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This paper studies bandit convex optimization with constraints, where the learner aims to generate a sequence of decisions under partial information of loss functions such that the cumulative loss is reduced as well as the cumulative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Yasunari Hikima

Logarithmic score and information divergence appear in information theory, statistics, statistical mechanics, and portfolio theory. We demonstrate that all these topics involve some kind of optimization that leads directly to regret…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Peter Harremoës

One method to determine whether or not a system of partial differential equations is consistent is to attempt to construct a solution using merely the "algebraic data" associated to the system. In technical terms, this translates to the…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2017-11-13 Richard Gustavson , Omar León Sánchez

We study the problem of making predictions of an adversarially chosen high-dimensional state that are unbiased subject to an arbitrary collection of conditioning events, with the goal of tailoring these events to downstream decision makers.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Georgy Noarov , Ramya Ramalingam , Aaron Roth , Stephan Xie

Standard rational expectations models with an occasionally binding zero lower bound constraint either admit no solutions (incoherence) or multiple solutions (incompleteness). This paper shows that deviations from full-information rational…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-01 Guido Ascari , Sophocles Mavroeidis , Nigel McClung

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-12 Anulekha Dhara , Bikramjit Das , Karthik Natarajan

We consider the mixed regression problem with two components, under adversarial and stochastic noise. We give a convex optimization formulation that provably recovers the true solution, and provide upper bounds on the recovery errors for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-16 Yudong Chen , Xinyang Yi , Constantine Caramanis

Learning with non-modular losses is an important problem when sets of predictions are made simultaneously. The main tools for constructing convex surrogate loss functions for set prediction are margin rescaling and slack rescaling. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-16 Jiaqian Yu , Matthew Blaschko

In the general signal+noise model we construct an empirical Bayes posterior which we then use for uncertainty quantification for the unknown, possibly sparse, signal. We introduce a novel excessive bias restriction (EBR) condition, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Eduard Belitser , Nurzhan Nurushev

Learning with abstention is a key scenario where the learner can abstain from making a prediction at some cost. In this paper, we analyze the score-based formulation of learning with abstention in the multi-class classification setting. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

In this paper, we consider the problem of black-box optimization with noisy feedback revealed in batches, where the unknown function to optimize has a bounded norm in some Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS). We refer to this as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-16 Chenkai Ma , Keqin Chen , Jonathan Scarlett

We study the statistical properties of learning to defer (L2D) to multiple experts. In particular, we address the open problems of deriving a consistent surrogate loss, confidence calibration, and principled ensembling of experts. Firstly,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-24 Rajeev Verma , Daniel Barrejón , Eric Nalisnick

We develop a new approach to obtaining high probability regret bounds for online learning with bandit feedback against an adaptive adversary. While existing approaches all require carefully constructing optimistic and biased loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-02 Chung-Wei Lee , Haipeng Luo , Chen-Yu Wei , Mengxiao Zhang

We present new algorithms for online convex optimization over unbounded domains that obtain parameter-free regret in high-probability given access only to potentially heavy-tailed subgradient estimates. Previous work in unbounded domains…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Jiujia Zhang , Ashok Cutkosky

The predict-then-optimize framework is fundamental in practical stochastic decision-making problems: first predict unknown parameters of an optimization model, then solve the problem using the predicted values. A natural loss function in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Heyuan Liu , Paul Grigas

AUC (area under ROC curve) is an important evaluation criterion, which has been popularly used in many learning tasks such as class-imbalance learning, cost-sensitive learning, learning to rank, etc. Many learning approaches try to optimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Wei Gao , Zhi-Hua Zhou

We give a simple optimistic algorithm for which it is easy to derive regret bounds of $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{t_{\rm mix} SAT})$ after $T$ steps in uniformly ergodic Markov decision processes with $S$ states, $A$ actions, and mixing time parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Ronald Ortner

We present upper and lower bounds for the prediction error of the Lasso. For the case of random Gaussian design, we show that under mild conditions the prediction error of the Lasso is up to smaller order terms dominated by the prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Sara van de Geer

We consider online learning algorithms that guarantee worst-case regret rates in adversarial environments (so they can be deployed safely and will perform robustly), yet adapt optimally to favorable stochastic environments (so they will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Wouter M. Koolen , Peter Grünwald , Tim van Erven

The idea of the restricted mean has been used to establish a significantly improved version of Markov's inequality that does not require any new assumptions. The result immediately extends on Chebyshev's inequalities and Chernoff's bound.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Joan del Castillo
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