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Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are standard models for dynamic systems with probabilistic and nondeterministic behaviour in uncertain environments. We prove that in POMDPs with long-run average objective, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Raimundo Saona , Bruno Ziliotto

Memory effects are ubiquitous in small-scale systems. They emerge from interactions between accessible and inaccessible degrees of freedom and give rise to evolution equations that are non-local in time. If the characteristic time scales of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-22 Kay Brandner

This article deals with detection of nonconstant long memory parameter in time series. The null hypothesis presumes stationary or nonstationary time series with constant long memory parameter, typically an I(d) series with d>-.5. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-01 Frédéric Lavancier , Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Donatas Surgailis

The diffusion equation is extended by including spatial-temporal memory in such a manner that the conservation of the concentration is maintained. The additional memory term gives rise to the formation of non-trivial stationary solutions.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Steffen Trimper , Knud Zabrocki

Variational inference has had great success in scaling approximate Bayesian inference to big data by exploiting mini-batch training. To date, however, this strategy has been most applicable to models of independent data. We propose an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-19 Tom Ryder , Dennis Prangle , Andrew Golightly , Isaac Matthews

For a number of important mean field games models, the Hamiltonian is non-local and not additively separable. This means that the distribution of agents appears in the Hamiltonian only in an integral over the whole spatial domain. For mean…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-12-15 David M. Ambrose , Milton C. Lopes Filho , Anna L. Mazzucato , Helena J. Nussenzveig Lopes

We establish an invariance principle for a general class of stationary random fields indexed by $\mathbb Z^d$, under Hannan's condition generalized to $\mathbb Z^d$. To do so we first establish a uniform integrability result for stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-17 Dalibor Volný , Yizao Wang

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

We obtain a necessary and sufficient condition for the orthomartingale-coboundary decomposition. We establish a sufficient condition for the approximation of the partial sums of a strictly stationary random fields by those of stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Davide Giraudo

Long memory or long range dependency is an important phenomenon that may arise in the analysis of time series or spatial data. Most of the definitions of long memory of a stationary process $X=\{X_1, X_2,\cdots,\}$ are based on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Yiming Ding , Xuyan Xiang

We consider kinetic SDEs with low regularity coefficients in the setting recently introduced in [6]. For the solutions to such equations, we first prove a Harnack inequality. Using the abstract approach of [5], this inequality then allows…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Nicolas Champagnat , Tony Lelièvre , Mouad Ramil , Julien Reygner , Denis Villemonais

The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and scantily understood for random fields. Here it is established for splittable random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Boris Tsirelson

We study nonstationary intermittent dynamical systems, such as compositions of a (deterministic) sequence of Pomeau-Manneville maps. We prove two main results: sharp bounds on memory loss, including the "unexpected" faster rate for a large…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Alexey Korepanov , Juho Leppänen

We prove well-posedness of a class of kinetic-type Mean Field Games, which typically arise when agents control their acceleration. Such systems include independent variables representing the spatial position as well as velocity. We consider…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-03-20 David M. Ambrose , Megan Griffin-Pickering , Alpár R. Mészáros

We give necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a phantom distribution function for a stationary random field on a regular lattice. We also introduce a less demanding notion of a directional phantom distribution, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-16 Adam Jakubowski , Igor Rodionov , Natalia Soja-Kukieła

In $M$-estimation under standard asymptotics, the weak convergence combined with the polynomial type large deviation estimate of the associated statistical random field Yoshida (2011) provides us with not only the asymptotic distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Hiroki Masuda , Yusuke Shimizu

We derive a necessary and sufficient condition of linear dynamical stability for inhomogeneous Vlasov stationary states of the Hamiltonian Mean Field (HMF) model. The condition is expressed by an explicit disequality that has to be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Alessandro Campa , Pierre-Henri Chavanis

We develope the framework of transitional conditional independence. For this we introduce transition probability spaces and transitional random variables. These constructions will generalize, strengthen and unify previous notions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Patrick Forré

In this paper, we establish the continuous dependence for the non-resistive MHD equations in Sobolev spaces. Our obtained result fills considerably the recent result [C. Fefferman, D. McCormick, J. Robinson and J. Rodrigo, Higher order…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Jinlu Li , Zhaoyang Yin , Weipeng Zhu

Variable Length Memory Chains (VLMC), which are generalizations of finite order Markov chains, turn out to be an essential tool to modelize random sequences in many domains, as well as an interesting object in contemporary probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Peggy Cénac , Brigitte Chauvin , Camille Noûs , Frédéric Paccaut , Nicolas Pouyanne