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Mean time to failure in age replacement evaluates the performance and effectiveness of the age replacement policy. In this paper, we propose a test for exponentiality against a trend change in mean time to failure in age replacement. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Muhyiddin Izadi , Sirous Fathimanesh

We propose a nonparametric estimator of the empirical distribution function (EDF) of the latent spot variance of the log-price of a financial asset. We show that over a fixed time span our realized EDF (or REDF) -- inferred from noisy…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-29 Kim Christensen , Martin Thyrsgaard , Bezirgen Veliyev

For the enhancement of the transient stability of power systems, the key is to define a quantitative optimization formulation with system parameters as decision variables. In this paper, we model the disturbances by Gaussian noise and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-14 Xian Wu , Kaihua Xi , Aijie Cheng , Chenghui Zhang , Hai Xiang Lin

We study a one-dimensional lattice random walk with an absorbing boundary at the origin and a movable partial reflector. On encountering the reflector, at site x, the walker is reflected (with probability r) to x-1 and the reflector is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Daniel ben-Avraham

``How long can I live and remain free of cancer?'' is often the first question a patient asks after receiving a cancer diagnosis and treatment. Accurate survival prediction helps alleviate psychological distress and supports risk…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Wenjie Zhao , Jia Li , Mingrui Liu , Jing Wang , Yunhui Guo

We propose Deterministic Sequencing of Exploration and Exploitation (DSEE) algorithm with interleaving exploration and exploitation epochs for model-based RL problems that aim to simultaneously learn the system model, i.e., a Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Piyush Gupta , Vaibhav Srivastava

A variety of statistics based on sample spacings has been studied in the literature for testing goodness-of-fit to parametric distributions. To test the goodness-of-fit to a nonparametric class of univariate shape-constrained densities,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Kwun Chuen Gary Chan , Hok Kan Ling , Chuan-Fa Tang , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

Adversarial robustness has emerged as an important topic in deep learning as carefully crafted attack samples can significantly disturb the performance of a model. Many recent methods have proposed to improve adversarial robustness by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-08 Hao-Yun Chen , Jhao-Hong Liang , Shih-Chieh Chang , Jia-Yu Pan , Yu-Ting Chen , Wei Wei , Da-Cheng Juan

Coping with distributional shifts is an important part of transfer learning methods in order to perform well in real-life tasks. However, most of the existing approaches in this area either focus on an ideal scenario in which the data does…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Luis Pedro Silvestrin , Shujian Yu , Mark Hoogendoorn

A major challenge in studying robustness in deep learning is defining the set of ``meaningless'' perturbations to which a given Neural Network (NN) should be invariant. Most work on robustness implicitly uses a human as the reference model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Vedant Nanda , Till Speicher , Camila Kolling , John P. Dickerson , Krishna P. Gummadi , Adrian Weller

Robust density estimation refers to the consistent estimation of the density function even when the data is contaminated by outliers. We find that existing forest density estimation at a certain point is inherently resistant to the outliers…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-28 Hongwei Wen , Annika Betken , Tao Huang

Machine learning models must continuously self-adjust themselves for novel data distribution in the open world. As the predominant principle, entropy minimization (EM) has been proven to be a simple yet effective cornerstone in existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Qingyang Zhang , Yatao Bian , Xinke Kong , Peilin Zhao , Changqing Zhang

The Cross Entropy method is a well-known adaptive importance sampling method for rare-event probability estimation, which requires estimating an optimal importance sampling density within a parametric class. In this article we estimate an…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Z. I. Botev , A. Ridder , L. Rojas-Nandayapa

This paper develops a robust parametric framework for jump detection in discretely observed CKLS-type jump-diffusion processes with high-frequency asymptotics, based on the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). The methodology…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-06 Sourojyoti Barick

We consider goodness-of-fit tests of symmetric stable distributions based on weighted integrals of the squared distance between the empirical characteristic function of the standardized data and the characteristic function of the standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-06 Muneya Matsui , Akimichi Takemura

Empirical modelling often aims for the simplest model consistent with the data. A new technique is presented which quantifies the consistency of the model dynamics as a function of location in state space. As is well-known, traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

We introduce a new approach for comparing the predictive accuracy of two nested models that bypasses the difficulties caused by the degeneracy of the asymptotic variance of forecast error loss differentials used in the construction of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-17 Jean-Yves Pitarakis

We show that some natural output conventions for error-free computation in chemical reaction networks (CRN) lead to a common level of computational expressivity. Our main results are that the standard consensus-based output convention have…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2017-07-11 Robert Brijder , David Doty , David Soloveichik

A new algorithm named EXPected Similarity Estimation (EXPoSE) was recently proposed to solve the problem of large-scale anomaly detection. It is a non-parametric and distribution free kernel method based on the Hilbert space embedding of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-18 Markus Schneider , Wolfgang Ertel , Günther Palm

Conditional density estimation (CDE) goes beyond regression by modeling the full conditional distribution, providing a richer understanding of the data than just the conditional mean in regression. This makes CDE particularly useful in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Lincen Yang , Matthijs van Leeuwen
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