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Very short-term convective storm forecasting, termed nowcasting, has long been an important issue and has attracted substantial interest. Existing nowcasting methods rely principally on radar images and are limited in terms of nowcasting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Wei Zhang , Wei Li , Lei Han

We propose a novel deep learning framework, named SYMHnet, which employs a graph neural network and a bidirectional long short-term memory network to cooperatively learn patterns from solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field parameters…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-28 Yasser Abduallah , Khalid A. Alobaid , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang , Vania K. Jordanova , Vasyl Yurchyshyn , Huseyin Cavus , Ju Jing

Accurate Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for collaborative design of complex systems, Digital Twin building, and maintenance ahead of time. However, the collaborative industrial environment presents new challenges for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Kun Xia , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

Accurate Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) forecasting is critical for grid stability, particularly in arid regions characterized by rapid aerosol fluctuations. While recent trends favor computationally expensive Transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Mohammed Ezzaldin Babiker Abdullah , Rufaidah Abdallah Ibrahim Mohammed

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are highly destructive and inherently uncertain weather systems. Ensemble forecasting helps quantify these uncertainties, yet traditional systems are constrained by high computational costs and limited capability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Jun Liu , Tao Zhou , Jiarui Li , Xiaohui Zhong , Peng Zhang , Jie Feng , Lei Chen , Hao Li

Forecasting severe weather conditions is still a very challenging and computationally expensive task due to the enormous amount of data and the complexity of the underlying physics. Machine learning approaches and especially deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Christian Schön , Jens Dittrich

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

We present geomagnetic storms (GSs) selected from three solar cycles, spanning the years 1995 to 2022. We studied the development of the main phase of storms within disturbance storm time (Dst) amplitudes ranging from Dst =-64 nT to Dst=-…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-07 Osman M. Ahmed , Badruudin Zaheer Ahmad , Moncef Derouich

We present a novel algorithm that predicts the probability that the time derivative of the horizontal component of the ground magnetic field $dB/dt$ exceeds a specified threshold at a given location. This quantity provides important…

Space Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Enrico Camporeale , M. D. Cash , H. J. Singer , C. C. Balch , Z. Huang , G. Toth

Suspended in the atmosphere are millions of tonnes of mineral dust which interacts with weather and climate. Accurate representation of mineral dust in weather models is vital, yet remains challenging. Large scale weather models use high…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-18 Trish E. Nowak , Andy T. Augousti , Benno I. Simmons , Stefan Siegert

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is needed for the rapid development and efficient operation of wind energy resources. This is, however, a very challenging problem. Although on the large scale, the wind speed is related to…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-08 Xinxin Zhu , Kenneth P. Bowman , Marc G. Genton

Predicting typhoon intensity accurately across space and time is crucial for issuing timely disaster warnings and facilitating emergency response. This has vast potential for minimizing life losses and property damages as well as reducing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Huanxin Chen , Pengshuai Yin , Huichou Huang , Qingyao Wu , Ruirui Liu , Xiatian Zhu

Accurate prediction of tropical cyclones remains a major challenge for both numerical weather prediction and emerging artificial intelligence weather prediction systems. While recent global AI models have demonstrated strong skill in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-17 Zeyi Niu , Wei Huang , Sirong Huang , Zhuo Wang , Mu Mu , Mengqi Yang , Xinhai Han , Haofei Sun , Zhaoyang Huo , Bo Qin

Accurate short-term warnings for extreme precipitation are critical for global disaster mitigation but are hindered by a persistent predictability barrier at the 2-6 hour horizon -- the "nowcasting gray zone." In this window, traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-29 Haofei Sun , Yunfan Yang , Wei Han , Wei Huang , Huaguan Chen , Zhiqiu Gao , Zeting Li , Zhaoyang Huo , Zeyi Niu

Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs), a prominent approach in Quantum Machine Learning (QML), are emerging as a powerful alternative to classical machine learning methods. Recent studies have focused on the applicability of QNNs to various tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Batuhan Hangun , Oguz Altun , Onder Eyecioglu

Wind power forecasting plays a critical role in modern energy systems, facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. Accurate prediction of wind energy output is essential for managing the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Ali Forootani , Danial Esmaeili Aliabadi , Daniela Thraen

As global warming increases the complexity of weather patterns; the precision of weather forecasting becomes increasingly important. Our study proposes a novel preprocessing method and convolutional autoencoder model developed to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang , Minjong Cheon

Wind power forecasting helps with the planning for the power systems by contributing to having a higher level of certainty in decision-making. Due to the randomness inherent to meteorological events (e.g., wind speeds), making highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Syed Kazmi , Berk Gorgulu , Mucahit Cevik , Mustafa Gokce Baydogan

A storm is a type of extreme weather. Therefore, forecasting the path of a storm is extremely important for protecting human life and property. However, storm forecasting is very challenging because storm trajectories frequently change. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Nguyen Van Thanh , Nguyen Dang Huynh , Nguyen Ngoc Tan , Nguyen Thai Minh , Nguyen Nam Hoang