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In small area estimation different data sources are integrated in order to produce reliable estimates of target parameters (e.g., a mean or a proportion) for a collection of small subsets (areas) of a finite population. Regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Enrico Fabrizi , Nicola Salvati , Martin Slawski

The panel data regression models have gained increasing attention in different areas of research including but not limited to econometrics, environmental sciences, epidemiology, behavioral and social sciences. However, the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

In Small Area Estimation data linkage can be used to combine values of the variableof interest from a national survey with values of auxiliary variables obtained from another source like a population register. Linkage errors can induce bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Ray Chambers , Enrico Fabrizi , Nicola Salvati

This paper introduces empirical best predictors of small area bivariate parameters, like ratios of sums or sums of ratios, by assuming that the target unit-level vector follows a bivariate nested error regression model. The corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 M. D. Esteban , M. J. Lombardía , E. López-Vizcaíno , D. Morales , A. Pérez

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

Small area estimation has received enormous attention in recent years due to its wide range of application, particularly in policy making decisions. The variance based on direct sample size of small area estimator is unduly large and there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti

Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

Bandit algorithms are increasingly used in real-world sequential decision-making problems. Associated with this is an increased desire to be able to use the resulting datasets to answer scientific questions like: Did one type of ad lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Kelly W. Zhang , Lucas Janson , Susan A. Murphy

We propose a M-quantile regression model for the analysis of multivariate, continuous, longitudinal data. M-quantile regression represents an appealing alternative to standard regression models, as it combines the robustness of quantile and…

Forecasting a time series from multivariate predictors constitutes a challenging problem, especially using model-free approaches. Most techniques, such as nearest-neighbor prediction, quickly suffer from the curse of dimensionality and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-22 Jakob Runge , Reik V. Donner , Jürgen Kurths

We introduce a new small area predictor when the Fay-Herriot normal error model is fitted to a logarithmically transformed response variable, and the covariate is measured with error. This framework has been previously studied by Mosaferi…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-23 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Shonosuke Sugasawa

A common challenge faced in practical supervised learning, such as medical image processing and robotic interactions, is that there are plenty of tasks but each task cannot afford to collect enough labeled examples to be learned in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Weihao Kong , Raghav Somani , Sham Kakade , Sewoong Oh

National statistical institutes in many countries are now mandated to produce reliable statistics for important variables such as population, income, unemployment, health outcomes, etc. for small areas, defined by geography and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-29 Adrijo Chakraborty , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal

This paper considers an estimation of semiparametric functional (varying)-coefficient quantile regression with spatial data. A general robust framework is developed that treats quantile regression for spatial data in a natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Zudi Lu , Qingguo Tang , Longsheng Cheng

Locally adapted parameterizations of a model (such as locally weighted regression) are expressive but often suffer from high variance. We describe an approach for reducing the variance, based on the idea of estimating simultaneously a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Doina Precup , Philip Bachman

In this paper, prediction for linear systems with missing information is investigated. New methods are introduced to improve the Mean Squared Error (MSE) on the test set in comparison to state-of-the-art methods, through appropriate tuning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-04 Mohammad Amin Fakharian , Ashkan Esmaeili , Farokh Marvasti

In this paper it is reconsidered the prediction problem in time series framework by using a new non-parametric approach. Through this reconsideration, the prediction is obtained by a weighted sum of past observed data. These weights are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-27 Pedro Cadahía , Jose Manuel Bravo Caro

M-quantile regression is a general form of quantile-like regression which usually utilises the Huber influence function and corresponding tuning constant. Estimation requires a nuisance scale parameter to ensure the M-quantile estimates are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-23 James Dawber , Nicola Salvati , Timo Schmid , Nikos Tzavidis
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