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We propose a new method for identifying and estimating the CP-factor models for matrix time series. Unlike the generalized eigenanalysis-based method of Chang et al. (2023) for which the convergence rates of the associated estimators may…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Jinyuan Chang , Yue Du , Guanglin Huang , Qiwei Yao

Reduced-rank decompositions provide descriptions of the variation among the elements of a matrix or array. In such decompositions, the elements of an array are expressed as products of low-dimensional latent factors. This article presents a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-01 Peter Hoff

We show how random matrix theory can be applied to develop new algorithms to extract dynamic factors from macroeconomic time series. In particular, we consider a limit where the number of random variables N and the number of consecutive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-19 Małgorzata Snarska

We propose the first comprehensive treatment of high-dimensional time series factor models with multiple change-points in their second-order structure. We operate under the most flexible definition of piecewise stationarity, and estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Substantial progress has been made recently on developing provably accurate and efficient algorithms for low-rank matrix factorization via nonconvex optimization. While conventional wisdom often takes a dim view of nonconvex optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Yuejie Chi , Yue M. Lu , Yuxin Chen

This paper is concerned with the study of the stability of dynamical systems evolving on time scales. We first {formalize the notion of matrix measures on time scales, prove some of their key properties and make use of this notion to study…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-10 Giovanni Russo , Fabian Wirth

We propose a new and interpretable class of high-dimensional tail dependence models based on latent linear factor structures. Specifically, extremal dependence of an observable vector is assumed to be driven by a lower-dimensional latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Alexis Boulin , Axel Bücher

We propose a novel framework for analyzing multivariate time series (MTS) data by integrating non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) with vector autoregression (VAR). Termed NMF-VAR, this method models the coefficient matrix of NMF as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Kenichi Satoh

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a powerful tool in modeling complex time series and has been exploited in many fields. However, fitting high dimensional VAR model poses some unique challenges: On one hand, the dimensionality,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-30 Fang Han , Huanran Lu , Han Liu

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

We discuss Bayesian analysis of multivariate time series with dynamic factor models that exploit time-adaptive sparsity in model parametrizations via the latent threshold approach. One central focus is on the transfer responses of multiple…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-07 Jouchi Nakajima , Mike West

Modeling high-dimensional time series with simple structures is a challenging problem. This paper proposes a network double autoregression (NDAR) model, which combines the advantages of network structure and the double autoregression (DAR)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Tingting Li , Hao Wang

High-dimensional time series datasets are becoming increasingly common in many areas of biological and social sciences. Some important applications include gene regulatory network reconstruction using time course gene expression data, brain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Sumanta Basu , David S. Matteson

Dynamic graph clustering aims to detect and track time-varying clusters in dynamic graphs, revealing the evolutionary mechanisms of complex real-world dynamic systems. Matrix factorization-based methods are promising approaches for this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Dongyuan Li , Satoshi Kosugi , Ying Zhang , Manabu Okumura , Feng Xia , Renhe Jiang

Factor analysis provides linear factors that describe relationships between individual variables of a data set. We extend this classical formulation into linear factors that describe relationships between groups of variables, where each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-03 Arto Klami , Seppo Virtanen , Eemeli Leppäaho , Samuel Kaski

Modeling matrix-valued time series is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we extend the method of Chang et al. (2017) to matrix-valued time series. For any given $p\times q$ matrix-valued time series, we look for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 Zhaoxing Gao

In financial trading, factor models are widely used to price assets and capture excess returns from mispricing. Recently, we have witnessed the rise of variational autoencoder-based latent factor models, which learn latent factors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Yilei Zhao , Wentao Zhang , Tingran Yang , Yong Jiang , Fei Huang , Wei Yang Bryan Lim

The research paper addresses linear decomposition of time series of non-additive metrics that allows for the identification and interpretation of contributing factors (input features) of variance. Non-additive metrics, such as ratios, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Alex Glushkovsky

The proliferation of mobile devices has led to the collection of large amounts of population data. This situation has prompted the need to utilize this rich, multidimensional data in practical applications. In response to this trend, we…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-18 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

As a principled dimension reduction technique, factor models have been widely adopted in social science, economics, bioinformatics, and many other fields. However, in high-dimensional settings, conducting a 'correct' Bayesianfactor analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-05 Yucong Ma , Jun S. Liu
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