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The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo

In this paper, we outline the use of Mixture Models in density estimation of large astronomical databases. This method of density estimation has been known in Statistics for some time but has not been implemented because of the large…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. J. Connolly , C. Genovese , A. W. Moore , R. C. Nichol , J. Schneider , L. Wasserman

Processing high-volume, streaming data is increasingly common in modern statistics and machine learning, where batch-mode algorithms are often impractical because they require repeated passes over the full dataset. This has motivated…

Expectation maximisation (EM) is an unsupervised learning method for estimating the parameters of a finite mixture distribution. It works by introducing "hidden" or "latent" variables via Baum's auxiliary function $Q$ that allow the joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Graham W. Pulford

Efficient approximation lies at the heart of large-scale machine learning problems. In this paper, we propose a novel, robust maximum entropy algorithm, which is capable of dealing with hundreds of moments and allows for computationally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-05 Diego Granziol , Binxin Ru , Stefan Zohren , Xiaowen Doing , Michael Osborne , Stephen Roberts

Distributed decision problems features a group of agents that can only communicate over a peer-to-peer network, without a central memory. In applications such as network control and data ranking, each agent is only affected by a small…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Mattia Bianchi , Sergio Grammatico

Effective and efficient forecasting relies on identification of the relevant information contained in past observations -- the predictive features -- and isolating it from the rest. When the future of a process bears a strong dependence on…

Discrete choice models are fundamental tools in management science, economics, and marketing for understanding and predicting decision-making. Logit-based models are dominant in applied work, largely due to their convenient closed-form…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Easton Huch , Michael Keane

This paper shows how the Bayesian network paradigm can be used in order to solve combinatorial optimization problems. To do it some methods of structure learning from data and simulation of Bayesian networks are inserted inside Estimation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Pedro Larrañaga , Ramon Etxeberria , Jose A. Lozano , Jose M. Pena

Generalized linear models (GLMs) arguably represent the standard approach for statistical regression beyond the Gaussian likelihood scenario. When Bayesian formulations are employed, the general absence of a tractable posterior distribution…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-03 Niccolò Anceschi , Augusto Fasano , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

We systematically study various network Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms for the Gaussian mixture model within the framework of decentralized federated learning. Our theoretical investigation reveals that directly extending the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Shuyuan Wu , Bin Du , Xuetong Li , Hansheng Wang

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

We deal with the efficient parallelization of Bayesian global optimization algorithms, and more specifically of those based on the expected improvement criterion and its variants. A closed form formula relying on multivariate Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-12 Sébastien Marmin , Clément Chevalier , David Ginsbourger

This paper tackles the problem of missing data imputation for noisy and non-Gaussian data. A classical imputation method, the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm for Gaussian mixture models, has shown interesting properties when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-23 Florian Mouret , Alexandre Hippert-Ferrer , Frédéric Pascal , Jean-Yves Tourneret

Projection-based reduced-order models (PROMs) have demonstrated accuracy, reliability, and robustness in approximating high-dimensional, differential equation-based computational models across many applications. For this reason, it has been…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Calista Biondic , Siva Nadarajah

In order to cluster or partition data, we often use Expectation-and-Maximization (EM) or Variational approximation with a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), which is a parametric probability density function represented as a weighted sum of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-07-04 Ji Won Yoon

We consider maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian Mixture Models (Gmms). This task is almost invariably solved (in theory and practice) via the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. EM owes its success to various factors, of which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-04 Reshad Hosseini , Suvrit Sra

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a popular choice for learning latent variable models. Variants of the EM have been initially introduced, using incremental updates to scale to large datasets, and using Monte Carlo (MC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Belhal Karimi , Ping Li

Approximate Bayesian inference methods provide a powerful suite of tools for finding approximations to intractable posterior distributions. However, machine learning applications typically involve selecting actions, which -- in a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-11 Michael J. Morais , Jonathan W. Pillow
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