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Given a matrix of distribution functions and a quasi-stochastic matrix, i.e. an irreducible nonnegative matrix with maximal eigenvalue one and associated unique positive left and right eigenvectors, the article studies the properties of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Gerold Alsmeyer

In this paper, we propose a novel bootstrap algorithm that is more efficient than existing methods for approximating the distribution of the factor-augmented regression estimator for a rotated parameter vector. The regression is augmented…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Peiyun Jiang , Takashi Yamagata

In this thesis, we introduce new tools for the conformal bootstrap, autoboot and qboot. Each tool solves a different step in the whole computational stack, and combined with an existing efficient tool SDPB which solves semidefinite…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-06-09 Mocho Go

A bootstrap procedure for functional time series is proposed which exploits a general vector autoregressive representation of the time series of Fourier coefficients appearing in the Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansion of the functional process. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Efstathios Paparoditis

We consider deterministic random walks on the real line driven by irrational rotations, or equivalently, skew product extensions of a rotation by $\alpha$ where the skewing cocycle is a piecewise constant mean zero function with a jump by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Michael Bromberg , Corinna Ulcigrai

The aim of this note is to investigate the concentration properties of unbounded functions of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. We derive concentration properties of centered functions with respect to the square of the Lyapunov's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Olivier Wintenberger

Resampling methods such as the bootstrap have proven invaluable in the field of machine learning. However, the applicability of traditional bootstrap methods is limited when dealing with large streams of dependent data, such as time series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-28 Nicolai Palm , Thomas Nagler

This paper studies parametric bootstrap methods for network data, with the goal of quantifying the uncertainty of network statistics of interest. While existing network resampling methods primarily focus on count statistics under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Zhixuan Shao , Can M. Le

We present a convex-concave reformulation of the reversible Markov chain estimation problem and outline an efficient numerical scheme for the solution of the resulting problem based on a primal-dual interior point method for monotone…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-03-08 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Hao Wu , Frank Noe

As a starting point we prove a functional central limit theorem for estimators of the invariant measure of a geometrically ergodic Harris-recurrent Markov chain in a multi-scale space. This allows to construct confidence bands for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Jakob Söhl , Mathias Trabs

We consider the issue of performing accurate small sample inference in beta autoregressive moving average model, which is useful for modeling and forecasting continuous variables that assumes values in the interval $(0,1)$. The inferences…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-16 Bruna Gregory Palm , Fábio M. Bayer

In this work we present a non-reversible, tuning- and rejection-free Markov chain Monte Carlo which naturally fits in the framework of hit-and-run. The sampler only requires access to the gradient of the log-density function, hence the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-31 Amir Sepehri , Jelena Markovic

This contribution is devoted to the comparison of various resampling approaches that have been proposed in the literature on particle filtering. It is first shown using simple arguments that the so-called residual and stratified methods do…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-08-16 Randal Douc , Olivier Cappé , Eric Moulines

We present a perfect simulation algorithm for stationary processes indexed by Z, with summable memory decay. Depending on the decay, we construct the process on finite or semi-infinite intervals, explicitly from an i.i.d. uniform sequence.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Francis Comets , Roberto Fernandez , Pablo A. Ferrari

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

The bootstrap is a popular method of constructing confidence intervals due to its ease of use and broad applicability. Theoretical properties of bootstrap procedures have been established in a variety of settings. However, there is limited…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Zhou Tang , Ted Westling

Bootstrapping is often applied to get confidence limits for semiparametric inference of a target parameter in the presence of nuisance parameters. Bootstrapping with replacement can be computationally expensive and problematic when…

We investigate the validity of two resampling techniques when carrying out inference on the underlying unknown copula using a recently proposed class of smooth, possibly data-adaptive nonparametric estimators that contains empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Ivan Kojadinovic , Bingqing Yi

Using the renewal approach we prove exponential inequalities for additive functionals and empirical processes of ergodic Markov chains, thus obtaining counterparts of inequalities for sums of independent random variables. The inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-18 Radosław Adamczak , Witold Bednorz