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This article demonstrates the possibility of constructing indicators of critical and crisis phenomena in the volatile market of cryptocurrency. For this purpose, the methods of the theory of complex systems such as recurrent analysis of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Andrey Belinskiy

We examine how skewness interacts with kurtosis within the cryptocurrency market. We show that during the COVID-19 pandemic there are more clusters of observations around the two flanks, highlighting the presence of a volatile behavior.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-29 Ariston Karagiorgis , Antonis Ballis , Konstantinos Drakos , Christos Kallandranis

Multifractality in time series analysis characterizes the presence of multiple scaling exponents, indicating heterogeneous temporal structures and complex dynamical behaviors beyond simple monofractal models. In the context of digital…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-16 Stanisław Drożdż , Robert Kluszczyński , Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek

In order to scale transaction rates for deployment across the global web, many cryptocurrencies have deployed so-called "Layer-2" networks of private payment channels. An idealized payment network behaves like a Credit Network, a model for…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Geoffrey Ramseyer , Ashish Goel , David Mazieres

The decentralized international market of currency trading is a prototypical complex system having a highly heterogeneous composition. To understand the hierarchical structure relating the price movement of different currencies in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Abhijit Chakraborty , Soumya Easwaran , Sitabhra Sinha

The level of systemic risk in economic and financial systems is strongly determined by the structure of the underlying networks of interdependent entities that can propagate shocks and stresses. Since changes in network structure imply…

The growth potential of a crypto(currency) project can be measured by the use cases spurred by the underlying technology. However, these projects are usually distributed, with a weak feedback schemes. Hence, a metric that is widely used as…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Maurantonio Caprolu , Roberto Di Pietro , Flavio Lombardi , Elia Onofri

A crucial challenge in network theory is the study of the robustness of a network after facing a sequence of failures. In this work, we propose a dynamical definition of network's robustness based on Information Theory, that considers…

How crypto flows among Bitcoin users is an important question for understanding the structure and dynamics of the cryptoasset at a global scale. We compiled all the blockchain data of Bitcoin from its genesis to the year 2020, identified…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-01 Yoshi Fujiwara , Rubaiyat Islam

The failure of a single link can degrade the operation of a supply network up to the point of complete collapse. Yet, the interplay between network topology and locality of the response to such damage is poorly understood. Here, we study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-22 Julius Strake , Franz Kaiser , Farnaz Basiri , Henrik Ronellenfitsch , Dirk Witthaut

Failure statistics of banks in the US show that their sizes are highly unequal (ranging from a few tens of thousands to over a billion dollars) and also, they come in `waves' of intermittent activities. This motivates a self-organized…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-11 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

Maintaining a balance between returns and volatility is a common strategy for portfolio diversification, whether investing in traditional equities or digital assets like cryptocurrencies. One approach for diversification is the application…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-01 Dimitar Kitanovski , Igor Mishkovski , Viktor Stojkoski , Miroslav Mirchev

The theory of complex networks and of disordered systems is used to study the stability and dynamical properties of a simple model of material flow networks defined on random graphs. In particular we address instabilities that are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Kartik Anand , Tobias Galla

We study the cluster dynamics of multichannel (multivariate) time series by representing their correlations as time-dependent networks and investigating the evolution of network communities. We employ a node-centric approach that allows us…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

Are large biological extinctions such as the Cretaceous/Tertiary KT boundary due to a meteorite, extreme volcanic activity or self-organized critical extinction cascades? Are commercial successes due to a progressive reputation cascade or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 D. Sornette

A Blockchain is a global shared infrastructure where cryptocurrency transactions among addresses are recorded, validated and made publicly available in a peer- to-peer network. To date the best known and important cryptocurrency is the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-09-27 Andrea Pinna , Roberto Tonelli , Matteo Orrú , Michele Marchesi

We study recurrent patterns in volatility and volume for major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ether, using data from two centralized exchanges (Coinbase Pro and Binance) and a decentralized exchange (Uniswap V2). We find systematic patterns…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chan Kim , Wade Kimbrough

We perform a simplified Ethernet traffic simulation in order to clarify the physical mechanism of the phase transition behavior which has been experimentally observed in the flow density fluctuation of Internet traffic. In one phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kensuke Fukuda , Hideki Takayasu , Misako Takayasu

The financial sustainability of a generic supply chain is a complex problem, which can be addressed through detailed monitoring of financial operations deriving from stakeholder interrelationships and consequent analysis of these financial…

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter