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Full waveform inversion (FWI) can be expressed in a Bayesian framework, where the associated uncertainties are captured by the posterior probability distribution (PPD). In practice, solving Bayesian FWI with sampling-based methods such as…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-11-05 Shuhua Hu , Mrinal K Sen , Zeyu Zhao , Abdelrahman Elmeliegy , Shuo Zhang

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has achieved great successes in data assimilation in atmospheric and oceanic sciences, but its failure in convergence to the right filtering distribution precludes its use for uncertainty quantification. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Peiyi Zhang , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

We introduce a gradient-free framework for Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) in sequential settings, aimed at complex systems where gradient information is unavailable. Our method combines Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-22 Robert Gruhlke , Matei Hanu , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker

Stochastic reservoir characterization, a critical aspect of subsurface exploration for oil and gas reservoirs, relies on stochastic methods to model and understand subsurface properties using seismic data. This paper addresses the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-07 Karen S Auestad , The Tien Mai , Mina Spremic , Jo Eidsvik

Ensemble Kalman inversion is a parallelizable derivative-free method to solve inverse problems. The method uses an ensemble that follows the Kalman update formula iteratively to solve an optimization problem. The ensemble size is crucial to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Yoonsang Lee

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

We propose a new algorithm for an adaptive optics system control law which allows to reduce the computational burden in the case of an Extremely Large Telescope (ELT) and to deal with non-stationary behaviors of the turbulence. This…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Morgan Gray , Cyril Petit , Sergey Rodionov , Laurent Bertino , Marc Bocquet , Thierry Fusco

The fundamental computational issues in Bayesian inverse problems (BIP) governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) stem from the requirement of repeated forward model evaluations. A popular strategy to reduce such costs is to replace…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Zhiwei Gao , Liang Yan , Tao Zhou

The ensemble Kalman inversion is widely used in practice to estimate unknown parameters from noisy measurement data. Its low computational costs, straightforward implementation, and non-intrusive nature makes the method appealing in various…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Dirk Blömker , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker , Simon Weissmann

Ensemble transform Kalman filtering (ETKF) data assimilation is often used to combine available observations with numerical simulations to obtain statistically accurate and reliable state representations in dynamical systems. However, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

Ensemble methods have become ubiquitous for the solution of Bayesian inference problems. State-of-the-art Langevin samplers such as the Ensemble Kalman Sampler (EKS), Affine Invariant Langevin Dynamics (ALDI) or its extension using weighted…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-23 Martin Eigel , Robert Gruhlke , David Sommer

Sample-based Bayesian inference provides a route to uncertainty quantification in the geosciences, and inverse problems in general, though is very computationally demanding in the naive form that requires simulating an accurate computer…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-12 Tiangang Cui , Colin Fox , Michael J O'Sullivan

In the classical Kalman filter(KF), the estimated state is a linear combination of the one-step predicted state and measurement state, their confidence level change when the prediction mean square error matrix and covariance matrix of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Benyang Gong , Jiacheng He , Gang Wang , Bei Peng

Accurate and computationally light algorithms for estimating the State of Charge (SoC) of a battery's cells are crucial for effective battery management on embedded systems. In this letter, we propose an Adaptive Extended Kalman Filter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-09 António Barros , Edoardo Peretti , Davide Fabroni , Diego Carrera , Pasqualina Fragneto , Giacomo Boracchi

Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT) is a widely used and interpretable student modeling approach in intelligent tutoring systems and educational data mining. However, most implementations rely on expectation-maximization or related…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Siddhartha Pradhan , Yanping Pei , Morgan Lee , Puyuan Zhang , Erin Ottmar , Adam C. Sales

Compressed Estimation approaches, such as the Generalised Compressed Kalman Filter (GCKF), reduce the computational cost and complexity of high dimensional and high frequency data assimilation problems; usually without sacrificing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Karan Narula , Jose Guivant

Accurate estimation of noise parameters is critical for optimal filter performance, especially in systems where true noise parameter values are unknown or time-varying. This article presents a quaternion left-invariant extended Kalman…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-09 Yash Pandey , Rahul Bhattacharyya , Yatindra Nath Singh

The Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) is a ubiquitous tool for nonlinear state estimation; however, its performance is limited by the static parameterization of the Unscented Transform (UT). Conventional weighting schemes, governed by fixed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Kenan Majewski , Michał Modzelewski , Marcin Żugaj , Piotr Lichota

In order to integrate uncertainty estimates into deep time-series modelling, Kalman Filters (KFs) (Kalman et al., 1960) have been integrated with deep learning models, however, such approaches typically rely on approximate inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Philipp Becker , Harit Pandya , Gregor Gebhardt , Cheng Zhao , James Taylor , Gerhard Neumann

We describe an application of the Invariant Extended Kalman Filter (IEKF) design methodology to the scan matching SLAM problem. We review the theoretical foundations of the IEKF and its practical interest of guaranteeing robustness to poor…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-10-17 Martin Barczyk , Silvère Bonnabel , Jean-Emmanuel Deschaud , François Goulette
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