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Predictive models for identifying at-risk students early can help teaching staff direct resources to better support them, but there is a growing concern about the fairness of algorithmic systems in education. Predictive models may…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Hansol Lee , René F. Kizilcec

This study aims to determine a predictive model to learn students probability to pass their courses taken at the earliest stage of the semester. To successfully discover a good predictive model with high acceptability, accurate, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Anabella C. Doctor

This study is part of a larger project focused on measuring, understanding, and improving student engagement in programming education. We investigate whether synthetic data generation can help identify at-risk students earlier in a small,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Daniel Flood , Matthew England , Beate Grawemeyer

College students graduating in a recession have been shown to face large and persistent negative effects on their earnings, health, and other outcomes. This paper investigates whether students delay graduation to avoid these effects. Using…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-10 Lucas Finamor

The accurate estimation of students' grades in future courses is important as it can inform the selection of next term's courses and create personalized degree pathways to facilitate successful and timely graduation. This paper presents…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Agoritsa Polyzou , George Karypis

Education plays a pivotal role in alleviating poverty, driving economic growth, and empowering individuals, thereby significantly influencing societal and personal development. However, the persistent issue of school dropout poses a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Maria Psyridou , Fabi Prezja , Minna Torppa , Marja-Kristiina Lerkkanen , Anna-Maija Poikkeus , Kati Vasalampi

The present article is focused on the problem of prediction of student failures with the purpose of their possible prevention by timely introducing supportive measures. We propose a concept for building a predictive model based on Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-22 T. A. Kustitskaya , A. A. Kytmanov , M. V. Noskov

Predicting students' academic performance has been a research area of interest in recent years with many institutions focusing on improving the students' performance and the education quality. The analysis and prediction of students'…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-11 MohammadNoor Injadat , Abdallah Moubayed , Ali Bou Nassif , Abdallah Shami

Student repetition in secondary education imposes significant resource burdens, particularly in resource-constrained contexts. Addressing this challenge, this study introduces a unified machine learning framework that simultaneously…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Mwayi Sonkhanani , Symon Chibaya , Clement N. Nyirenda

An enduring issue in higher education is student retention to successful graduation. National statistics indicate that most higher education institutions have four-year degree completion rates around 50 percent, or just half of their…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Mack Sweeney , Huzefa Rangwala , Jaime Lester , Aditya Johri

The main objective of higher education is to provide quality education to students. One way to achieve highest level of quality in higher education system is by discovering knowledge for prediction regarding enrolment of students in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Surjeet Kumar Yadav , Brijesh Bharadwaj , Saurabh Pal

The prediction of academic dropout, with the aim of preventing it, is one of the current challenges of higher education institutions. Machine learning techniques are a great ally in this task. However, attention is needed in the way that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Bruno de M. Barros , Hugo A. D. do Nascimento , Raphael Guedes , Sandro E. Monsueto

Colleges and universities use predictive analytics in a variety of ways to increase student success rates. Despite the potential for predictive analytics, two major barriers exist to their adoption in higher education: (a) the lack of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Hadis Anahideh , Parian Haghighat , Nazanin Nezami , Denisa G`andara

Learning analytics (LA) is data collection, analysis, and representation of data about learners in order to improve their learning and performance. Furthermore, LA opens the door to opportunities for self-regulated learning in higher…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Saša Brdnik , Boštjan Šumak , Vili Podgorelec

Algorithmic bias is a major issue in machine learning models in educational contexts. However, it has not yet been studied thoroughly in Asian learning contexts, and only limited work has considered algorithmic bias based on regional…

Instructors have limited time and resources to help struggling students, and these resources should be directed to the students who most need them. To address this, researchers have constructed models that can predict students' final course…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Ge Gao , Samiha Marwan , Thomas W. Price

With pressure to increase graduation rates and reduce time to degree in higher education, it is important to identify at-risk students early. Automated early warning systems are therefore highly desirable. In this paper, we use unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-09 Seyed Sajjadi , Bruce Shapiro , Christopher McKinlay , Allen Sarkisyan , Carol Shubin , Efunwande Osoba

Various studies have shown that students tend to get higher marks when assessed through coursework based assessment methods which include either modules that are fully assessed through coursework or a mixture of coursework and examinations…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Mohammed Alsuwaiket , Anas H. Blasi , Ra'Fat Al-Msie'deen

Early identification of at risk students in higher education depends on predictive models that maintain accuracy across successive cohorts -- a requirement that single-cohort modeling approaches fail to meet. This study evaluates Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-22 Jakob Schwerter , Amer Krivosija , Tim Novak , Katja Ickstadt , Alexander Munteanu

Student dropout is a significant concern for educational institutions due to its social and economic impact, driving the need for risk prediction systems to identify at-risk students before enrollment. We explore the accuracy of such…