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Graphical models use graphs to represent conditional independence structure in the distribution of a random vector. In stochastic processes, graphs may represent so-called local independence or conditional Granger causality. Under some…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Søren Wengel Mogensen

Ordered sequences of univariate or multivariate regressions provide statistical models for analysing data from randomized, possibly sequential interventions, from cohort or multi-wave panel studies, but also from cross-sectional or…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Nanny Wermuth , Kayvan Sadeghi

We explore two notions of stationary processes. The first is called a random-step Markov process in which the stationary process of states, $(X_i)_{i \in \mathbb{Z}}$ has a stationary coupling with an independent process on the positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Neal Bushaw , Karen Gunderson , Steven Kalikow

We investigate the cutoff phenomenon for Markov processes under information divergences such as $f$-divergences and R\'enyi divergences. We classify most common divergences into four types, namely $L^2$-type, $\mathrm{TV}$-type,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Youjia Wang , Michael C. H. Choi

We develop Markov categories as a framework for synthetic probability and statistics, following work of Golubtsov as well as Cho and Jacobs. This means that we treat the following concepts in purely abstract categorical terms: conditioning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Tobias Fritz

Locally Markov walks are natural generalizations of classical Markov chains, where instead of a particle moving independently of the past, it decides where to move next depending on the last action performed at the current location. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Robin Kaiser , Lionel Levine , Ecaterina Sava-Huss

Let $(X_n)_{n \ge 0}$ be an irreducible, aperiodic, homogeneous Markov chain, with state space a totally ordered finite alphabet of size $m$. Using combinatorial constructions and weak invariance principles, we obtain the limiting shape of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-07 Christian Houdré , Trevis J. Litherland

In this note, we realize the half-steps of a general class of Markov chains as alternating projections with respect to the reverse Kullback-Leibler divergence between convex sets of joint probability distributions. Using this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Deven Mithal , Lorenzo Orecchia

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

This paper deals with control of partially observable discrete-time stochastic systems. It introduces and studies Markov Decision Processes with Incomplete Information and with semi-uniform Feller transition probabilities. The important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

Graphical Markov models use graphs, either undirected, directed, or mixed, to represent possible dependences among statistical variables. Applications of undirected graphs (UDGs) include models for spatial dependence and image analysis,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Steen A. Andersson , David Madigan , Michael D. Perlman

The aim of this paper is to develop a general theory for the class of skip-free Markov chains on denumerable state space. This encompasses their potential theory via an explicit characterization of their potential kernel expressed in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Michael C. H. Choi , Pierre Patie

We use Markov categories to generalize the basic theory of Markov chains and hidden Markov models to an abstract setting. This comprises characterizations of hidden Markov models in terms of conditional independences and algorithms for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Tobias Fritz , Andreas Klingler , Drew McNeely , Areeb Shah-Mohammed , Yuwen Wang

A random walk is a basic stochastic process on graphs and a key primitive in the design of distributed algorithms. One of the most important features of random walks is that, under mild conditions, they converge to a stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-19 Leran Cai , Thomas Sauerwald , Luca Zanetti

We construct a four-parameter family of Markov processes on infinite Gelfand-Tsetlin schemes that preserve the class of central (Gibbs) measures. Any process in the family induces a Feller Markov process on the infinite-dimensional boundary…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-04 Alexei Borodin , Grigori Olshanski

In this paper, we examine the existence of the R\'enyi divergence between two time invariant general hidden Markov models with arbitrary positive initial distributions. By making use of a Markov chain representation of the probability…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Cheng-Der Fuh , Su-Chi Fuh , Yuan-Chen Liu , Chuan-Ju Wang

Consider time-homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains $X$, $Y$, and $Z$ on countable state spaces, considered as stochastic processes with specified initial distributions. Suppose for maps $f$ and $g$ that $(f(X_t))_{t \ge 0}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Edward Crane , Alexander E. Holroyd , Erin Russell

This paper considers the problem of defining distributions over graphical structures. We propose an extension of the hyper Markov properties of Dawid and Lauritzen [Ann. Statist. 21 (1993) 1272-1317], which we term structural Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Simon Byrne , A. Philip Dawid

Functional causal models (fCMs) specify functional dependencies between random variables associated to the vertices of a graph. In directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), fCMs are well-understood: a unique probability distribution on the random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Carla Ferradini , Victor Gitton , V. Vilasini

Large deviation theory is a branch of probability theory that is devoted to a study of the "rate" at which empirical estimates of various quantities converge to their true values. The object of study in this paper is the rate at which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-17 Mathukumalli Vidyasagar
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