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Factor extraction from systems of variables with a large cross-sectional dimension, $N$, is often based on either Principal Components (PC)-based procedures, or Kalman filter (KF)-based procedures. Measuring the uncertainty of the extracted…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-08 Matteo Barigozzi , Diego Fresoli , Esther Ruiz

The research question we answer in this paper is whether the asymptotic distribution derived by Bai (2003) for Principal Components (PC) factors in dynamic factor models (DFMs) can approximate the empirical distribution of the sequential…

We consider the estimation of approximate factor models for time series data, where strong serial and cross-sectional correlations amongst the idiosyncratic component are present. This setting comes up naturally in many applications, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

It is well-known that the approximate factor models have the rotation indeterminacy. It has been considered that the principal component (PC) estimators estimate some rotations of the true factors and factor loadings, but the rotation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Peiyun Jiang , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Takashi Yamagata

We study principal components regression (PCR) in an asymptotic high-dimensional regression setting, where the number of data points is proportional to the dimension. We derive exact limiting formulas for the estimation and prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Alden Green , Elad Romanov

A general asymptotic framework is developed for studying consis- tency properties of principal component analysis (PCA). Our frame- work includes several previously studied domains of asymptotics as special cases and allows one to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Dan Shen , Haipeng Shen , J. S. Marron

This paper studies the principal components (PC) estimator for high dimensional approximate factor models with weak factors in that the factor loading ($\boldsymbol{\Lambda}^0$) scales sublinearly in the number $N$ of cross-section units,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-12 Jungjun Choi , Ming Yuan

Estimation of high-dimensional covariance matrices in latent factor models is an important topic in many fields and especially in finance. Since the number of financial assets grows while the estimation window length remains of limited…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Lucija Žignić , Stjepan Begušić , Zvonko Kostanjčar

This paper investigates the properties of Quasi Maximum Likelihood estimation of an approximate factor model for an $n$-dimensional vector of stationary time series. We prove that the factor loadings estimated by Quasi Maximum Likelihood…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-28 Matteo Barigozzi

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

This paper focuses on the analysis of spatially correlated functional data. The between-curve correlation is modeled by correlating functional principal component scores of the functional data. We propose a Spatial Principal Analysis by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Chong Liu , Surajit Ray , Giles Hooker

We consider estimation of large approximate factor models in high-dimensional panels of stationary time series using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). We review the key results establishing the necessary and sufficient conditions for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Matteo Barigozzi

Error-in-variables regression is a common ingredient in treatment effect estimators using panel data. This includes synthetic control estimators, counterfactual time series forecasting estimators, and combinations. We study high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 David A. Hirshberg

This paper introduces an econometric framework for analyzing cross-sectional dependence in the idiosyncratic volatilities of assets using high frequency data. We first consider the estimation of standard measures of dependence in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-08 Ilze Kalnina , Kokouvi Tewou

This paper introduces a straightforward sieve-based approach for estimating and conducting inference on regression parameters in panel data models with interactive fixed effects. The method's key assumption is that factor loadings can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Georg Keilbar , Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo , Alexandra Soberon , Weining Wang

We analyse the prediction error of principal component regression (PCR) and prove non-asymptotic upper bounds for the corresponding squared risk. Under mild assumptions, we show that PCR performs as well as the oracle method obtained by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Martin Wahl

Information criteria (IC) have been widely used in factor models to estimate an unknown number of latent factors. It has recently been shown that IC perform well in Common Correlated Effects (CCE) and related setups in selecting a set of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Jan Ditzen , Ovidijus Stauskas

This paper focuses on estimating the coefficients and average partial effects of observed regressors in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects, using the common correlated effects (CCE) framework. The proposed two-step…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-27 Liang Chen , Minyuan Zhang

Distributed principal component analysis (PCA) produces node-level estimates of both a mean vector and a principal subspace. Robustly aggregating these heterogeneous objects requires a relative scale between mean error and subspace error.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Kisung You

Causal discovery methods based on the PC algorithm are proven to be sound if all structural assumptions are fulfilled and all conditional independence tests are correct. This idealized setting is rarely given in real data. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-19 Sofia Faltenbacher , Jonas Wahl , Rebecca Herman , Jakob Runge
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