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In over-identified models, misspecification -- the norm rather than exception -- fundamentally changes what estimators estimate. Different estimators imply different estimands rather than different efficiency for the same target. A review…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Isaiah Andrews , Jiafeng Chen , Otavio Tecchio

Generalization error bounds are critical to understanding the performance of machine learning models. In this work, building upon a new bound of the expected value of an arbitrary function of the population and empirical risk of a learning…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

In the context of statistical learning, the Information Bottleneck method seeks a right balance between accuracy and generalization capability through a suitable tradeoff between compression complexity, measured by minimum description…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Mohammad Mahdi Mahvari , Mari Kobayashi , Abdellatif Zaidi

This work performs a non-asymptotic analysis of the generalized Lasso under the assumption of sub-exponential data. Our main results continue recent research on the benchmark case of (sub-)Gaussian sample distributions and thereby explore…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Martin Genzel , Christian Kipp

Statistical inference more often than not involves models which are non-linear in the parameters thus leading to non-Gaussian posteriors. Many computational and analytical tools exist that can deal with non-Gaussian distributions, and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-01-20 Eileen Giesel , Robert Reischke , Björn Malte Schäfer , Dominic Chia

We present a new class of estimators of Shannon entropy for severely undersampled discrete distributions. It is based on a generalization of an estimator proposed by T. Schuermann, which itself is a generalization of an estimator proposed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Peter Grassberger

Post-data statistical inference concerns making probability statements about model parameters conditional on observed data. When a priori knowledge about parameters is available, post-data inference can be conveniently made from Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Yang Liu , Jan Hannig , Alexander C Murph

Fisher information is a lower bound on the uncertainty in the statistical estimation of classical and quantum mechanical parameters. While some deterministic dynamical systems are not subject to random fluctuations, they do still have a…

Classical Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mohamed Sahbani , Swetamber Das , Jason R. Green

We consider natural and general exponential families $(Q_m)_{m\in M}$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ parametrized by the means. We study the submodels $(Q_{\theta m_1+(1-\theta)m_2})_{\theta\in[0,1]}$ parametrized by a segment in the means domain,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-07 Piotr Graczyk , Salha Mamane

The efficient modeling for disorder in a phenomena depends on the chosen score and objective functions. The main parameters in modeling are location, scale and shape. The exponential power distribution known as generalized Gaussian is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-08 Mehmet Niyazi Çankaya

We examine the connection between training error and generalization error for arbitrary estimating procedures, working in an overparameterized linear model under general priors in a Bayesian setup. We find determining factors inherent to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Chen Cheng , Rina Foygel Barber

Quantum Fisher information places the fundamental limit to the accuracy of estimating an unknown parameter. Here we shall provide the quantum Fisher information an operational meaning: a mixed state can be so prepared that a given…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-02-22 Sixia Yu

The recent developments of social networks and recommender systems have dramatically increased the amount of social information shared in human communities, challenging the human ability to process it. As a result, sharing aggregated forms…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-12 Bertrand Jayles , Clément Sire , Ralf H. J. M Kurvers

In this paper we have proposed a median based estimator using known value of some population parameter(s) in simple random sampling. Various existing estimators are shown particular members of the proposed estimator. The bias and mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Hemant K. Verma , Rajesh Singh , Florentin Smarandache

In this short note, we consider the problem of estimating multivariate hypergeometric parameters under squared error loss when side information in aggregated data is available. We use the symmetric multinomial prior to obtain Bayes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-08 Yasuyuki Hamura

We derive an extended empirical likelihood for parameters defined by estimating equations which generalizes the original empirical likelihood for such parameters to the full parameter space. Under mild conditions, the extended empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Min Tsao , Fan Wu

We present a general framework for studying regularized estimators; such estimators are pervasive in estimation problems wherein "plug-in" type estimators are either ill-defined or ill-behaved. Within this framework, we derive, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Michael Jansson , Demian Pouzo

We aim to make inferences about a smooth, finite-dimensional parameter by fusing data from multiple sources together. Previous works have studied the estimation of a variety of parameters in similar data fusion settings, including in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-03 Sijia Li , Alex Luedtke

Motivated by big data and the vast parameter spaces in modern machine learning models, optimisation approaches to Bayesian inference have seen a surge in popularity in recent years. In this paper, we address the connection between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Lachlan Astfalck , Cassandra Bird , Daniel Williamson

Choosing the Fisher information as the metric tensor for a Riemannian manifold provides a powerful yet fundamental way to understand statistical distribution families. Distances along this manifold become a compelling measure of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Brodie A. J. Lawson , Kevin Burrage , Kerrie Mengersen , Rodrigo Weber dos Santos