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The general epidemic process is a paradigmatic model in non-equilibrium statistical physics displaying a continuous phase transition between active and absorbing states.The dynamic isotropic percolation universality class captures its…

We study the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model in complex networks, considering that not all individuals in the population interact in the same way between them. This heterogeneity between contacts is modeled by a continuous disorder. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-01 C. Buono , C. Lagorio , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

We study a stochastic spatial epidemic model where the $N$ individuals carry two features: a position and an infection state, interact and move in $\R^d$. In this Markovian model, the evolution of the infection states are described with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Yen V. Vuong , Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

Most previous studies of epidemic dynamics on complex networks suppose that the disease will eventually stabilize at either a disease-free state or an endemic one. In reality, however, some epidemics always exhibit sporadic and recurrent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Michael Small , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

Diffusion processes are governed by external triggers and internal dynamics in complex systems. Timely and cost-effective control of infectious disease spread critically relies on uncovering the underlying diffusion mechanisms, which is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-09 Minkyoung Kim , Dean Paini , Raja Jurdak

In the present paper, we are concerned with an SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion model governed by mass action infection mechanism and linear birth-death growth with no flux boundary condition. By performing qualitative analysis, we study the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Huicong Li , Rui Peng , Zhi-An Wang

Epidemic disease spreading is conventionally often modelled and analyzed by means of rate and diffusion equations, following the paradigms of well-controlled chemical reactions and diffusive dynamics in a test tube. Yet, serious worries…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-03 Klaus Kroy

Starting from a master equation in a quantum Hamiltonian form and a coupling to a heat bath we derive an evolution equation for a collective hopping process under the influence of a stochastic energy landscape. There results different…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michael Schulz , Steffen Trimper

Our chances to halt epidemic outbreaks rely on how accurately we represent the population structure underlying the disease spread. When analyzing global epidemics this force us to consider metapopulation models taking into account intra-…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-10 Alexei Vazquez

The standard diffusive spreading, characterized by a Gaussian distribution with mean square displacement that grows linearly with time, can break down, for instance, under the presence of correlations and heterogeneity. In this work, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-27 M. A. F. dos Santos , E. H. Colombo , C. Anteneodo

Stochastic modeling of disease dynamics has had a long tradition. Among the first epidemic models including a spatial structure in the form of local interactions is the contact process. In this article we investigate two extensions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. Belhadji , N. Lanchier

In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on $\mathbb Z^d$ we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Duncan Dauvergne , Allan Sly

We consider a model for an epidemic in a population that occupies geographically distinct locations. The disease is spread within subpopulations by contacts between infective and susceptible individuals, and is spread between subpopulations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , A. Shausan

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

Mathematical models of motility are often based on random-walk descriptions of discrete individuals that can move according to certain rules. It is usually the case that large masses concentrated in small regions of space have a great…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-23 Carles Falcó

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo

In the Staged Progression (SP) epidemic models, infected individuals are classified into a suitable number of states. The goal of these models is to describe as closely as possible the effect of differences in infectiousness exhibited by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Luis Sanz-Lorenzo , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

Human mobility, contact patterns, and their interplay are key aspects of our social behavior that shape the spread of infectious diseases across different regions. In the light of new evidence and data sets about these two elements,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-26 Wesley Cota , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Silvio C. Ferreira , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes