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Structural changes occur in dynamic networks quite frequently and its detection is an important question in many situations such as fraud detection or cybersecurity. Real-life networks are often incompletely observed due to individual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Farida Enikeeva , Olga Klopp

This study introduces and compares the Hankel dynamic mode decomposition with control (Hankel-DMDc) and a novel Bayesian extension of Hankel-DMDc as model-free (i.e., data-driven and equation-free) approaches for system identification and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-25 Giorgio Palma , Andrea Serani , Shawn Aram , David W. Wundrow , David Drazen , Matteo Diez

Online change detection (OCD) aims to rapidly identify change points in streaming data and is critical in applications such as power system monitoring, wireless network sensing, and financial anomaly detection. Existing OCD methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Zelin Zhu , Yancheng Huang , Kai Yang

In safety-critical Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS), accurate trajectory prediction provides vital guidance for downstream planning and control, yet although deep learning models achieve high-fidelity forecasts on validation data, their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Tongfei Guo , Lili Su

This paper introduces a concept for change-point detection based on normalized entropy as a fundamental metric, aiming to overcome the dependence of traditional entropy methods on assumptions about data distribution and absolute scales.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-18 Qingqing Song , Shaoliang Xia

Many traditional methods for identifying changepoints can struggle in the presence of outliers, or when the noise is heavy-tailed. Often they will infer additional changepoints in order to fit the outliers. To overcome this problem, data…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 Paul Fearnhead , Guillem Rigaill

Anomaly detection methods are part of the systems where rare events may endanger an operation's profitability, safety, and environmental aspects. Although many state-of-the-art anomaly detection methods were developed to date, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Marek Wadinger , Michal Kvasnica

Many modern applications require detecting change points in complex sequential data. Most existing methods for change point detection are unsupervised and, as a consequence, lack any information regarding what kind of changes we want to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Nauman Ahad , Eva L. Dyer , Keith B. Hengen , Yao Xie , Mark A. Davenport

We propose a data-driven tracking model predictive control (MPC) scheme to control unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant systems. The scheme uses a purely data-driven system parametrization to predict future trajectories based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-19 Julian Berberich , Johannes Köhler , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

We propose estimation methods for change points in high-dimensional covariance structures with an emphasis on challenging scenarios with missing values. We advocate three imputation like methods and investigate their implications on common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-26 Malte Londschien , Solt Kovács , Peter Bühlmann

This article presents a selective survey of algorithms for the offline detection of multiple change points in multivariate time series. A general yet structuring methodological strategy is adopted to organize this vast body of work. More…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Charles Truong , Laurent Oudre , Nicolas Vayatis

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-20 Song Liu , Makoto Yamada , Nigel Collier , Masashi Sugiyama

This work delves into presenting a probabilistic method for analyzing linear process data with weakly dependent innovations, focusing on detecting change-points in the mean and estimating its spectral density. We develop a test for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Ramkrishna Jyoti Samanta

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

Sensor signals acquired in the industrial process contain rich information which can be analyzed to facilitate effective monitoring of the process, early detection of system anomalies, quick diagnosis of fault root causes, and intelligent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-27 Feng Ye , Zhijie Xia , Min Dai , Zhisheng Zhang

In many real-world problems of real-time monitoring high-dimensional streaming data, one wants to detect an undesired event or change quickly once it occurs, but under the sampling control constraint in the sense that one might be able to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Wanrong Zhang , Yajun Mei

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Detection of change-points in a sequence of high-dimensional observations is a very challenging problem, and this becomes even more challenging when the sample size (i.e., the sequence length) is small. In this article, we propose some…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Trisha Dawn , Angshuman Roy , Alokesh Manna , Anil K. Ghosh

This paper studies change point detection on networks with community structures. It proposes a framework that can detect both local and global changes in networks efficiently. Importantly, it can clearly distinguish the two types of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Yu Wang , Aniket Chakrabarti , David Sivakoff , Srinivasan Parthasarathy
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