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We propose a new unsupervised learning method for clustering a large number of time series based on a latent factor structure. Each cluster is characterized by its own cluster-specific factors in addition to some common factors which impact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Bo Zhang , Guangming Pan , Qiwei Yao , Wang Zhou

This article considers a novel and widely applicable approach to modeling high-dimensional dependent data when a large number of explanatory variables are available and the signal-to-noise ratio is low. We postulate that a $p$-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-09 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

Matrix factor models have been growing popular dimension reduction tools for large-dimensional matrix time series. However, the heteroscedasticity of the idiosyncratic components has barely received any attention. Starting from the pseudo…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Yong He , Yujie Hou , Haixia Liu , Yalin Wang

High-dimensional tensor-valued data have recently gained attention from researchers in economics and finance. We consider the estimation and inference of high-dimensional tensor factor models, where each dimension of the tensor diverges.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Bin Chen , Yuefeng Han , Qiyang Yu

This paper tackles the problem of robust covariance matrix estimation when the data is incomplete. Classical statistical estimation methodologies are usually built upon the Gaussian assumption, whereas existing robust estimation ones assume…

Estimation of large covariance matrices has drawn considerable recent attention, and the theoretical focus so far has mainly been on developing a minimax theory over a fixed parameter space. In this paper, we consider adaptive covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-05 T. Tony Cai , Ming Yuan

Economists are blessed with a wealth of data for analysis, but more often than not, values in some entries of the data matrix are missing. Various methods have been proposed to handle missing observations in a few variables. We exploit the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-02 Ercument Cahan , Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

We introduce a class of Bayesian matrix dynamic factor models that accommodates time-varying volatility, outliers, and cross-sectional correlation in the idiosyncratic components. For model comparison, we employ an importance-sampling…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-11 Wei Zhang

Quantile is an important measure in finance and quality assessment in service industry. In this paper, we model the temporal and cross-sectional interactive effect of the quantiles of large-dimensional time series by a latent quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 He Yong , Kong Xin-Bing , Yu Long , Zhao Peng

High-dimensional financial time series often exhibit complex dependence relations driven by both common market structures and latent connections among assets. To capture these characteristics, this paper proposes Factor-Driven Network…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Brendan Martin , Mihai Cucuringu , Alessandra Luati , Francesco Sanna Passino

This paper considers the estimation and inference of the low-rank components in high-dimensional matrix-variate factor models, where each dimension of the matrix-variates ($p \times q$) is comparable to or greater than the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-20 Elynn Y. Chen , Jianqing Fan

In the realm of high-dimensional data analysis, the estimation of covariance matrices is a fundamental task, and this holds true for interval-valued data as well. However, there is no unified definition for the covariance matrix of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Wan Tian , Wenhao Cui , Rui Zhang , Bingyi Jing , Yang Liu , Yijie Peng

In this paper, we consider the Group Lasso estimator of the covariance matrix of a stochastic process corrupted by an additive noise. We propose to estimate the covariance matrix in a high-dimensional setting under the assumption that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-26 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

Estimation of high dimensional covariance matrices is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we propose a dynamic structure and develop an estimation procedure for high dimensional covariance matrices. Asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-05 Shaojun Guo , John Box , Wenyang Zhang

Many economic and scientific problems involve the analysis of high-dimensional functional time series, where the number of functional variables $p$ diverges as the number of serially dependent observations $n$ increases. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao , Qingsong Wang , Zihan Wang

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

We propose a new modeling paradigm for large dimensional aggregates of stochastic systems by Generalized Factor Analysis (GFA) models. These models describe the data as the sum of a flocking plus an uncorrelated idiosyncratic component. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-03-27 Giulio Bottegal , Giorgio Picci

This paper studies high-dimensional curve time series with common stochastic trends. A dual functional factor model structure is adopted with a high-dimensional factor model for the observed curve time series and a low-dimensional factor…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Degui Li , Yu-Ning Li , Peter C. B. Phillips

Modeling and forecasting covariance matrices of asset returns play a crucial role in finance. The availability of high frequency intraday data enables the modeling of the realized covariance matrix directly. However, most models in the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-04-15 Keren Shen , Jianfeng Yao , Wai Keung Li

This paper considers a structural-factor approach to modeling high-dimensional time series and space-time data by decomposing individual series into trend, seasonal, and irregular components. For ease in analyzing many time series, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S Tsay