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We present a new class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for solving numerically discrete-time measure-valued equations. The associated stochastic processes belong to the class of self-interacting Markov chains. In contrast…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

We consider the problem of estimating from sample paths the absolute spectral gap $\gamma_*$ of a reversible, irreducible and aperiodic Markov chain $(X_t)_{t \in \mathbb{N}}$ over a finite state space $\Omega$. We propose the ${\tt UCPI}$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-08 Richard Combes , Mikael Touati

An algorithm is proposed for computing equilibrium averages of Markov chains which suffer from metastability -- the tendency to remain in one or more subsets of state space for long time intervals. The algorithm, called the parallel replica…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-11-06 David Aristoff

Owing to their superior modeling capabilities, gated Recurrent Neural Networks, such as Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) and Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTMs), have become popular tools for learning dynamical systems. This paper aims to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Fabio Bonassi , Riccardo Scattolini

We consider nonparametric estimation for functional autoregressive processes with Markov switching. First, we study the case where complete data is available; i.e. when we observe the Markov switching regime. Then we estimate the regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Lisandro Fermín , Ricardo Ríos , Luis-Angel Rodríguez

The study presents a novel approach for stochastic nonlinear model updating in structural dynamics, employing a Bayesian framework integrated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for parameter estimation by using an approximated…

Bayesian inference for Continuous-Time Markov Chains (CTMCs) on countably infinite spaces is notoriously difficult because evaluating the likelihood exactly is intractable. One way to address this challenge is to first build a non-negative…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-31 Miguel Biron-Lattes , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Trevor Campbell

Cortical networks are strongly recurrent, and neurons have intrinsic temporal dynamics. This sets them apart from deep feed-forward networks. Despite the tremendous progress in the application of feed-forward networks and their theoretical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-07-14 Sandra Nestler , Christian Keup , David Dahmen , Matthieu Gilson , Holger Rauhut , Moritz Helias

Recently, a novel bootstrap method for numerical calculations in matrix models and quantum mechanical systems is proposed. We apply the method to certain quantum mechanical systems derived from some well-known local toric Calabi-Yau…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-12-08 Bao-ning Du , Min-xin Huang , Pei-xuan Zeng

This paper provides a specification test for semiparametric models with nonparametrically generated regressors. Such variables are not observed by the researcher but are nonparametrically identified and estimable. Applications of the test…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-26 Elia Lapenta

This paper proposes valid inference tools, based on self-normalization, in time series expected shortfall regressions and, as a corollary, also in quantile regressions. Extant methods for such time series regressions, based on a bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-24 Yannick Hoga , Christian Schulz

This paper presents a centralized recursive optimal scheduling method for a battery system that consists of parallel connected battery modules with different open circuit voltages and battery impedance characteristics. Examples of such a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Yunfeng Jiang , Abdulelah H. Habib , Xin Zhao , Louis J. Shrinkle , Raymond A. de Callafon

We consider the convergence of iterative solvers for problems of nonlinear magnetostatics. Using the equivalence to an underlying minimization problem, we can establish global linear convergence of a large class of methods, including the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Herbert Egger , Felix Engertsberger , Bogdan Radu

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

We introduce an optimization-based reconstruction attack capable of completely or near-completely reconstructing a dataset utilized for training a random forest. Notably, our approach relies solely on information readily available in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Julien Ferry , Ricardo Fukasawa , Timothée Pascal , Thibaut Vidal

The block bootstrap confidence interval based on dependent data can outperform the computationally more convenient normal approximation only with non-trivial Studentization which, in the case of complicated statistics, calls for highly…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-04-29 Stephen M. S. Lee , P. Y. Lai

Adaptive and interacting Markov Chains Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a novel class of non-Markovian algorithms aimed at improving the simulation efficiency for complicated target distributions. In this paper, we study a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , Pierre Vandekerkhove

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

In this work, we propose three efficient restart paradigms for model-free non-stationary reinforcement learning (RL). We identify two core issues with the restart design of Mao et al. (2022)'s RestartQ-UCB algorithm: (1) complete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Hiroshi Nonaka , Simon Ambrozak , Sofia R. Miskala-Dinc , Amedeo Ercole , Aviva Prins

We analyze the bootstrap approach (a dual optimization method to the variational approach) to one-dimensional spin chains, leveraging semidefinite programming to extract numerical results. We study how correlation functions in the ground…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2024-06-27 David Berenstein , George Hulsey , P. N. Thomas Lloyd