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We present a novel approach to perform ground-based estimation and prediction of the surface solar irradiance with the view to predicting photovoltaic energy production. We propose the use of mini-batch k-means clustering to extract…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-27 Mehdi Zakroum , Mounir Ghogho , Mustapha Faqir , Mohamed Aymane Ahajjam

Accurate estimates of surface solar irradiance (SSI) are essential for solar resource assessments and solar energy forecasts in grid integration and building control applications. SSI estimates for spatially extended regions can be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-09 K. R. Schuurman , A. Meyer

Most solar applications and systems can be reliably used to generate electricity and power in many homes and offices. Recently, there is an increase in many solar required systems that can be found not only in electricity generation but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Shahriar Rahman , Shazzadur Rahman , A K M Bahalul Haque

A number of industrial applications, such as smart grids, power plant operation, hybrid system management or energy trading, could benefit from improved short-term solar forecasting, addressing the intermittent energy production from solar…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

Solar forecasting from ground-based sky images has shown great promise in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. With more and more sky image datasets open sourced in recent years, the development of accurate and reliable deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Yuhao Nie , Quentin Paletta , Andea Scott , Luis Martin Pomares , Guillaume Arbod , Sgouris Sgouridis , Joan Lasenby , Adam Brandt

Understanding space weather is vital for the protection of our terrestrial and space infrastructure. In order to predict space weather accurately, large amounts of data are required, particularly in the extreme ultraviolet (EUV) spectrum.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-02 Manuel Indaco , Daniel Gass , William James Fawcett , Richard Galvez , Paul J. Wright , Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo

Ground-based whole sky imagers (WSIs) can provide localized images of the sky of high temporal and spatial resolution, which permits fine-grained cloud observation. In this paper, we show how images taken by WSIs can be used to estimate…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-07 Soumyabrata Dev , Florian M. Savoy , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Solar flares, as one of the most prominent manifestations of solar activity, have a profound impact on both the Earth's space environment and human activities. As a result, accurate solar flare prediction has emerged as a central topic in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-31 Mingfu Shao , Suo Liu , Haiqing Xu , Peng Jia , Hui Wang , Liyue Tong , Yang Bai , Chen Yang , Yuyang Li , Nan Li , Jiaben Lin

Ground-based whole sky cameras have opened up new opportunities for monitoring the earth's atmosphere. These cameras are an important complement to satellite images by providing geoscientists with cheaper, faster, and more localized data.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-10 Soumyabrata Dev , Bihan Wen , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Despite the advances in the field of solar energy, improvements of solar forecasting techniques, addressing the intermittent electricity production, remain essential for securing its future integration into a wider energy supply. A…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

Due to the increasing integration of solar power into the electrical grid, forecasting short-term solar irradiance has become key for many applications, e.g.~operational planning, power purchases, reserve activation, etc. In this context,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-13 Jesus Lago , Karel De Brabandere , Fjo De Ridder , Bart De Schutter

Accurate surface solar irradiance (SSI) forecasting is essential for optimizing renewable energy systems, particularly in the context of long-term energy planning on a global scale. This paper presents a pioneering approach to solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-14 Alberto Carpentieri , Jussi Leinonen , Jeff Adie , Boris Bonev , Doris Folini , Farah Hariri

Machine Learning algorithms are good tools for both classification and prediction purposes. These algorithms can further be used for scientific discoveries from the enormous data being collected in our era. We present ways of discovering…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-26 Shraddha Surana , Yogesh Wadadekar , Divya Oberoi

In this paper, we consider incorporating data associated with the sun's north and south polar field strengths to improve solar flare prediction performance using machine learning models. When used to supplement local data from active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-06 Mehmet Aktukmak , Zeyu Sun , Monica Bobra , Tamas Gombosi , Ward B. Manchester , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero

Current post-processing techniques for the correction of atmospheric seeing in solar observations -- such as Speckle interferometry and Phase Diversity methods -- have limitations when it comes to their reconstructive capabilities of solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-09 John A. Armstrong , Lyndsay Fletcher

The analysis of clouds in the earth's atmosphere is important for a variety of applications, viz. weather reporting, climate forecasting, and solar energy generation. In this paper, we focus our attention on the impact of cloud on the total…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-03-17 Soumyabrata Dev , Shilpa Manandhar , Feng Yuan , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Space weather forecasting is critical for mitigating radiation risks in space exploration and protecting Earth-based technologies from geomagnetic disturbances. This paper presents the development of a Machine Learning (ML)- ready data…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-13 Maher A Dayeh , Michael J Starkey , Subhamoy Chatterjee , Heather Elliott , Samuel Hart , Kimberly Moreland

Improving irradiance forecasting is critical to further increase the share of solar in the energy mix. On a short time scale, fish-eye cameras on the ground are used to capture cloud displacements causing the local variability of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

Predicting the intensity and amount of sunlight as a function of location and time is an essential component in identifying promising locations for economical solar farming. Although weather models and irradiance data are relatively…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-25 Furong Sun , Robert B. Gramacy , Benjamin Haaland , Siyuan Lu , Youngdeok Hwang

The global transition towards cleaner and more sustainable energy production is a major challenge. We present an innovative solution by utilizing smartphone light sensors to measure direct normal solar irradiance, the primary component of…