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We present a scale-bridging approach based on a multi-fidelity (MF) machine-learning (ML) framework leveraging Gaussian processes (GP) to fuse atomistic computational model predictions across multiple levels of fidelity. Through the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-06 Anh Tran , Julien Tranchida , Tim Wildey , Aidan P. Thompson

Deep Bayesian neural network has aroused a great attention in recent years since it combines the benefits of deep neural network and probability theory. Because of this, the network can make predictions and quantify the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Yikuan Li , Yajie Zhu

This paper considers the problem of sequential fusion of predictions from neural networks (NN) and fusion of predictions from multiple NN. This fusion strategy increases the robustness, i.e., reduces the impact of one incorrect…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-13 Magnus Malmström , Isaac Skog , Daniel Axehill , Fredrik Gustafsson

This study aims to comprehensively investigate the deep ensemble approach, an approximate Bayesian inference, in the multi-output regression task for predicting the aerodynamic performance of a missile configuration. To this end, the effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Sunwoong Yang , Kwanjung Yee

Deep learning models, including modern systems like large language models, are well known to offer unreliable estimates of the uncertainty of their decisions. In order to improve the quality of the confidence levels, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Jiayi Huang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

This paper introduces a novel approach to quantify the uncertainties in fault diagnosis of motor drives using Bayesian neural networks (BNN). Conventional data-driven approaches used for fault diagnosis often rely on point-estimate neural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-16 Subham Sahoo , Huai Wang , Frede Blaabjerg

Fast machine learning-based surrogate models are trained to emulate slow, high-fidelity engineering simulation models to accelerate engineering design tasks. This introduces uncertainty as the surrogate is only an approximation of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-08 Paul Westermann , Ralph Evins

Recently, combinations of generative and Bayesian machine learning have been introduced in particle physics for both fast detector simulation and inference tasks. These neural networks aim to quantify the uncertainty on the generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Sebastian Bieringer , Sascha Diefenbacher , Gregor Kasieczka , Mathias Trabs

The Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is a hospital department where machine learning has the potential to provide valuable assistance in clinical decision making. Classical machine learning models usually only provide point-estimates and no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 David Ruhe , Giovanni Cinà , Michele Tonutti , Daan de Bruin , Paul Elbers

Reliable inference requires that artificial intelligence (AI) models provide trustworthy uncertainty estimates, not merely accurate predictions. Recent advances in Bayesian learning have made significant progress toward this goal, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jiayi Huang

Mathematical models in computational physics contain uncertain parameters that impact prediction accuracy. In turbulence modeling, this challenge is especially significant: Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Sanjan C. Muchandimath , Joaquim R. R. A. Martins , Alex A. Gorodetsky

In recent times, neural networks have become a powerful tool for the analysis of complex and abstract data models. However, their introduction intrinsically increases our uncertainty about which features of the analysis are model-related…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Tom Charnock , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur , François Lanusse

Neural-network-based machine learning interatomic potentials have emerged as powerful tools for predicting atomic energies and forces, enabling accurate and efficient simulations in atomistic modeling. A key limitation of traditional deep…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-09-24 Riccardo Farris , Emanuele Telari , Nongnuch Artrith , Konstantin Neyman , Albert Bruix

The Bayesian machine learning is a promising tool for the evaluation of nuclear fission data but its potential capability has not been fully realized. We attempt to optimize the performances of the multilayer Bayesian neural networks for…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-12-22 Zi-Ao Wang , Junchen Pei

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made a revolution in numerous fields during the last decade. However, in tasks with high safety requirements, such as medical or autonomous driving applications, providing an assessment of the models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Omer Achrack , Raizy Kellerman , Ouriel Barzilay

Machine learning strategies like multi-task learning, meta-learning, and transfer learning enable efficient adaptation of machine learning models to specific applications in healthcare, such as prediction of various diseases, by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Sophie Wharrie , Lisa Eick , Lotta Mäkinen , Andrea Ganna , Samuel Kaski , FinnGen

Deep learning is envisioned to play a key role in the design of future wireless receivers. A popular approach to design learning-aided receivers combines deep neural networks (DNNs) with traditional model-based receiver algorithms,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Tomer Raviv , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Nir Shlezinger

Data-driven prediction of fluid flow and temperature distribution in marine and aerospace engineering has received extensive research and demonstrated its potential in real-time prediction recently. However, usually large amounts of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-02 Yanfang Lyu , Xiaoyu Zhao , Zhiqiang Gong , Xiao Kang , Wen Yao

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performances in many important domains, including medical diagnosis, security, and autonomous driving. In these domains where safety is highly critical, an erroneous decision can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Aryan Mobiny , Hien V. Nguyen , Supratik Moulik , Naveen Garg , Carol C. Wu

Accurate aerodynamic prediction often relies on high-fidelity simulations; however, their prohibitive computational costs severely limit their applicability in data-driven modeling. This limitation motivates the development of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Javier Nieto-Centenero , Esther Andrés , Rodrigo Castellanos
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