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This paper introduces a novel process for both factor and idiosyncratic volatility matrices whose eigenvalues follow the vector auto-regressive (VAR) model. We call it the factor and idiosyncratic VAR (FIVAR) model. The FIVAR model accounts…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Yazhen Wang , Jianqing Fan

Many data-analysis problems involve large dense matrices that describe the covariance of stationary noise processes; the computational cost of inverting these matrices, or equivalently of solving linear systems that contain them, is often a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Rutger van Haasteren , Michele Vallisneri

We consider inference about coefficients on a small number of variables of interest in a linear panel data model with additive unobserved individual and time specific effects and a large number of additional time-varying confounding…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Christian Hansen , Yuan Liao

In modeling multivariate time series, it is important to allow time-varying smoothness in the mean and covariance process. In particular, there may be certain time intervals exhibiting rapid changes and others in which changes are slow. If…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-02 Daniele Durante , Bruno Scarpa , David B. Dunson

High-dimensional linear models with endogenous variables play an increasingly important role in recent econometric literature. In this work we allow for models with many endogenous variables and many instrument variables to achieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-30 Alexandre Belloni , Christian Hansen , Whitney Newey

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

This paper develops an inferential theory for state-varying factor models of large dimensions. Unlike constant factor models, loadings are general functions of some recurrent state process. We develop an estimator for the latent factors and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-20 Markus Pelger , Ruoxuan Xiong

We consider the problem of estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices of a particular structure, which is a summation of low rank and sparse matrices. This covariance structure has a wide range of applications including factor analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-17 Lin Zhang , Abhra Sarkar , Bani K. Mallick

Dimension reduction for high-dimensional compositional data plays an important role in many fields, where the principal component analysis of the basis covariance matrix is of scientific interest. In practice, however, the basis variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Jingru Zhang , Wei Lin

We develop a nonparametric, kernel-based joint estimator for conditional mean and covariance matrices in large and unbalanced panels. The estimator is supported by rigorous consistency results and finite-sample guarantees, ensuring its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Damir Filipovic , Paul Schneider

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to spectral analysis of a high-dimensional multivariate nonstationary time series. The procedure is based on a novel frequency-domain factor model that provides a flexible yet parsimonious…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Zeda Li , Ori Rosen , Fabio Ferrarelli , Robert T. Krafty

Factor analysis aims to describe high dimensional random vectors by means of a small number of unknown common factors. In mathematical terms, it is required to decompose the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of the random vector as the sum of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

We study a group lasso estimator for the multivariate linear regression model that accounts for correlated error terms. A block coordinate descent algorithm is used to compute this estimator. We perform a simulation study with categorical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-17 Ines Wilms , Christophe Croux

Cluster indices describe extremal behaviour of stationary time series. We consider their sliding blocks estimators. Using a modern theory of multivariate, regularly varying time series, we obtain central limit theorems under conditions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Youssouph Cissokho , Rafal Kulik

Latent variable models are popularly used to measure latent factors (e.g., abilities and personalities) from large-scale assessment data. Beyond understanding these latent factors, the covariate effect on responses controlling for latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious representation of multivariate stochastic volatility. Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-27 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , David Nott

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

In many longitudinal settings, time-varying covariates may not be measured at the same time as responses and are often prone to measurement error. Naive last-observation-carried-forward methods incur estimation biases, and existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-10 Xinyue Chang , Yehua Li , Yi Li

The research paper addresses linear decomposition of time series of non-additive metrics that allows for the identification and interpretation of contributing factors (input features) of variance. Non-additive metrics, such as ratios, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Alex Glushkovsky

We propose a three-stage framework for forecasting high-dimensional time-series data. Our method first estimates parameters for each univariate time series. Next, we use these parameters to cluster the time series. These clusters can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Reese Pathak , Rajat Sen , Nikhil Rao , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael I. Jordan , Inderjit S. Dhillon