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This study proposes two new dynamic assignment algorithms to match refugees and asylum seekers to geographic localities within a host country. The first, currently implemented in a multi-year randomized control trial in Switzerland, seeks…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Kirk Bansak , Elisabeth Paulson

Motivated by our collaboration with a major refugee resettlement agency in the U.S., we study a dynamic matching problem where each new arrival (a refugee case) must be matched immediately and irrevocably to one of the static resources (a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Kirk Bansak , Soonbong Lee , Vahideh Manshadi , Rad Niazadeh , Elisabeth Paulson

Employment outcomes of resettled refugees depend strongly on where they are placed inside the host country. Each week, a resettlement agency is assigned a batch of refugees by the United States government. The agency must place these…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Narges Ahani , Paul Gölz , Ariel D. Procaccia , Alexander Teytelboym , Andrew C. Trapp

The Swiss State Secretariat for Migration recently announced a pilot project for a machine learning-based assignment process for refugee resettlement. This approach has the potential to substantially increase the overall employment rate of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Nils Olberg , Sven Seuken

Artificial intelligence researchers have proposed various data-driven algorithms to improve the processes that match individuals experiencing homelessness to scarce housing resources. It remains unclear whether and how these algorithms are…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Caroline M. Johnston , Olga Koumoundouros , Angel Hsing-Chi Hwang , Laura Onasch-Vera , Eric Rice , Phebe Vayanos

Ensuring that refugees and asylum seekers thrive (e.g., find employment) in their host countries is a profound humanitarian goal, and a primary driver of employment is the geographic location within a host country to which the refugee or…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Daniel Freund , Thodoris Lykouris , Elisabeth Paulson , Bradley Sturt , Wentao Weng

We study variants of the Optimal Refugee Resettlement problem where a set $F$ of refugee families need to be allocated to a set $L$ of possible places of resettlement in a feasible and optimal way. Feasibility issues emerge from the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Jiehua Chen , Ildikó Schlotter , Sofia Simola

We introduce a constrained priority mechanism that combines outcome-based matching from machine-learning with preference-based allocation schemes common in market design. Using real-world data, we illustrate how our mechanism could be…

General Economics · Economics 2020-08-13 Avidit Acharya , Kirk Bansak , Jens Hainmueller

We study the problem of an organization that matches agents to objects where agents have preference rankings over objects and the organization uses algorithms to construct a ranking over objects on behalf of each agent. Our new framework…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-12 Terence Highsmith

Predicting forced displacement is an important undertaking of many humanitarian aid agencies, which must anticipate flows in advance in order to provide vulnerable refugees and Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) with shelter, food, and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Katherine Hoffmann Pham , Miguel Luengo-Oroz

This paper investigates how to best compare algorithms for predicting chronic homelessness for the purpose of identifying good candidates for housing programs. Predictive methods can rapidly refer potentially chronic shelter users to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Geoffrey G. Messier , Caleb John , Ayush Malik

A major challenge in data-driven decision-making is accurate policy evaluation-i.e., guaranteeing that a learned decision-making policy achieves the promised benefits. A popular strategy is model-based policy evaluation, which estimates a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Hamsa Bastani , Osbert Bastani , Bryce McLaughlin

In the United States and elsewhere, risk assessment algorithms are being used to help inform criminal justice decision-makers. A common intent is to forecast an offender's ``future dangerousness.'' Such algorithms have been correctly…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-10 Richard A. Berk , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Previous research has investigated the potential of refugee matching for boosting refugee outcomes, first considered by Bansak et al. (2018). This paper demonstrates the stability of counterfactual impact evaluation results in the context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Kirk Bansak , Elisabeth Paulson , Dominik Rothenhäusler , Jeremy Ferwerda , Jens Hainmueller , Michael Hotard

The United States has introduced a special humanitarian parole process for Ukrainian citizens in response to Russia 2022 invasion of Ukraine. To qualify for parole, Ukrainian applicants must have a sponsor in the United States. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-11 Fatemeh Farajzadeh , Ryan B. Killea , Alexander Teytelboym , Andrew C. Trapp

The algorithmic fairness of predictive analytic tools in the public sector has increasingly become a topic of rigorous exploration. While instruments pertaining to criminal recidivism and academic admissions, for example, have garnered much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Jordan Purdy , Brian Glass

Deploying an algorithmically informed policy is a significant intervention in society. Prominent methods for algorithmic fairness focus on the distribution of predictions at the time of training, rather than the distribution of social goods…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Sebastian Zezulka , Konstantin Genin

In this study, we addressed the refugee crisis through two main models. For predicting the ultimate number of refugees, we first established a Logistic Regression Model, but due to the limited data points, its prediction accuracy was…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Yunfei Liu

The effects of the so-called "refugee crisis" of 2015-16 continue to dominate the political agenda in Europe. Migration flows were sudden and unexpected, leaving governments unprepared and exposing significant shortcomings in the field of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-25 Marcello Carammia , Stefano Maria Iacus , Teddy Wilkin

Data-driven algorithmic matching systems promise to help human decision makers make better matching decisions in a wide variety of high-stakes application domains, such as healthcare and social service provision. However, existing systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Adrian Arnaiz-Rodriguez , Nina Corvelo Benz , Suhas Thejaswi , Nuria Oliver , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez
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