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The Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimator is among the most popular nonparameteric regression technique thanks to its simplicity. Its asymptotic bias has been studied by Rosenblatt in 1969 and has been reported in a number of related literature.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-31 Samuele Tosatto , Riad Akrour , Jan Peters

We consider generic stochastic optimization problems in the presence of side information which enables a more insightful decision. The side information constitutes observable exogenous covariates that alter the conditional probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Prateek R. Srivastava , Yijie Wang , Grani A. Hanasusanto , Chin Pang Ho

Generative models are often conditioned on a small set of examples via cross-attention. Under the Gaussian optimal-transport path, we show that the exact velocity field induced by a finite support set is a Nadaraya--Watson kernel smoother…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Daniel Matsui Smola

We present a kernel-based stochastic approximation (KBSA) framework for solving contextual stochastic optimization problems with differentiable objective functions. The framework only relies on system output estimates and can be applied to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Hao Cao , Jian-Qiang Hu , Jiaqiao Hu

It is by now well-established that modern over-parameterized models seem to elude the bias-variance tradeoff and generalize well despite overfitting noise. Many recent works attempt to analyze this phenomenon in the relatively tractable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Daniel Barzilai , Ohad Shamir

Needlets have been recognized as state-of-the-art tools to tackle spherical data, due to their excellent localization properties in both spacial and frequency domains. This paper considers developing kernel methods associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-11 Shaobo Lin

We study nonparametric regression and classification for path-valued data. We introduce a functional Nadaraya-Watson estimator that combines the signature transform from rough path theory with local kernel regression. The signature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Christian Bayer , Davit Gogolashvili , Luca Pelizzari

Precise asymptotics have revealed many surprises in high-dimensional regression. These advances, however, have not extended to perhaps the simplest estimator: direct Nadaraya-Watson (NW) kernel smoothing. Here, we describe how one can use…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-23 Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

This paper develops a general asymptotic theory for nonparametric kernel regression in the presence of cluster dependence. We examine nonparametric density estimation, Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression, and local linear estimation. Our…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-31 Yuya Shimizu

The celebrated Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimator is among the most studied method for nonparametric regression. A classical result is that its rate of convergence depends on the number of covariates and deteriorates quickly as the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Daniel Conn , Gang Li

Consistent weighted least square estimators are proposed for a wide class of nonparametric regression models with random regression function, where this real-valued random function of $k$ arguments is assumed to be continuous with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Yu. Yu. Linke , I. S. Borisov , P. S. Ruzankin

Route alignment design in surveying and transportation engineering frequently involves fixed waypoint constraints, where a path must precisely traverse specific coordinates. While existing literature primarily relies on geometric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Shiyin Du , Yiting Chen , Wenzhi Yang , Qiong Li , Xiaoping Shi

This paper derives limit properties of nonparametric kernel regression estimators without requiring existence of density for regressors in $\mathbb{R}^{q}.$ In functional regression limit properties are established for multivariate…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-08 Marcia Schafgans , Victoria Zinde-Walsh

We study uncertainty quantification for contextual stochastic optimization, focusing on weighted sample average approximation (wSAA), which uses machine-learned relevance weights based on covariates. Although wSAA is widely used for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Yanyuan Wang , Xiaowei Zhang

In a regression model, we write the Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the regression function as the quotient of two kernel estimators, and propose a bandwidth selection method for both the numerator and the denominator. We prove risk bounds for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-10 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

In this paper we propose a variable bandwidth kernel regression estimator for $i.i.d.$ observations in $\mathbb{R}^2$ to improve the classical Nadaraya-Watson estimator. The bias is improved to the order of $O(h_n^4)$ under the condition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-14 Janet Nakarmi , Hailin Sang , Lin Ge

This paper presents a Bayesian sampling approach to bandwidth estimation for the local linear estimator of the regression function in a nonparametric regression model. In the Bayesian sampling approach, the error density is approximated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Han Lin Shang , Xibin Zhang

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are key for both assessing an estimation algorithm's accuracy and in view of downstream tasks, such as its deployment in safety-critical contexts. In this paper, we derive a tight, non-asymptotic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Amon Lahr , Johannes Köhler , Anna Scampicchio , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Generalization beyond a training dataset is a main goal of machine learning, but theoretical understanding of generalization remains an open problem for many models. The need for a new theory is exacerbated by recent observations in deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-08 Abdulkadir Canatar , Blake Bordelon , Cengiz Pehlevan

Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Johannes Teutsch , Oleksii Molodchyk , Marion Leibold , Timm Faulwasser , Armin Lederer
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