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Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations are widely used in engineering turbulent flow simulations. However, RANS predictions may have large discrepancies due to the uncertainties in modeled Reynolds stresses. Recently, Wang et al.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-09-11 Jin-Long Wu , Heng Xiao , Eric Paterson

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have demonstrated remarkable performance across various domains, including computer vision and natural language processing. However, they often struggle to accurately quantify the uncertainty of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Adrien Lafage , Olivier Laurent , Firas Gabetni , Gianni Franchi

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

In the quest for advanced propulsion and power-generation systems, high-fidelity simulations are too computationally expensive to survey the desired design space, and a new design methodology is needed that combines engineering physics,…

We investigate uncertainty estimation and multimodality via the non-deterministic predictions of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) in fluid simulations. To this end, we deploy BNNs in three challenging experimental test-cases of increasing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-05-04 Maximilian Mueller , Robin Greif , Frank Jenko , Nils Thuerey

Experimental mean flows are commonly used to study wall-bounded turbulence. However, these measurements are often unable to resolve the near-wall region and thus introduce ambiguity in the velocity closest to the wall. This poses a source…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-04 Salvador Rey Gomez , Tomek Jaroslawski

This review is designed to introduce mathematicians and computational scientists to quantum computing (QC) through the lens of uncertainty quantification (UQ) by presenting a mathematically rigorous and accessible narrative for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Ryan Bennink , Olena Burkovska , Konstantin Pieper , Jorge Ramirez , Elaine Wong

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

The existence and dynamical role of particular unstable Navier-Stokes solutions (exact coherent structures) is revealed in laboratory studies of weak turbulence in a thin, electromagnetically-driven fluid layer. We find that the dynamics…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-08-01 Balachandra Suri , Jeffrey Tithof , Roman O. Grigoriev , Michael F. Schatz

Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS)-based transition modeling is widely used in aerospace applications but suffers inaccuracies due to the Boussinesq turbulent viscosity hypothesis. The eigenspace perturbation method can estimate the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-08 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential for creating trustworthy machine learning models. Recent years have seen a steep rise in UQ methods that can flag suspicious examples, however, it is often unclear what exactly these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Hao Sun , Boris van Breugel , Jonathan Crabbe , Nabeel Seedat , Mihaela van der Schaar

Uncertainty estimation bears the potential to make deep learning (DL) systems more reliable. Standard techniques for uncertainty estimation, however, come along with specific combinations of strengths and weaknesses, e.g., with respect to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Jan David Schneider , Fabian Hüger , Peter Schlicht , Tim Wirtz , Stefan Wrobel

With the advancement of GPS, remote sensing, and computational simulations, large amounts of geospatial and spatiotemporal data are being collected at an increasing speed. Such emerging spatiotemporal big data assets, together with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Wenchong He , Zhe Jiang

In complex physical process characterization, such as the measurement of the regression rate for solid hybrid rocket fuels, where both the observation data and the model used have uncertainties originating from multiple sources, combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Georgios Georgalis , Kolos Retfalvi , Paul E. DesJardin , Abani Patra

Recent works have presented promising results from the application of machine learning (ML) to the modeling of flow rates in oil and gas wells. Encouraging results and advantageous properties of ML models, such as computationally cheap…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Bjarne Grimstad , Mathilde Hotvedt , Anders T. Sandnes , Odd Kolbjørnsen , Lars S. Imsland

We introduce a physics-informed Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) with flow approximated posteriors using multiplicative normalizing flows (MNF) for detailed uncertainty quantification (UQ) at the physics event-level. Our method is capable of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Cristiano Fanelli , James Giroux

The design of flow control systems remains a challenge due to the nonlinear nature of the equations that govern fluid flow. However, recent advances in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) have enabled the simulation of complex fluid flows…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Jeremy Morton , Freddie D. Witherden , Antony Jameson , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

We describe a computational framework linking Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods for continuum problems depending on random parameters with Equation-Free (EF) methods for performing continuum deterministic numerics by acting directly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yu Zou , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Simulation of turbulent flows at high Reynolds number is a computationally challenging task relevant to a large number of engineering and scientific applications in diverse fields such as climate science, aerodynamics, and combustion.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-06 Jaideep Pathak , Mustafa Mustafa , Karthik Kashinath , Emmanuel Motheau , Thorsten Kurth , Marcus Day

Computational models of the human head are promising tools for estimating the impact-induced response of brain, and thus play an important role in the prediction of traumatic brain injury. Modern biofidelic head model simulations are…