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Anomalies and outliers are common in real-world data, and they can arise from many sources, such as sensor faults. Accordingly, anomaly detection is important both for analyzing the anomalies themselves and for cleaning the data for further…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-13 Haitao Liu , Randy C. Paffenroth , Jian Zou , Chong Zhou

Online changepoint detection algorithms that are based on likelihood-ratio tests have been shown to have excellent statistical properties. However, a simple online implementation is computationally infeasible as, at time $T$, it involves…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-10 Kes Ward , Gaetano Romano , Idris Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

In a supervised online setting, quantifying uncertainty has been proposed in the seminal work of \cite{gibbs2021adaptive}. For any given point-prediction algorithm, their method (ACI) produces a conformal prediction set with an average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Pierre Humbert , Ulysse Gazin , Ruth Heller , Etienne Roquain

This paper addresses the problem of segmenting a stream of graph signals: we aim to detect changes in the mean of a multivariate signal defined over the nodes of a known graph. We propose an offline method that relies on the concept of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Alejandro de la Concha , Nicolas Vayatis , Argyris Kalogeratos

We introduce the localized Lasso, which is suited for learning models that are both interpretable and have a high predictive power in problems with high dimensionality $d$ and small sample size $n$. More specifically, we consider a function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-17 Makoto Yamada , Koh Takeuchi , Tomoharu Iwata , John Shawe-Taylor , Samuel Kaski

We propose a novel gradient-based online optimization framework for solving stochastic programming problems that frequently arise in the context of cyber-physical and robotic systems. Our problem formulation accommodates constraints that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Hao Ma , Melanie Zeilinger , Michael Muehlebach

In recent years, there has been an increasing demand on efficient algorithms for large scale change point detection problems. To this end, we propose seeded binary segmentation, an approach relying on a deterministic construction of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Peter Bühlmann , Axel Munk

We study the problem of online non-stochastic control (ONC), which is the control of a linear system under adversarial disturbances and adversarial cost functions, with the aim of minimizing the total cost incurred. A recent line of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Vijeth Hebbar , Spencer Hutchinson , Mahnoosh Alizadeh , Cédric Langbort

We propose an computational framework for real-time risk assessment and prioritizing for random outcomes without prior information on probability distributions. The basic model is built based on satisficing measure (SM) which yields a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Wenjie Huang

Distribution shifts are problems where the distribution of data changes between training and testing, which can significantly degrade the performance of a model deployed in the real world. Recent studies suggest that one reason for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Takuro Kutsuna

In this paper we analyze the asymptotic properties of l1 penalized maximum likelihood estimation of signals with piece-wise constant mean values and/or variances. The focus is on segmentation of a non-stationary time series with respect to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-22 Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

Moments when a time series changes its behavior are called change points. Occurrence of change point implies that the state of the system is altered and its timely detection might help to prevent unwanted consequences. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Mikhail Hushchyn , Kenenbek Arzymatov , Denis Derkach

We study the problem of uncertainty quantification via prediction sets, in an online setting where the data distribution may vary arbitrarily over time. Recent work develops online conformal prediction techniques that leverage regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Aadyot Bhatnagar , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong , Yu Bai

We consider a well defined joint detection and parameter estimation problem. By combining the Baysian formulation of the estimation subproblem with suitable constraints on the detection subproblem we develop optimum one- and two-step test…

Applications · Statistics 2011-01-27 George V. Moustakides , Guido H. Jajamovich , Ali Tajer , Xiaodong Wang

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Optimization of expensive computer models with the help of Gaussian process emulators in now commonplace. However, when several (competing) objectives are considered, choosing an appropriate sampling strategy remains an open question. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-03 Victor Picheny

We consider a distributed learning setup where a sparse signal is estimated over a network. Our main interest is to save communication resource for information exchange over the network and reduce processing time. Each node of the network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-03 Ahmed Zaki , Saikat Chatterjee , Partha P. Mitra , Lars K. Rasmussen

Detecting changepoints in datasets with many variates is a data science challenge of increasing importance. Motivated by the problem of detecting changes in the incidence of terrorism from a global terrorism database, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 S. O. Tickle , I. A. Eckley , P. Fearnhead

We present a novel scheme to boost detection power for kernel maximum mean discrepancy based sequential change-point detection procedures. Our proposed scheme features an optimal sub-sampling of the history data before the detection…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-19 Song Wei , Chaofan Huang

Modern deep learning heavily relies on large labeled datasets, which often comse with high costs in terms of both manual labeling and computational resources. To mitigate these challenges, researchers have explored the use of informative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-07 Yong Lin , Chen Liu , Chenlu Ye , Qing Lian , Yuan Yao , Tong Zhang