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Many datasets are in the form of tables of binned data. Performing regression on these data usually involves either reading off bin heights, ignoring data from neighbouring bins or interpolating between bins thus over or underestimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-21 Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A Alvarez , Neil D Lawrence

This paper deals with generalized backward doubly stochastic differential equations driven by a L\'evy process (GBDSDEL, in short). Under left or right continuous and linear growth conditions, we prove the existence of minimal (resp.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Jean Marc Owo , Auguste Aman

Most processes in nature are coupled; however, extensive null models for generating such processes still lacks. We present a new method to generate two coupled Gaussian stochastic processes with arbitrary correlation functions. This method…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Tayeb Jamali , G. R. Jafari

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation inference using a rescaled smooth Gaussian field as a prior for a multidimensional function. The rescaling is achieved using a Gamma variable and the procedure can be viewed as choosing an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Approximating complex probability distributions, such as Bayesian posterior distributions, is of central interest in many applications. We study the expressivity of geometric Gaussian approximations. These consist of approximations by…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Nathaël Da Costa , Bálint Mucsányi , Philipp Hennig

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide flexible distributions over functions, with inductive biases controlled by a kernel. However, in many applications Gaussian processes can struggle with even moderate input dimensionality. Learning a low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Ian A. Delbridge , David S. Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

In order to scale standard Gaussian process (GP) regression to large-scale datasets, aggregation models employ factorized training process and then combine predictions from distributed experts. The state-of-the-art aggregation models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Haitao Liu , Jianfei Cai , Yi Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

Exponential functionals of Brownian motion have been extensively studied in financial and insurance mathematics due to their broad applications, for example, in the pricing of Asian options. The Black-Scholes model is appealing because of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Runhuan Feng , Alexey Kuznetsov , Fenghao Yang

The classical notion of L\'evy process is generalized to one that takes as its values probabilities on a first order model equipped with a commutative semigroup. This is achieved by applying a convolution product on definable probabilities…

Logic · Mathematics 2009-10-27 Siu-Ah Ng

The Voigt profile is the density obtained from the convolution of a Gaussian and a Cauchy and it is widely used in atomic and molecular spectroscopy. We show that the Voigt profile is a scale mixture of Gaussian distributions, with mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Massimo Cannas

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Gaussian processes (GPs) are pervasive in functional data analysis, machine learning, and spatial statistics for modeling complex dependencies. Modern scientific data sets are typically heterogeneous and often contain multiple known…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Didong Li , Andrew Jones , Sudipto Banerjee , Barbara E. Engelhardt

We use rescaled Gaussian processes as prior models for functional parameters in nonparametric statistical models. We show how the rate of contraction of the posterior distributions depends on the scaling factor. In particular, we exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Aad van der Vaart , Harry van Zanten

Gaussian process (GP) models provide a powerful tool for prediction but are computationally prohibitive using large data sets. In such scenarios, one has to resort to approximate methods. We derive an approximation based on a composite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-02 Xiuming Liu , Dave Zachariah , Edith C. H. Ngai

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a probabilistic nonparametric representation of functions in regression, classification, and other problems. Unfortunately, exact learning with GPs is intractable for large datasets. A variety of approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-02-23 Yuan Qi , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad , Thomas P. Minka

In molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, accessing transition probabilities between states is crucial for understanding kinetic information, such as reaction paths and rates. However, standard MD simulations are hindered by the capacity to…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-08-07 Yanbin Wang , Jakub Rydzewski , Ming Chen

We introduce the lifted Generalized Belief Propagation (GBP) message passing algorithm, for the computation of sum-product queries in Probabilistic Relational Models (e.g. Markov logic network). The algorithm forms a compact region graph…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-06 Udi Apsel

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

We propose a doubly subordinated Levy process, NDIG, to model the time series properties of the cryptocurrency bitcoin. NDIG captures the skew and fat-tailed properties of bitcoin prices and gives rise to an arbitrage free, option pricing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-31 Abootaleb Shirvani , Stefan Mittnik , W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev
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