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This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

As multimodal data proliferates across diverse real-world applications, leveraging heterogeneous information such as texts and timestamps for accurate time series forecasting (TSF) has become a critical challenge. While diffusion models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Da Zhang , Bingyu Li , Zhuyuan Zhao , Junyu Gao , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

Recent advances in generative modeling have substantially enhanced novel view synthesis, yet maintaining consistency across viewpoints remains challenging. Diffusion-based models rely on stochastic noise-to-data transitions, which obscure…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Xuqin Wang , Tao Wu , Yanfeng Zhang , Lu Liu , Mingwei Sun , Yongliang Wang , Niclas Zeller , Daniel Cremers

Ecosystems are governed by dynamic processes such as competition for resources, reproduction and dispersal. These shape their biodiversity and how the system responds to change. Current approaches to modelling ecosystems, especially plants,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-15 Claire L. Harris , Neil Brummitt , Christina A. Cobbold , Richard Reeve

Diffusion models are a class of probabilistic generative models that have been widely used as a prior for image processing tasks like text conditional generation and inpainting. We demonstrate that these models can be adapted to make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Marc Finzi , Anudhyan Boral , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful frameworks for generating high-quality images. While recent studies have explored their application to time series forecasting, these approaches face significant challenges in cross-modal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Weilin Ruan , Siru Zhong , Haomin Wen , Yuxuan Liang

Given the audio-visual clip of the speaker, facial reaction generation aims to predict the listener's facial reactions. The challenge lies in capturing the relevance between video and audio while balancing appropriateness, realism, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jiaming Li , Sheng Wang , Xin Wang , Yitao Zhu , Honglin Xiong , Zixu Zhuang , Qian Wang

Recent years have seen a surge in interest in building deep learning-based fully data-driven models for weather prediction. Such deep learning models if trained on observations can mitigate certain biases in current state-of-the-art weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Jaideep Pathak , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Wahid Bhimji , Pedram Hassanzadeh

High-resolution time series data are crucial for the operation and planning of energy systems such as electrical power systems and heating systems. Such data often cannot be shared due to privacy concerns, necessitating the use of synthetic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Nan Lin , Peter Palensky , Pedro P. Vergara

Urban spatio-temporal prediction under extreme conditions (e.g., heavy rain) is challenging due to event rarity and dynamics. Existing data-driven approaches that incorporate weather as auxiliary input often rely on coarse-grained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Qian Hong , Siyuan Chang , Xiao Zhou

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Understanding how environmental drivers relate to vegetation condition motivates spatially varying regression models, but estimating a separate coefficient surface for every predictor can yield noisy patterns and poor interpretability when…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Qishi Zhan , Cheng-Han Yu , Yuchi Chen , Zhikang Dong , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi

Diffusion models (DMs) have revolutionized generative learning. They utilize a diffusion process to encode data into a simple Gaussian distribution. However, encoding a complex, potentially multimodal data distribution into a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Yilun Xu , Gabriele Corso , Tommi Jaakkola , Arash Vahdat , Karsten Kreis

By framing reinforcement learning as a sequence modeling problem, recent work has enabled the use of generative models, such as diffusion models, for planning. While these models are effective in predicting long-horizon state trajectories…

Deep learning has revolutionized weather forecasting, but many challenges remain, including climate modeling. Moreover, the current landscape remains fragmented: highly specialized models are typically trained individually for distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Michael Aich , Andreas Fürst , Florian Sestak , Carlos Ruiz-Gonzalez , Niklas Boers , Johannes Brandstetter

Geological parameterization entails the representation of a geomodel using a small set of latent variables and a mapping from these variables to grid-block properties such as porosity and permeability. Parameterization is useful for data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Guido Di Federico , Louis J. Durlofsky

Accurate uncertainty information associated with essential climate variables (ECVs) is crucial for reliable climate modeling and understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of the Earth system. In recent years, geoscience and climate…

Understanding the complex nature of spatial information is crucial for problem solving in social and environmental sciences. This study investigates how the underlying patterns of spatial data can significantly influence the outcomes of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-17 Peng Luo , Yongze Song , Wenwen Li , Liqiu Meng

Visuomotor imitation learning policies enable robots to efficiently acquire manipulation skills from visual demonstrations. However, as scene complexity and visual distractions increase, policies that perform well in simple settings often…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Yuhang Dong , Haizhou Ge , Yupei Zeng , Jiangning Zhang , Beiwen Tian , Hongrui Zhu , Yufei Jia , Ruixiang Wang , Zhucun Xue , Guyue Zhou , Longhua Ma , Guanzhong Tian

Joint species distribution models (JSDM) are among the most important statistical tools in community ecology. They are routinely used for inference and various prediction tasks, such as to build species distribution maps or biomass…