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Related papers: On goodness-of-fit testing for self-exciting point…

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We consider the error distribution in functional linear models with scalar response and functional covariate. Different asymptotic expansions of the empirical distribution function and the empirical characteristic function based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

We investigate properties of a bootstrap-based methodology for testing hypotheses about equality of certain characteristics of the distributions between different populations in the context of functional data. The suggested testing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

We propose a novel adaptive test of goodness-of-fit, with computational cost linear in the number of samples. We learn the test features that best indicate the differences between observed samples and a reference model, by minimizing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-25 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Wenkai Xu , Zoltan Szabo , Kenji Fukumizu , Arthur Gretton

In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

The problem of testing equality of the entire second order structure of two independent functional linear processes is considered. A fully functional $L^2$-type test is developed which evaluates, over all frequencies, the Hilbert-Schmidt…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-15 Anne Leucht , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

The characterization of covariate effects on model parameters is a crucial step during pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic analyses. While covariate selection criteria have been studied extensively, the choice of the functional relationship…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Niklas Hartung , Martin Wahl , Abhishake Rastogi , Wilhelm Huisinga

We present the results of a large number of simulation studies regarding the power of various goodness-of-fit as well as nonparametric two-sample tests for univariate data. This includes both continuous and discrete data. In general no…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Wolfgang Rolke

We propose a goodness-of-fit test for a class of count time series models with covariates which includes the Poisson autoregressive model with covariates (PARX) as a special case. The test criteria are derived from a specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Šárka Hudecová , Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis

A parametric point process model is developed, with modeling based on the assumption that sequential observations often share latent phenomena, while also possessing idiosyncratic effects. An alternating optimization method is proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Hongteng Xu , Lawrence Carin , Hongyuan Zha

We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

\textbf{Purpose:} Amplitude analysis is a pivotal tool in hadron spectroscopy, fundamentally involving a series of likelihood fits to multi-dimensional experimental distributions. While robust goodness-of-fit tests exist for low-dimensional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-12-02 Huoyi Hou , Beijiang Liu

The Ising model is one of the simplest and most famous models of interacting systems. It was originally proposed to model ferromagnetic interactions in statistical physics and is now widely used to model spatial processes in many areas such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Abraham Martin del Campo , Sarah Cepeda , Caroline Uhler

The theoretical foundation for a number of model selection criteria is established in the context of inhomogeneous point processes and under various asymptotic settings: infill, increasing domain, and combinations of these. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Achmad Choiruddin , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Inference and testing in general point process models such as the Hawkes model is predominantly based on asymptotic approximations for likelihood-based estimators and tests. As an alternative, and to improve finite sample performance, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-22 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Ye Lu , Anders Rahbek , Jacob Stærk-Østergaard

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

We apply nonparametric Bayesian methods to study the problem of estimating the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. We exhibit a prior on intensities which both leads to a computationally feasible method and enjoys…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-28 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Harry van Zanten

This paper introduces diagnostic tests for the nature of lack of fit in ordinary differential equation models (ODEs) proposed for data. We present a hierarchy of three possible sources of lack of fit: unaccounted-for stochastic variation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-18 Giles Hooker , Stephen P. Ellner

We propose and study a general method for construction of consistent statistical tests on the basis of possibly indirect, corrupted, or partially available observations. The class of tests devised in the paper contains Neyman's smooth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Mikhail Langovoy

In this paper new two-dimensional goodness of fit tests are proposed. They are of supremum-type and are based on different types of characterizations. For the first time a characterization based on independence of two statistics is used for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Bojana Milošević , Marko Obradović

Detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a time series, so-called changepoints, is important for many applications. However, many procedures rely on the estimation of nuisance parameters (like long-run variance). Under the alternative (a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Michal Pešta , Martin Wendler