the impact of individual input variables to a black box function. Our measure is based on the Shapley value from cooperative game theory. Many measures of variable importance operate by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Masayoshi Mase , Art B. Owen , Benjamin Seiler