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Machine learning in asset pricing typically predicts expected returns as point estimates, ignoring uncertainty. We develop new methods to construct forecast confidence intervals for expected returns obtained from neural networks. We show…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Linda Schilling

In this paper we introduce a multi-agent deep-learning method which trades in the Futures markets based on the US S&P 500 index. The method (referred to as Model A) is an innovation founded on existing well-established machine-learning…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-22 CJ Finnegan , James F. McCann , Salissou Moutari

One of the major advantages in using Deep Learning for Finance is to embed a large collection of information into investment decisions. A way to do that is by means of compression, that lead us to consider a smaller feature space. Several…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Luigi Troiano , Elena Mejuto , Pravesh Kriplani

Stock price prediction has been the focus of a large amount of research but an acceptable solution has so far escaped academics. Recent advances in deep learning have motivated researchers to apply neural networks to stock prediction. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib

We propose and study the integration of sentiment analysis and deep reinforcement learning ensemble algorithms for stock trading by evaluating strategies capable of dynamically altering their active agent given the concurrent market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-21 Andrew Ye , James Xu , Vidyut Veedgav , Yi Wang , Yifan Yu , Daniel Yan , Ryan Chen , Vipin Chaudhary , Shuai Xu

Momentum and mean reversion trading strategies have opposite characteristics. The former is generally better with trending assets, and the latter is generally better with mean reverting assets. Using the Hurst exponent, which classifies…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-24 Y. Chang , C. Lizardi , R. Shah

Cricket is unarguably one of the most popular sports in the world. Predicting the outcome of a cricket match has become a fundamental problem as we are advancing in the field of machine learning. Multiple researchers have tried to predict…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Harsh Mittal , Deepak Rikhari , Jitendra Kumar , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

Prediction of stock groups' values has always been attractive and challenging for shareholders. This paper concentrates on the future prediction of stock market groups. Four groups named diversified financials, petroleum, non-metallic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-26 Mojtaba Nabipour , Pooyan Nayyeri , Hamed Jabani , Amir Mosavi

Bridging the gap between motion models and reality is crucial by using limited data to deploy robots in the real world. Deep learning is expected to be generalized to diverse situations while reducing feature design costs through end-to-end…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Kanata Suzuki , Hiroshi Ito , Tatsuro Yamada , Kei Kase , Tetsuya Ogata

Accurate prediction of price behavior in the foreign exchange market is crucial. This paper proposes a novel approach that leverages technical indicators and deep neural networks. The proposed architecture consists of a Long Short-Term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Sahabeh Saadati , Mohammad Manthouri

Stock trend forecasting is a fundamental task of quantitative investment where precise predictions of price trends are indispensable. As an online service, stock data continuously arrive over time. It is practical and efficient to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Lifan Zhao , Shuming Kong , Yanyan Shen

A very timely issue for economic agent-based models (ABMs) is their empirical estimation. This paper describes a line of research that could resolve the issue by using machine learning techniques, using multi-layer artificial neural…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-21 Sander van der Hoog

In this article, the concepts of transfer and continual learning are introduced. The ensuing review reveals promising approaches for industrial deep transfer learning, utilizing methods of both classes of algorithms. In the field of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Benjamin Maschler , Michael Weyrich

Stock price prediction has been an important research theme both academically and practically. Various methods to predict stock prices have been studied until now. The feature that explains the stock price by a cross-section analysis is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-21 Masaya Abe , Kei Nakagawa

Motion prediction, recently popularized as world models, refers to the anticipation of future agent states or scene evolution, which is rooted in human cognition, bridging perception and decision-making. It enables intelligent systems, such…

Recent times are witnessing rapid development in machine learning algorithm systems, especially in reinforcement learning, natural language processing, computer and robot vision, image processing, speech, and emotional processing and…

Machine learning plays an essential role in preventing financial losses in the banking industry. Perhaps the most pertinent prediction task that can result in billions of dollars in losses each year is the assessment of credit risk (i.e.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-01 Jillian M. Clements , Di Xu , Nooshin Yousefi , Dmitry Efimov

Midterm stock price prediction is crucial for value investments in the stock market. However, most deep learning models are essentially short-term and applying them to midterm predictions encounters large cumulative errors because they…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-06 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Xiao-Yang Liu , Christina Dan Wang

The success of a cross-sectional systematic strategy depends critically on accurately ranking assets prior to portfolio construction. Contemporary techniques perform this ranking step either with simple heuristics or by sorting outputs from…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Daniel Poh , Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

The paradigm of machine learning and artificial intelligence has pervaded our everyday life in such a way that it is no longer an area for esoteric academics and scientists putting their effort to solve a challenging research problem. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-26 Jaydip Sen , Rajdeep Sen , Abhishek Dutta