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Related papers: Gradual changes in functional time series

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We consider determining change points in a time series of age-specific mortality and fertility curves observed over time. We propose two detection methods for identifying these change points. The first method uses a functional cumulative…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-04 Han Lin Shang

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

The existence of fluctuations of temperature has been a somewhat controversial topic in thermodynamics but nowadays it is recognized that they must be taken into account in small, finite systems. Although for nonequilibrium steady states…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-05 Sergio Davis

Because of the curse-of-dimensionality, high-dimensional processes present challenges to traditional multivariate statistical process monitoring (SPM) techniques. In addition, the unknown underlying distribution and complicated dependency…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-26 Zezhong Wang , Inez Maria Zwetsloot

In many phenomena, data are collected on a large scale and of different frequencies. In this context, functional data analysis (FDA) has become an important statistical methodology for analyzing and modeling such data. The approach of FDA…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Israel Martínez-Hernández , Marc G. Genton

The mean absolute deviation about the mean is an alternative to the standard deviation for measuring dispersion in a sample or in a population. For stationary, ergodic time series with a finite first moment, an asymptotic expansion for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-18 Johan Segers

Statistical analysis of high-dimensional functional times series arises in various applications. Under this scenario, in addition to the intrinsic infinite-dimensionality of functional data, the number of functional variables can grow with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

The question whether a time series behaves as a random walk or as a station- ary process is an important and delicate problem, particularly arising in financial statistics, econometrics, and engineering. This paper studies the problem to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland

The continuous advances in data collection and storage techniques allow us to observe and record real-life processes in great detail. Examples include financial transaction data, fMRI images, satellite photos, earths pollution distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-26 Łukasz Kidziński

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

We theoretically study long-term trends in the statistics of record-breaking daily temperatures and validate these predictions using Monte Carlo simulations and data from the city of Philadelphia, for which 126 years of daily temperature…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Redner , Mark R. Petersen

Many previous studies have demonstrated that work statistics can exhibit certain singular behaviors in the quantum critical regimes of many-body systems at zero or very low temperatures. However, as the temperature increases, it is commonly…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-09-08 Ze-Zhou Zhang , Wei Wu

Thermal comfort is essential for well-being in urban spaces, especially as cities face increasing heat from urbanization and climate change. Existing thermal comfort models usually overlook temporal dynamics alongside spatial dependencies.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Federico P. Cortese , Antonio Pievatolo

The Gaussian Process (GP) assumption is often used in functional data analysis. We propose a method to assess departures from the GP assumption, both in terms of the shape of the distribution and its potential dependence on covariates,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Mingyuan Li , Martin A. Lindquist , Edward Gunning , Ciprian Crainiceanu

Multivariate time series may be subject to partial structural changes over certain frequency band, for instance, in neuroscience. We study the change point detection problem with high dimensional time series, within the framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan

We present a general theory to quantify the uncertainty from imposing structural assumptions on the second-order structure of nonstationary Hilbert space-valued processes, which can be measured via functionals of time-dependent spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Anne van Delft , Holger Dette

This paper addresses the problem of change-point detection on sequences of high-dimensional and heterogeneous observations, which also possess a periodic temporal structure. Due to the dimensionality problem, when the time between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-25 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , David Ramírez , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

We present a systematic expansion in the ratio between the level spacing and temperature and employ it to evaluate differences between statistical mechanics and thermodynamics in finite disordered systems. These differences are related to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Alex Kamenev , Yuval Gefen

In this article, we propose a novel method for sampling potential functions based on noisy observation data of a finite number of observables in quantum canonical ensembles, which leads to the accurate sampling of a wide class of test…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Ziheng Chen , Zhennan Zhou

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran