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Conformal prediction is a distribution-free and model-agnostic uncertainty-quantification method that provides finite-sample prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. In this work, for the first time, we apply conformal-prediction to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-02-02 Habib Yousefi Dezdarani , Ryan Curry , Alexandros Gezerlis

Delay-Tolerant Networks (DTN) enable store-carry-and-forward data transmission in networks challenged by frequent disruptions and high latency. Existing classification distinguishes between scheduled and probabilistic DTNs, for which…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Fernando D. Raverta , Juan A. Fraire , Pablo G. Madoery , Ramiro A. Demasi , Jorge M. Finochietto , Pedro R. D'Argenio

We present an application of conformal prediction, a form of uncertainty quantification with guarantees, to the detection of railway signals. State-of-the-art architectures are tested and the most promising one undergoes the process of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-27 Léo Andéol , Thomas Fel , Florence De Grancey , Luca Mossina

Measurement of uncertainty of predictions from machine learning methods is important across scientific domains and applications. We present, to our knowledge, the first such technique that quantifies the uncertainty of predictions from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-04 Alex Hagen , Karl Pazdernik , Nicole LaHaye , Marjolein Oostrom

This paper considers a wireless network where multiple flows are delivering status updates about their respective information sources. An end user aims to make accurate real-time estimations about the status of each information source using…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-01-31 Daojing Guo , I-Hong Hou

Nearly all spatial reasoning problems involve uncertainty of one sort or another. Uncertainty arises due to the inaccuracies of sensors used in measuring distances and angles. We refer to this as directional uncertainty. Uncertainty also…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Kenneth Basye , Thomas L. Dean

Trustworthy decision making in networked, dynamic environments calls for innovative uncertainty quantification substrates in predictive models for graph time series. Existing conformal prediction (CP) methods have been applied separately to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sonakshi Dua , Gonzalo Mateos , Sundeep Prabhakar Chepuri

To manage and maintain large-scale cellular networks, operators need to know which sectors underperform at any given time. For this purpose, they use the so-called hot spot score, which is the result of a combination of multiple network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-19 Joan Serrà , Ilias Leontiadis , Alexandros Karatzoglou , Konstantina Papagiannaki

Conformal prediction is a model-agnostic approach to generating prediction sets that cover the true class with a high probability. Although its prediction set size is expected to capture aleatoric uncertainty, there is a lack of evidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Misgina Tsighe Hagos , Claes Lundström

Uncertainty quantification is essential for scientific analysis, as it allows for the evaluation and interpretation of variability and reliability in complex systems and datasets. In their original form, multivariate statistical regression…

Given that machine learning algorithms are increasingly being deployed to aid in high stakes decision-making, uncertainty quantification methods that wrap around these black box models such as conformal prediction have received much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Kayla E. Scharfstein , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Computer network tends to be subjected to the proliferation of mobile demands and increasingly multifarious, therefore it poses a great challenge to guarantee the quality of network service. By designing the model according to different…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Yue Hong Gao , Xiao Hong , Hao Tian Yang , Lu Chen , Xiao Nan Zhang

To improve the uncertainty quantification of variance networks, we propose a novel tree-structured local neural network model that partitions the feature space into multiple regions based on uncertainty heterogeneity. A tree is built upon…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Wenxuan Ma , Xing Yan , Kun Zhang

Pervasive applications over large-scale, distributed embedded devices and the Internet of Things (IoT) demand precise coordination with the network; for example, several such applications, like collaborative video streaming and live…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Argha Sen , Ayan Zunaid , Soumyajit Chatterjee , Basabdatta Palit , Sandip Chakraborty

Achieving connectivity reliability is one of the significant challenges for 5G and beyond 5G cellular networks. The present understanding of reliability in the context of mobile communication does not adequately cover the stochastic…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Subhyal Bin Iqbal , Behnam Khodapanah , Philipp Schulz , Gerhard P. Fettweis

We study the problem of uncertainty quantification for time series prediction, with the goal of providing easy-to-use algorithms with formal guarantees. The algorithms we present build upon ideas from conformal prediction and control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Emmanuel J. Candes , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Safe deployment of deep neural networks in high-stake real-world applications requires theoretically sound uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) is a principled framework for uncertainty quantification of deep models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Subhankar Ghosh , Taha Belkhouja , Yan Yan , Janardhan Rao Doppa

Optical Wireless Communication (OWC) has gained significant attention due to its high-speed data transmission and throughput. Optical wireless channels are often assumed to be flat, but we evaluate frequency selective channels to consider…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Dianxin Luan , John Thompson

Online learning with expert advice is widely used in various machine learning tasks. It considers the problem where a learner chooses one from a set of experts to take advice and make a decision. In many learning problems, experts may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Pouya M Ghari , Yanning Shen

The uncertainty quantification of prediction models (e.g., neural networks) is crucial for their adoption in many robotics applications. This is arguably as important as making accurate predictions, especially for safety-critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Junan Chen , Josephine Monica , Wei-Lun Chao , Mark Campbell