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Choosing models from a hypothesis space is a frequent task in approximation theory and inverse problems. Cross-validation is a classical tool in the learner's repertoire to compare the goodness of fit for different reconstruction models.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Felix Bartel , Ralf Hielscher

Emulating the mapping between quantities of interest and their control parameters using surrogate models finds widespread application in engineering design, including in numerical optimization and uncertainty quantification. Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-02 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Kade Carlson

Methods for combining predictions from different models in a supervised learning setting must somehow estimate/predict the quality of a model's predictions at unknown future inputs. Many of these methods (often implicitly) make the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-25 Thijs van Ommen

We consider comparisons of statistical learning algorithms using multiple data sets, via leave-one-in cross-study validation: each of the algorithms is trained on one data set; the resulting model is then validated on each remaining data…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-02 Lorenzo Trippa , Levi Waldron , Curtis Huttenhower , Giovanni Parmigiani

Linear principal component analysis (PCA) can be extended to a nonlinear PCA by using artificial neural networks. But the benefit of curved components requires a careful control of the model complexity. Moreover, standard techniques for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-04-04 Matthias Scholz

In this paper, we examine the CE method in the broad context of Monte Carlo Optimization (MCO) and Parametric Learning (PL), a type of machine learning. A well-known overarching principle used to improve the performance of many PL…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2008-10-07 Dev Rajnarayan , David Wolpert

The asymptotic optimality (a.o.) of various hyper-parameter estimators with different optimality criteria has been studied in the literature for regularized least squares regression problems. The estimators include e.g., the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen , Lennart Ljung

In this paper, we propose a model averaging approach for addressing model uncertainty in the context of partial linear functional additive models. These models are designed to describe the relation between a response and mixed-types of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-12 Shishi Liu , Jingxiao Zhang

We generalize fast Gaussian process leave-one-out formulae to multiple-fold cross-validation, highlighting in turn the covariance structure of cross-validation residuals in both Simple and Universal Kriging frameworks. We illustrate how…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 David Ginsbourger , Cedric Schärer

Generalized cross-validation (GCV) is a widely-used method for estimating the squared out-of-sample prediction risk that employs a scalar degrees of freedom adjustment (in a multiplicative sense) to the squared training error. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Pierre C. Bellec , Jin-Hong Du , Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Kai Tan

We compare and contrast two approaches to validating a trained classifier while using all in-sample data for training. One is simultaneous validation over an organized set of hypotheses (SVOOSH), the well-known method that began with VC…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-12 Eric Bax , Ya Le

Recent literature provides many computational and modeling approaches for covariance matrices estimation in a penalized Gaussian graphical models but relatively little study has been carried out on the choice of the tuning parameter. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-08 Heng Lian

Using a support vector machine requires to set two types of hyperparameters: the soft margin parameter C and the parameters of the kernel. To perform this model selection task, the method of choice is cross-validation. Its leave-one-out…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-12-18 Emmanuel Monfrini , Yann Guermeur

K-fold Cross Validation is commonly used to evaluate classifiers and tune their hyperparameters. However, it assumes that data points are Independent and Identically Distributed (i.i.d.) so that samples used in the training and test sets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Akbar Dehghani , Tristan Glatard , Emad Shihab

Banks utilize credit scoring as an important indicator of financial strength and eligibility for credit. Scoring models aim to assign statistical odds or probabilities for predicting if there is a risk of nonpayment in relation to many…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Oguz Koc , Omur Ugur , A. Sevtap Kestel

Discriminative analysis in neuroimaging by means of deep/machine learning techniques is usually tested with validation techniques, whereas the associated statistical significance remains largely under-developed due to their computational…

This paper describes a method for performing inference on models chosen by cross-validation. When the test error being minimized in cross-validation is a residual sum of squares it can be written as a quadratic form. This allows us to apply…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-01 Joshua R. Loftus

A common problem machine learning developers are faced with is overfitting, that is, fitting a pipeline too closely to the training data that the performance degrades for unseen data. Automated machine learning aims to free (or at least…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Benjamin Patrick Evans , Bing Xue , Mengjie Zhang

This research investigates how to determine whether two rankings come from the same distribution. We evaluate three hybrid tests: Wilcoxon's, Dietterich's, and Alpaydin's statistical tests combined with cross-validation (CV), each operating…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-14 Balázs R. Sziklai , Máté Baranyi , Károly Héberger

We investigate the issue of model selection and the use of the nonconformity (strangeness) measure in batch learning. Using the nonconformity measure we propose a new training algorithm that helps avoid the need for Cross-Validation or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-09-15 David R. Hardoon , Zakria Hussain , John Shawe-Taylor