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State estimation is a fundamental problem in control and signal processing, for which the Kalman Filter provides an optimal solution under linear dynamics, Gaussian noise, and known noise covariances. However, these assumptions often fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Vasileios Saketos , Ming Xiao

This article develops a comprehensive framework for stability analysis of a broad class of commonly used continuous and discrete time-filters for stochastic dynamic systems with non-linear state dynamics and linear measurements under…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Toni Karvonen , Silvère Bonnabel , Eric Moulines , Simo Särkkä

Since the innovation of the ubiquitous Kalman filter more than five decades back it is well known that to obtain the best possible estimates the tuning of its statistics $X_0$, $P_0$, $\Theta$, $R$ and $Q$ namely initial state and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-28 M. R. Ananthasayanam , Shyam Mohan M , Naren Naik , R. M. O. Gemson

We consider optimal signalling and control of discrete-time nonlinear partially observable stochastic systems in state space form. In the first part of the paper, we characterize the operational {\it control-coding capacity}, $C_{FB}$ in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Charalambos D. Charalambous , Stelios Louka

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the state of a dynamic state-space system where the output is subject to quantization. We compare some classical approaches and a new development in the literature to obtain the filtering…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-16 Angel L. Cedeño , Ricardo Albornoz , Boris I. Godoy , Rodrigo Carvajal , Juan C. Agüero

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven

The ensemble Kalman filter is widely used in applications because, for high dimensional filtering problems, it has a robustness that is not shared for example by the particle filter; in particular it does not suffer from weight collapse.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-29 J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

The reliability and precision of dynamic database are vital for the optimal operating and global control of integrated energy systems. One of the effective ways to obtain the accurate states is state estimations. A novel robust dynamic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-24 Liang Chen , Yang Li , Manyun Huang , Xinxin Hui , Songlin Gu

We develop a stochastic parametrization, based on a `simple' deterministic model for the dynamics of steady longshore currents, that produces ensembles that are statistically consistent with field observations of these currents. Unlike…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-06 Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

Many stochastic physical systems evolve smoothly over time in the sense that the distribution of states changes regularly across time steps. The transition from current state to the next state can often be modeled as the combination of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Jules Berman , Tobias Blickhan , Benjamin Peherstorfer

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

Stochastic simulators are an indispensable tool in many branches of science. Often based on first principles, they deliver a series of samples whose distribution implicitly defines a probability measure to describe the phenomena of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-19 Chris Pollard , Philipp Windischhofer

We extend flow matching to ensembles of linear systems in both deterministic and stochastic settings. Averaging over system parameters induces memory leading to a non-Markovian interpolation problem for the stochastic case. In this setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Daniel Owusu Adu , Yongxin Chen

We consider state and parameter estimation for a dynamical system having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. It has been shown that the robustness of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating time-invariant…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Philippe Bisaillon , Brandon Robinson , Mohammad Khalil , Chris L. Pettit , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

This paper develops a robust extended Kalman filter to estimate the rotor angles and the rotor speeds of synchronous generators of a multimachine power system. Using a batch-mode regression form, the filter processes together predicted…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Marcos Netto , Junbo Zhao , Lamine Mili

We demonstrate how coupling nonlinear dynamical systems can reduce the effects of noise. For simplicity we investigate noisy coupled map lattices. Noise from different lattice nodes can diffuse across the lattice and lower the noise level…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-11-24 Behnam Kia , Sarvenaz Kia , John F. Lindner , Sudeshna Sinha , William L. Ditto

A continuous approximation framework for non-linear stochastic as well as deterministic discrete maps is developed. For the stochastic map with uncorelated Gaussian noise, by successively applying the It\^o lemma, we obtain a Langevin type…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-25 David A. Kessler , Stanislav Burov

Controllers for autonomous systems that operate in safety-critical settings must account for stochastic disturbances. Such disturbances are often modelled as process noise, and common assumptions are that the underlying distributions are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Alessandro Abate , Nils Jansen , David Parker , Hasan A. Poonawala , Marielle Stoelinga

In this paper we consider the behavior of Kalman Filter state estimates in the case of distribution with heavy tails .The simulated linear state space models with Gaussian measurement noises were used. Gaussian noises in state equation are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Valentin Konakov , Pavel Mozgunov

The Recursive KalmanNet, recently introduced by the authors, is a recurrent neural network guided by a Kalman filter, capable of estimating the state variables and error covariance of stochastic dynamic systems from noisy measurements,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Cyril Falcon , Hassan Mortada , Mathéo Clavaud , Jean-Philippe Michel