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For modeling multivariate financial time series we propose a single factor copula model together with stochastic volatility margins. This model generalizes single factor models relying on the multivariate normal distribution and allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-22 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

In this paper we propose to evaluate and compare Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to estimate the parameters in a generalized extreme value model. We employed the Bayesian approach using traditional Metropolis-Hastings methods,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-03 Marcelo Hartmann , Ricardo Ehlers

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is a powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method that uses Hamiltonian dynamics to generate samples from a target distribution. To fully exploit its potential, we must understand how…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-27 Abraham Granados , Isaías Bañales

The goal of this article is to introduce the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method -- a Hamiltonian dynamics-inspired algorithm for sampling from a Gibbs density $\pi(x) \propto e^{-f(x)}$. We focus on the "idealized" case, where one can…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

Established methods for unsupervised representation learning such as variational autoencoders produce none or poorly calibrated uncertainty estimates making it difficult to evaluate if learned representations are stable and reliable. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Marco Miani , Frederik Warburg , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Nicke Skafte Detlefsen , Søren Hauberg

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and related algorithms have become routinely used in Bayesian computation. In this article, we present a simple and provably accurate method to improve the efficiency of HMC and related algorithms with…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-10 Akihiko Nishimura , David Dunson

This paper presents a study using the Bayesian approach in stochastic volatility models for modeling financial time series, using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods (HMC). We propose the use of other distributions for the errors in the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-07 David S. Dias , Ricardo S. Ehlers

Federated Learning (FL) has emerged as the state-of-the-art approach for learning from decentralized data in privacy-constrained scenarios.However, system and statistical challenges hinder its real-world applicability, requiring efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Riccardo Zaccone , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy , Carlo Masone , Marco Ciccone

Strongly correlated fermionic systems are of great interest in condensed matter physics and numerical methods are indispensable tools for their study. However, existing approaches such as exact diagonalization (ED) and stochastic quantum…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-03-19 Finn L. Temmen , Martina Gisti , David J. Luitz , Thomas Luu , Johann Ostmeyer

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a state-of-the-art Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithm for drawing samples from smooth probability densities over continuous spaces. We study the variant most widely used in practice, Metropolized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Yuansi Chen , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

Federated Learning (FL) enables large-scale distributed training of machine learning models, while still allowing individual nodes to maintain data locally. However, executing FL at scale comes with inherent practical challenges: 1)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Hossein Zakerinia , Shayan Talaei , Giorgi Nadiradze , Dan Alistarh

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a state of the art method for sampling from distributions with differentiable densities, but can converge slowly when applied to challenging multimodal problems. Running HMC with a time varying Hamiltonian,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Reuben Cohn-Gordon , Uroš Seljak , Dries Sels

Variational inference lies at the core of many state-of-the-art algorithms. To improve the approximation of the posterior beyond parametric families, it was proposed to include MCMC steps into the variational lower bound. In this work we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Christopher Wolf , Maximilian Karl , Patrick van der Smagt

Phylogenetic comparative methods correct for shared evolutionary history among a set of non-independent organisms by modeling sample traits as arising from a diffusion process along on the branches of a possibly unknown history. To…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-30 Paul Bastide , Lam Si Tung Ho , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A Suchard

Federated Learning (FL) has emerged as a promising method to collaboratively learn from decentralized and heterogeneous data available at different clients without the requirement of data ever leaving the clients. Recent works on FL have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Shivam Pal , Aishwarya Gupta , Saqib Sarwar , Piyush Rai

Dynamically rescaled Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (DRHMC) is introduced as a computationally fast and easily implemented method for performing full Bayesian analysis in hierarchical statistical models. The method relies on introducing a modified…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-23 Tore Selland Kleppe

Probabilistic (or Bayesian) modeling and learning offers interesting possibilities for systematic representation of uncertainty using probability theory. However, probabilistic learning often leads to computationally challenging problems.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

We consider the problem of sampling from posterior distributions for Bayesian models where some parameters are restricted to be orthogonal matrices. Such matrices are sometimes used in neural networks models for reasons of regularization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-24 Viktor Yanush , Dmitry Kropotov

Federated learning (FL) has become a hot research area in enabling the collaborative training of machine learning models among multiple clients that hold sensitive local data. Nevertheless, unconstrained federated optimization has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Ying Cui , Yangchen Li , Chencheng Ye

We generalize the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm with a stack of neural network layers and evaluate its ability to sample from different topologies in a two dimensional lattice gauge theory. We demonstrate that our model is able to…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-05-10 Sam Foreman , Xiao-Yong Jin , James C. Osborn