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Related papers: Machine learning in weekly movement prediction

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ML models have errors when used for predictions. The errors are unknown but can be quantified by model uncertainty. When multiple ML models are trained using the same training points, their model uncertainties may be statistically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Xiaoping Du

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

Financial markets are of much interest to researchers due to their dynamic and stochastic nature. With their relations to world populations, global economies and asset valuations, understanding, identifying and forecasting trends and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Peter Akioyamen , Yi Zhou Tang , Hussien Hussien

Price movement forecasting, aimed at predicting financial asset trends based on current market information, has achieved promising advancements through machine learning (ML) methods. Most existing ML methods, however, struggle with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Liang Zeng , Lei Wang , Hui Niu , Ruchen Zhang , Ling Wang , Jian Li

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-07 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Binary options trading is often marketed as a field where predictive models can generate consistent profits. However, the inherent randomness and stochastic nature of binary options make price movements highly unpredictable, posing…

A major source of information can be taken from financial news articles, which have some correlations about the fluctuation of stock trends. In this paper, we investigate the influences of financial news on the stock trends, from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Yiqi Deng , Siu Ming Yiu

Machine Learning (ML) is one of the most exciting and dynamic areas of modern research and application. The purpose of this review is to provide an introduction to the core concepts and tools of machine learning in a manner easily…

Market Mill is a complex dependence pattern leading to nonlinear correlations and predictability in intraday dynamics of stock prices. The present paper puts together previous efforts to build a dynamical model reflecting the market mill…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Sergey Zaitsev , Alexander Zaitsev , Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin

Being able to predict stock prices might be the unspoken wish of stock investors. Although stock prices are complicated to predict, there are many theories about what affects their movements, including interest rates, news and social media.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Roderick Karlemstrand , Ebba Leckström

In the era of big data, machine learning (ML) has become a powerful tool in various fields, notably impacting structural dynamics. ML algorithms offer advantages by modeling physical phenomena based on data, even in the absence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Wang-Ji Yan , Lin-Feng Mei , Jiang Mo , Costas Papadimitriou , Ka-Veng Yuen , Michael Beer

We consider the viability of a modularised mechanistic online machine learning framework to learn signals in low-frequency financial time series data. The framework is proved on daily sampled closing time-series data from JSE equity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Joel da Costa , Tim Gebbie

Prediction of stock prices plays a significant role in aiding the decision-making of investors. Considering its importance, a growing literature has emerged trying to forecast stock prices with improved accuracy. In this study, we introduce…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Md Sabbirul Haque , Md Shahedul Amin , Jonayet Miah , Duc Minh Cao , Ashiqul Haque Ahmed

Predicting future direction of stock markets using the historical data has been a fundamental component in financial forecasting. This historical data contains the information of a stock in each specific time span, such as the opening,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Christopher Wimmer , Navid Rekabsaz

Volume prediction is one of the fundamental objectives in the Fintech area, which is helpful for many downstream tasks, e.g., algorithmic trading. Previous methods mostly learn a universal model for different stocks. However, this kind of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-04 Ruibo Chen , Wei Li , Zhiyuan Zhang , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , Xu Sun

Machine learning (ML) and deep learning models are extensively used for parameter optimization and regression problems. However, not all inverse problems in ML are ``identifiable,'' indicating that model parameters may not be uniquely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Reza Sameni

Stock price prediction has been the focus of a large amount of research but an acceptable solution has so far escaped academics. Recent advances in deep learning have motivated researchers to apply neural networks to stock prediction. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib

Forecasts of future events are essential inputs into informed decision-making. Machine learning (ML) systems have the potential to deliver forecasts at scale, but there is no framework for evaluating the accuracy of ML systems on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Ezra Karger , Houtan Bastani , Chen Yueh-Han , Zachary Jacobs , Danny Halawi , Fred Zhang , Philip E. Tetlock

Stock market prediction is the act of trying to determine the future value of a company stock or other financial instrument traded on a financial exchange.

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-03-03 Osman Hegazy , Omar S. Soliman , Mustafa Abdul Salam

Making consistently profitable financial decisions in a continuously evolving and volatile stock market has always been a difficult task. Professionals from different disciplines have developed foundational theories to anticipate price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Ruoyu Guo , Haochen Qiu , Xuelun Hou