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Accurately forecasting extreme rainfall is notoriously difficult, but is also ever more crucial for society as climate change increases the frequency of such extremes. Global numerical weather prediction models often fail to capture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-24 Ilan Price , Stephan Rasp

Machine learning for weather prediction increasingly relies on ensemble methods to provide probabilistic forecasts. Diffusion-based models have shown strong performance in Limited-Area Modeling (LAM) but remain computationally expensive at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Erik Larsson , Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

Modeling the risk of extreme weather events in a changing climate is essential for developing effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Although the available low-resolution climate models capture different scenarios, accurate risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-06 Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

Learning from expert demonstrations is a promising approach for training robotic manipulation policies from limited data. However, imitation learning algorithms require a number of design choices ranging from the input modality, training…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Eugenio Chisari , Nick Heppert , Max Argus , Tim Welschehold , Thomas Brox , Abhinav Valada

Extreme streamflow is a key indicator of flood risk, and quantifying the changes in its distribution under non-stationary climate conditions is key to mitigating the impact of flooding events. We propose a non-stationary process mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-08 Reetam Majumder , Brian Reich

This report presents the comprehensive implementation, evaluation, and optimization of Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs) and Denoising Diffusion Implicit Models (DDIMs), which are state-of-the-art generative models. During…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Jaineet Shah , Michael Gromis , Rickston Pinto

Understanding how droughts may change in the future is essential for anticipating and mitigating their adverse impacts. However, robust climate projections require large amounts of high-resolution climate simulations, particularly for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-29 Hamish Lewis , Neelesh Rampal , Peter B. Gibson , Luke J. Harrington , Chiara M. Holgate , Anna Ukkola , Nicola M. Maher

This study develops a neural network-based approach for emulating high-resolution modeled precipitation data with comparable statistical properties but at greatly reduced computational cost. The key idea is to use combination of low- and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Jiali Wang , Zhengchun Liu , Ian Foster , Won Chang , Rajkumar Kettimuthu , Rao Kotamarthi

In this study we develop dimension-reduction techniques to accelerate diffusion model inference in the context of synthetic data generation. The idea is to integrate compressed sensing into diffusion models (hence, CSDM): First, compress…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Zhengyi Guo , Jiatu Li , Wenpin Tang , David D. Yao

The ocean interior regulates Earth's climate but remains sparsely observed due to limited in situ measurements, while satellite observations are restricted to the surface. We present a depth-aware generative framework for reconstructing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Niloofar Asefi , Tianning Wu , Ruoying He , Ashesh Chattopadhyay

Complex physical models are the most advanced tools available for producing realistic simulations of the climate system. However, such levels of realism imply high computational cost and restrictions on their use for policymaking and risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Francisco Estrada , Oscar Calderón-Bustamante , Wouter Botzen , Julián A. Velasco , Richard S. J. Tol

Diffusion models are powerful generative models that achieve state-of-the-art performance in image synthesis. However, training them demands substantial amounts of data and computational resources. Continual learning would allow for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Sergi Masip , Pau Rodriguez , Tinne Tuytelaars , Gido M. van de Ven

Accurately quantifying the increased risks of climate extremes requires generating large ensembles of climate realization across a wide range of emissions scenarios, which is computationally challenging for conventional Earth System Models.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-08-22 Mengze Wang , Benedikt Barthel Sorensen , Themistoklis Sapsis

Channel knowledge map (CKM) is a promising technique that enables environment-aware wireless networks by utilizing location-specific channel prior information to improve communication and sensing performance. A fundamental problem for CKM…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Shen Fu , Zijian Wu , Di Wu , Yong Zeng

Various weather modelling problems (e.g., weather forecasting, optimizing turbine placements, etc.) require ample access to high-resolution, highly accurate wind data. Acquiring such high-resolution wind data, however, remains a challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Jacob Schnell , Aditya Makkar , Gunadi Gani , Aniket Srinivasan Ashok , Darren Lo , Mike Optis , Alexander Wong , Yuhao Chen

Effective adaptation and mitigation strategies for climate change require high-resolution projections to inform strategic decision-making. Conventional global climate models, which typically operate at resolutions of 150 to 200 kilometers,…

Accurately quantifying uncertainty in predictions and projections arising from irreducible internal climate variability is critical for informed decision making. Such uncertainty is typically assessed using ensembles produced with physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Parsa Gooya , Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso , Johannes Exenberger

Precipitation remains one of the most challenging climate variables to observe and predict accurately. Existing datasets face intricate trade-offs: gauge observations are relatively trustworthy but sparse, satellites provide global coverage…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-24 Sencan Sun , Congyi Nai , Baoxiang Pan , Wentao Li , Lu Li , Xin Li , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou , Yanluan Lin

Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DPMs) have recently demonstrated impressive results on various generative tasks.Despite its promises, the learned representations of pre-trained DPMs, however, have not been fully understood. In this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Xingyi Yang , Xinchao Wang
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