Related papers: A Point on Discrete versus Continuous State-Space …
We investigate the statistical complexity of estimating the parameters of a discrete-state Markov chain kernel from a single long sequence of state observations. In the finite case, we characterize (modulo logarithmic factors) the minimax…
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods asymptotically sample from complex probability distributions. The pseudo-marginal MCMC framework only requires an unbiased estimator of the unnormalized probability distribution function to construct…
This paper considers the efficient estimation of copula-based semiparametric strictly stationary Markov models. These models are characterized by nonparametric invariant (one-dimensional marginal) distributions and parametric bivariate…
We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the…
In this paper we establish a large deviations type estimate for strongly mixing Markov chains with respect to the Lp norm. As applications we derive such estimates for the iterates of a locally constant random cocycle with mixed rank, as…
Copulas allow a flexible and simultaneous modeling of complicated dependence structures together with various marginal distributions. Especially if the density function can be represented as the product of the marginal density functions and…
In this article, a copula-based method for mixed regression models is proposed, where the conditional distribution of the response variable, given covariates, is modelled by a parametric family of continuous or discrete distributions, and…
Estimating copulas with discrete marginal distributions is challenging, especially in high dimensions, because computing the likelihood contribution of each observation requires evaluating $2^{J}$ terms, with $J$ the number of discrete…
We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…
The role of cryptocurrencies within the financial systems has been expanding rapidly in recent years among investors and institutions. It is therefore crucial to investigate the phenomena and develop statistical methods able to capture…
This paper provides a characterization of all possible dependency structures between two stochastically ordered random variables. The answer is given in terms of copulas that are compatible with the stochastic order and the marginal…
In this paper we introduce a bivariate distribution on $\mathbb{R}_{+} \times \mathbb{N}$ arising from a single underlying Markov jump process. The marginal distributions are phase-type and discrete phase-type distributed, respectively,…
Markov networks are popular models for discrete multivariate systems where the dependence structure of the variables is specified by an undirected graph. To allow for more expressive dependence structures, several generalizations of Markov…
In this manuscript, we consider a finite multivariate nonparametric mixture model where the dependence between the marginal densities is modeled using the copula device. Pseudo EM stochastic algorithms were recently proposed to estimate all…
This paper brings some insights of $\psi'$-mixing, $\psi^*$-mixing and $\psi$-mixing for copula-based Markov chains and the perturbations of their copulas. We provide new tools to check Markov chains for $\psi$-mixing or $\psi'$-mixing, and…
Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…
In this paper we study posterior consistency for different topologies on the parameters for hidden Markov models with finite state space. We first obtain weak and strong posterior consistency for the marginal density function of finitely…
By applying Sklar's theorem to the Multivariate Bernoulli Distribution (MBD), this paper proposes a framework to decouple marginal distributions from the dependence structure, clarifying interactions among binary variables. Explicit…
In this paper we continue the study of conditional Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state spaces, that we initiated in Bielecki, Jakubowski and Niew\k{e}g\l owski (2015). Here, we turn our attention to the study of Markov consistency and…
We propose a copula-based extension of the hidden Markov model (HMM) which applies when the observations recorded at each time in the sample are multivariate. The joint model produced by the copula extension allows decoding of the hidden…