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In finance, economics and many other fields, observations in a matrix form are often generated over time. For example, a set of key economic indicators are regularly reported in different countries every quarter. The observations at each…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Rong Chen , Han Xiao , Dan Yang

We propose a vector auto-regressive (VAR) model with a low-rank constraint on the transition matrix. This new model is well suited to predict high-dimensional series that are highly correlated, or that are driven by a small number of hidden…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-17 Pierre Alquier , Karine Bertin , Paul Doukhan , Rémy Garnier

Matrix-variate time series data are increasingly popular in economics, statistics, and environmental studies, among other fields. This paper develops regularized estimation methods for analyzing high-dimensional matrix-variate time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Hangjin Jiang , Baining Shen , Yuzhou Li , Zhaoxing Gao

We develop a new methodology for forecasting matrix-valued time series with historical matrix data and auxiliary vector time series data. We focus on a time series of matrices defined on a static 2-D spatial grid and an auxiliary time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Hu Sun , Zuofeng Shang , Yang Chen

Modern technology often generates data with complex structures in which both response and explanatory variables are matrix-valued. Existing methods in the literature are able to tackle matrix-valued predictors but are rather limited for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-01 Shanshan Ding , R. Dennis Cook

This paper investigates the issue of determining the dimensions of row and column factor spaces in matrix-valued data. Exploiting the eigen-gap in the spectrum of sample second moment matrices of the data, we propose a family of randomised…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-29 Yong He , Xin-bing Kong , Lorenzo Trapani , Long Yu

Time series of matrix-valued data are increasingly available in various areas including economics, finance, social science, among others. These data may shed light on the inter-dynamical relationships between two sets of attributes, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Fei Wu , Kung-Sik Chan

We study the dynamics of matrix-valued time series with observed network structures by proposing a matrix network autoregression model with row and column networks of the subjects. We incorporate covariate information and a low rank…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Xuening Zhu , Feifei Wang , Zeng Li , Yanyuan Ma

Traditional econometric analyzes represent observations as vectors despite the inherent complexity of empirical data structures. When data are organized along dual classification dimensions, a matrix representation provides a more natural…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-02 Emanuele Lopetuso , Massimiliano Caporin

High-dimensional time series has diverse applications in econometrics and finance. Recent models for capturing temporal dependence have employed a bilinear representation for matrix time series, or the Tucker-decomposition based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Debika Ghosh , Samrat Roy , Nilanjana Chakraborty

The classical vector autoregressive model is a fundamental tool for multivariate time series analysis. However, it involves too many parameters when the number of time series and lag order are even moderately large. This paper proposes to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Di Wang , Yao Zheng , Heng Lian , Guodong Li

Motivated by predicting intraday trading volume curves, we consider two spatio-temporal autoregressive models for matrix time series, in which each column may represent daily trading volume curve of one asset, and each row captures…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Baojun Dou , Jing He , Sudhir Tiwari , Qiwei Yao

In the fields of sociology and economics, the modeling of matrix-variate integervalued time series is urgent. However, no prior studies have addressed the modeling of such data. To address this topic, this paper proposes a novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Nuo Xu , Kai Yang , Fukang Zhu

High-dimensional matrix-variate time series data are becoming widely available in many scientific fields, such as economics, biology, and meteorology. To achieve significant dimension reduction while preserving the intrinsic matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Elynn Y. Chen , Ruey S. Tsay , Rong Chen

Matrix reordering is a task to permute the rows and columns of a given observed matrix such that the resulting reordered matrix shows meaningful or interpretable structural patterns. Most existing matrix reordering techniques share the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Chihiro Watanabe , Taiji Suzuki

Reduced-rank regressions are powerful tools used to identify co-movements within economic time series. However, this task becomes challenging when we observe matrix-valued time series, where each dimension may have a different co-movement…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-12 Alain Hecq , Ivan Ricardo , Ines Wilms

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a powerful tool in modeling complex time series and has been exploited in many fields. However, fitting high dimensional VAR model poses some unique challenges: On one hand, the dimensionality,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-30 Fang Han , Huanran Lu , Han Liu

Matrix time series, which consist of matrix-valued data observed over time, are prevalent in various fields such as economics, finance, and engineering. Such matrix time series data are often observed in high dimensions. Matrix factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Ruofan Yu , Rong Chen , Han Xiao , Yuefeng Han

We consider a class of vector autoregressive models with banded coefficient matrices. The setting represents a type of sparse structure for high-dimensional time series, though the implied autocovariance matrices are not banded. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-31 Shaojun Guo , Yazhen Wang , Qiwei Yao

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis
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