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Travel behaviour modellers have an increasingly diverse set of models at their disposal, ranging from traditional econometric structures to models from mathematical psychology and data-driven approaches from machine learning. A key question…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-15 Stephane Hess , Sander van Cranenburgh

Mobility service route design requires demand information to operate in a service region. Transit planners and operators can access various data sources including household travel survey data and mobile device location logs. However, when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Gyugeun Yoon , Joseph Y. J. Chow

In order to maintain consistent quality of service, computer network engineers face the task of monitoring the traffic fluctuations on the individual links making up the network. However, due to resource constraints and limited access, it…

Applications · Statistics 2010-05-26 Joel Vaughan , Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis

We consider a distributed estimation method in a setting with heterogeneous streams of correlated data distributed across nodes in a network. In the considered approach, linear models are estimated locally (i.e., with only local data)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Lingzhou Hong , Alfredo Garcia , Ceyhun Eksin

Time-limited states characterise many dynamical processes on networks: disease infected individuals recover after some time, people forget news spreading on social networks, or passengers may not wait forever for a connection. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-13 Arash Badie-Modiri , Márton Karsai , Mikko Kivelä

The problem of predicting links in large networks is an important task in a variety of practical applications, including social sciences, biology and computer security. In this paper, statistical techniques for link prediction based on the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-01 Francesco Sanna Passino , Anna S. Bertiger , Joshua C. Neil , Nicholas A. Heard

In this paper, we propose an ETA model (Estimated Time of Arrival) that leverages an attention mechanism over historical road speed patterns. As autonomous driving and intelligent transportation systems become increasingly prevalent, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 ByeoungDo Kim , JunYeop Na , Kyungwook Tak , JunTae Kim , DongHyeon Kim , Duckky Kim

An important aspect of the quality of a public transport service is its reliability, which is defined as the invariability of the service attributes. Preventive measures taken during planning can reduce risks of unreliability throughout…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Léa Ricard , Guy Desaulniers , Andrea Lodi , Louis-Martin Rousseau

Increasing popularity of mobile route planning applications based on GPS technology provides opportunities for collecting traffic data in urban environments. One of the main challenges for travel time estimation and prediction in such a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Indre Zliobaite , Mikhail Khokhlov

This paper presents online-capable deep learning model for probabilistic vehicle trajectory prediction. We propose a simple encoder-decoder architecture based on multi-head attention. The proposed model generates the distribution of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Hayoung Kim , Dongchan Kim , Gihoon Kim , Jeongmin Cho , Kunsoo Huh

We develop a probabilistic framework for global modeling of the traffic over a computer network. This model integrates existing single-link (-flow) traffic models with the routing over the network to capture the global traffic behavior. It…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-05-25 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Joel Vaughan

Congestion emerges when high demand peaks put transportation systems under stress. Understanding the interplay between the spatial organization of demand, the route choices of citizens, and the underlying infrastructures is thus crucial to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-29 Aleix Bassolas , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

Research in statistical relational learning has produced a number of methods for learning relational models from large-scale network data. While these methods have been successfully applied in various domains, they have been developed under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-22 Jiasen Yang , Bruno Ribeiro , Jennifer Neville

We present a machine learning based approach to address the study of transport processes, ubiquitous in continuous mechanics, with particular attention to those phenomena ruled by complex micro-physics, impractical to theoretical…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2022-06-16 Francesco Miniati , Gianluca Gregori

We investigate searching efficiency of different kinds of random walk on complex networks which rely on local information and one-step memory. For the studied navigation strategies we obtained theoretical and numerical values for the graph…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Miroslav Mirchev , Lasko Basnarkov , Igor Mishkovski

Accurately forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy with uncertainty is essential for both travelers and transit agencies/operators. However, existing approaches to forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy mainly rely…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Alexandra M. Schmidt , Lijun Sun

Traditional and modern machine learning-based path loss models typically assume a constant prediction variance. We propose a neural network that jointly predicts the mean and link-specific variance by minimizing a Gaussian negative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Jonathan Ethier

Uncertainty quantification in travel time estimation (TTE) aims to estimate the confidence interval for travel time, given the origin (O), destination (D), and departure time (T). Accurately quantifying this uncertainty requires generating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Xiaowei Mao , Yan Lin , Shengnan Guo , Yubin Chen , Xingyu Xian , Haomin Wen , Qisen Xu , Youfang Lin , Huaiyu Wan

Dynamic networks have intrinsic structural, computational, and multidisciplinary advantages. Link prediction estimates the next relationship in dynamic networks. However, in the current link prediction approaches, only bipartite or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Mohamoud Ali , Yugyung Lee , Praveen Rao

The rise of location positioning technologies has generated enormous volumes of digital footprints. Translating this big data into understandable trip patterns plays a crucial role in estimating infrastructure demands. Previous studies were…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Bita Sadeghinasr , Armin Akhavan , Qi Wang