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In this paper, we consider capture-recapture experiments with heterogenous catchability. In the setting we consider, the widespread Huggins-Alho estimator is not very suitable and we introduce and study a new generalized Horvitz-Thompson…

Applications · Statistics 2011-11-09 Yakir Berchenko , Richard G. White , Cyprian Wejnert , Simon D. W. Frost

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

We introduce a continuous-time Markov chain framework for estimating population size from multi-list data, which allows directional interactions to be modelled and can accommodate absorbing lists, such as death records, or more general data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Ophélie Schaller , Andrew Titman , Rachel McCrea

We study parameter identification problems in a structured population model without mutations. Given measurements of the total population size or critical points of the population, we aim to recover its growth rate, death rate or initial…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Alexander Lorz , Jan-Frederik Pietschmann , Matthias Schlottbom

Capture-recapture methods for estimating the total size of elusive populations are widely-used, however, due to the choice of estimator impacting upon the results and conclusions made, the question of performance of each estimator is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-15 Layna Charlie Dennett , Dankmar Böhning

A key challenge in building effective regression models for large and diverse populations is accounting for patient heterogeneity. An example of such heterogeneity is in health system risk modeling efforts where different combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-26 Jared D. Huling , Menggang Yu

We develop methods for estimating the size of hard-to-reach populations from data collected using network-based questions on standard surveys. Such data arise by asking respondents how many people they know in a specific group (e.g., people…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-06 Rachael Maltiel , Adrian E. Raftery , Tyler H. McCormick , Aaron J. Baraff

A general stochastic model for susceptible -> infective -> recovered (SIR) epidemics in non homogeneous populations is considered. The heterogeneity is a very important aspect here since it allows more realistic but also more complex…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-13 Zeynep Gökçe İşlier , Wolfgang Hörmann , Refik Güllü

Nonparametric random coefficient (RC)-density estimation has mostly been considered in the marginal density case under strict independence of RCs and covariates. This paper deals with the estimation of RC-densities conditional on a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-21 Stephan Martin

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Survival analysis provides a well-established framework for modeling time-to-event data, with hazard and survival functions formally defined as population-level quantities. In applied work, however, these quantities are often interpreted as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Xijia Liu

We consider the problem of estimating the division rate of a size-structured population in a nonparametric setting. The size of the system evolves according to a transport-fragmentation equation: each individual grows with a given transport…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-21 Marie Doumic Jauffret , Marc Hoffmann , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard

The network scale-up method enables researchers to estimate the size of hidden populations, such as drug injectors and sex workers, using sampled social network data. The basic scale-up estimator offers advantages over other size estimation…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-14 Dennis M. Feehan , Matthew J. Salganik

A new approach to estimate population size based on a stratified link-tracing sampling design is presented. The method extends on the Frank and Snijders (1994) approach by allowing for heterogeneity in the initial sample selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-25 Kyle Vincent

We cover how to determine a sufficiently large sample size for a $K$-armed randomized experiment in order to estimate conditional counterfactual expectations in data-driven subgroups. The sub-groups can be output by any feature space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Gabriel Ruiz

Given p independent normal populations, we consider the problem of estimating the mean of those populations, that based on the observed data, give the strongest signals. We explicitly condition on the ranking of the sample means, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Claudio Fuentes , Vik Gopal

Multicellular systems play a key role in bioprocess and biomedical engineering. Cell ensembles encountered in these setups show phenotypic variability like size and biochemical composition. As this variability may result in undesired…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-16 Armin Küper , Robert Dürr , Steffen Waldherr

The use of dual system estimation (DSE) is heavily used in Census Bureau operations. With DSE methods, it is important to implement methods to infer the population size among those with missing data from one or both data sources. The use of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-27 Zhiyuan Lu

Density dependence occurs at the individual level and thus is greatly influenced by spatial local heterogeneity in habitat conditions. However, density dependence is often evaluated at the population level, leading to difficulties or even…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-20 Qing Zhao , Yunyi Shen

A finite set is "hidden" if its elements are not directly enumerable or if its size cannot be ascertained via a deterministic query. In public health, epidemiology, demography, ecology and intelligence analysis, researchers have developed a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Si Cheng , Daniel J. Eck , Forrest W. Crawford