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This paper proposes a spatiotemporal graph neural network-based performance prediction algorithm to address the challenge of forecasting performance fluctuations in distributed backend systems with multi-level service call structures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhihao Xue , Yun Zi , Nia Qi , Ming Gong , Yujun Zou

Since the start of the operational use of ensemble prediction systems, ensemble-based probabilistic forecasting has become the most advanced approach in weather prediction. However, despite the persistent development of the last three…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-05 Sándor Baran , Mária Lakatos

Heatwaves are intensifying worldwide and are among the deadliest weather disasters. The burden falls disproportionately on marginalized populations and the Global South, where under-resourced health systems, exposure to urban heat islands,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Joud El-Shawa , Elham Bagheri , Sedef Akinli Kocak , Yalda Mohsenzadeh

Ensemble weather forecasts enable a measure of uncertainty to be attached to each forecast, by computing the ensemble's spread. However, generating an ensemble with a good spread-error relationship is far from trivial, and a wide range of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-05 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

For joint inference over multiple variables, a variety of structured prediction techniques have been developed to model correlations among variables and thereby improve predictions. However, many classical approaches suffer from one of two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Colin Graber , Alexander Schwing

Recent work on aspect-level sentiment classification has demonstrated the efficacy of incorporating syntactic structures such as dependency trees with graph neural networks(GNN), but these approaches are usually vulnerable to parsing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Xiaochen Hou , Peng Qi , Guangtao Wang , Rex Ying , Jing Huang , Xiaodong He , Bowen Zhou

Traffic forecasting is important for the success of intelligent transportation systems. Deep learning models, including convolution neural networks and recurrent neural networks, have been extensively applied in traffic forecasting problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Weiwei Jiang , Jiayun Luo

This paper addresses the limitations of multi-node perception and delayed scheduling response in distributed systems by proposing a GNN-based multi-node collaborative perception mechanism. The system is modeled as a graph structure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Wenxuan Zhu , Qiyuan Wu , Tengda Tang , Renzi Meng , Sheng Chai , Xuehui Quan

There is a recent surge in the development of spatio-temporal forecasting models in the transportation domain. Long-range traffic forecasting, however, remains a challenging task due to the intricate and extensive spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Zibo Liu , Parshin Shojaee , Chandan K Reddy

Graph matching is a commonly used technique in computer vision and pattern recognition. Recent data-driven approaches have improved the graph matching accuracy remarkably, whereas some traditional algorithm-based methods are more robust to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Haoru Tan , Chuang Wang , Sitong Wu , Xu-Yao Zhang , Fei Yin , Cheng-Lin Liu

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have advanced spatiotemporal forecasting by leveraging relational inductive biases among sensors (or any other measuring scheme) represented as nodes in a graph. However, current methods often rely on Recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Aref Einizade , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros , Jhony H. Giraldo

Although by now the ensemble-based probabilistic forecasting is the most advanced approach to weather prediction, ensemble forecasts still might suffer from lack of calibration and/or display systematic bias, thus require some…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-18 Ágnes Baran , Sándor Baran

By the end of 2021, the renewable energy share of the global electricity capacity reached 38.3% and the new installations are dominated by wind and solar energy, showing global increases of 12.7% and 18.5%, respectively. However, both wind…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-18 Ágnes Baran , Sándor Baran

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks have shown to be effective in time series forecasting applications, achieving better performance than standard univariate predictors in several settings. These architectures take advantage of a graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Nowadays, weather forecasts are commonly generated by ensemble forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models. However, such forecasts are usually miscalibrated and/or biased, thus require statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-13 David Jobst

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi

Capturing the uncertainty in probabilistic wind power forecasts is challenging, especially when uncertain input variables, such as the weather, play a role. Since ensemble weather predictions aim to capture the uncertainty in the weather…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-26 Kaleb Phipps , Sebastian Lerch , Maria Andersson , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer , Nicole Ludwig

Learning spatio-temporal patterns of polar ice layers is crucial for monitoring the change in ice sheet balance and evaluating ice dynamic processes. While a few researchers focus on learning ice layer patterns from echogram images captured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Zesheng Liu , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

This study aims to improve the accuracy of weather predictions by discovering spatial correlations between Earth observations and atmospheric states. Existing numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems predict future atmospheric states at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

Probabilistic weather forecasts from ensemble systems require statistical postprocessing to yield calibrated and sharp predictive distributions. This paper presents an area-covering postprocessing method for ensemble precipitation…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Lea Friedli , David Ginsbourger , Jonas Bhend