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Trajectory prediction is central to the safe and seamless operation of autonomous vehicles (AVs). In deployment, however, prediction models inevitably face distribution shifts between training data and real-world conditions, where rare or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Tongfei Guo , Lili Su

This work explores the application of ensemble modeling to the multidimensional regression problem of trajectory prediction for vehicles in urban environments. As newer and bigger state-of-the-art prediction models for autonomous driving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Divya Thuremella , Yi Yang , Simon Wanna , Lars Kunze , Daniele De Martini

Learning-based autonomous driving requires continuous integration of diverse knowledge in complex traffic , yet existing methods exhibit significant limitations in adaptive capabilities. Addressing this gap demands autonomous driving…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yixin Cui , Shuo Yang , Chi Wan , Xincheng Li , Jiaming Xing , Yuanjian Zhang , Yanjun Huang , Hong Chen

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in intelligent transport systems. Deep learning offers an effective solution, capturing complex patterns in time-series traffic flow data to enable the accurate prediction. However, deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Qiyuan Zhu , A. K. Qin , Hussein Dia , Adriana-Simona Mihaita , Hanna Grzybowska

Accurate trajectory prediction is essential for the safe operation of autonomous vehicles in real-world environments. Even well-trained machine learning models may produce unreliable predictions due to discrepancies between training data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Tongfe Guo , Taposh Banerjee , Rui Liu , Lili Su

Ensembling deep learning models is a shortcut to promote its implementation in new scenarios, which can avoid tuning neural networks, losses and training algorithms from scratch. However, it is difficult to collect sufficient accurate and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Jun Yang , Fei Wang

Autonomous driving depends on perception systems to understand the environment and to inform downstream decision-making. While advanced perception systems utilizing black-box Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) demonstrate human-like comprehension,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Xiao Li , H. Eric Tseng , Anouck Girard , Ilya Kolmanovsky

Motion forecasting has become an increasingly critical component of autonomous robotic systems. Onboard compute budgets typically limit the accuracy of real-time systems. In this work we propose methods of improving motion forecasting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Scott Ettinger , Kratarth Goel , Avikalp Srivastava , Rami Al-Rfou

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Predicting the future trajectories of on-road vehicles is critical for autonomous driving. In this paper, we introduce a novel prediction framework called PRIME, which stands for Prediction with Model-based Planning. Unlike recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Haoran Song , Di Luan , Wenchao Ding , Michael Yu Wang , Qifeng Chen

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Out-of-training-distribution (OOD) scenarios are a common challenge of learning agents at deployment, typically leading to arbitrary deductions and poorly-informed decisions. In principle, detection of and adaptation to OOD scenes can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Angelos Filos , Panagiotis Tigas , Rowan McAllister , Nicholas Rhinehart , Sergey Levine , Yarin Gal

Deep learning has revolutionized autonomous driving by enabling vehicles to perceive and interpret their surroundings with remarkable accuracy. This progress is attributed to various deep learning models, including Mediated Perception,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Hemanth Manjunatha , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Deep neural networks are behind many of the recent successes in machine learning applications. However, these models can produce overconfident decisions while encountering out-of-distribution (OOD) examples or making a wrong prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Navid Kardan , Ankit Sharma , Kenneth O. Stanley

Failure of machine learning models to generalize to new data is a core problem limiting the reliability of AI systems, partly due to the lack of simple and robust methods for comparing new data to the original training dataset. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 W. Max Schreyer , Christopher Anderson , Reid F. Thompson

Most unsupervised anomaly detection methods based on representations of normal samples to distinguish anomalies have recently made remarkable progress. However, existing methods only learn a single decision boundary for distinguishing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Tianwu Lei , Silin Chen , Bohan Wang , Zhengkai Jiang , Ningmu Zou

Driving under varying road conditions is challenging, especially for autonomous vehicles that must adapt in real-time to changes in the environment, e.g., rain, snow, etc. It is difficult to apply offline learning-based methods in these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Tomáš Nagy , Ahmad Amine , Truong X. Nghiem , Ugo Rosolia , Zirui Zang , Rahul Mangharam

The ability to detect Out-of-Distribution (OOD) data is important in safety-critical applications of deep learning. The aim is to separate In-Distribution (ID) data drawn from the training distribution from OOD data using a measure of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Guoxuan Xia , Christos-Savvas Bouganis

Covariate adjustment is a ubiquitous method used to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) from observational data. Assuming a known graphical structure of the data generating model, recent results give graphical criteria for optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Alexander Mangulad Christgau , Anton Rask Lundborg , Niels Richard Hansen

Autonomous driving heavily relies on perception systems to interpret the environment for decision-making. To enhance robustness in these safety critical applications, this paper considers a Deep Ensemble of Deep Neural Network regressors…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Xiao Li , Anouck Girard , Ilya Kolmanovsky
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