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The fluctuation-dissipation theorem is a central result in statistical mechanics and is usually formulated for systems described by diffusion processes. In this paper, we propose a generalization for a wider class of stochastic processes,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-20 Alberto Montefusco , Mark A. Peletier , Hans Christian Öttinger

We derive the explicit form of the rate function for semi-Markov processes. Here, the "random time change trick" plays an essential role. Also, by exploiting the contraction principle of the large deviation theory to the explicit form, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-14 Yuki Sughiyama , Testuya J. Kobayashi

We develop numerical methods for computing statistics of stochastic processes on surfaces of general shape with drift-diffusion dynamics $d\mathbf{X}_t = a(\mathbf{X}_t)dt + \mathbf{b}(\mathbf{X}_t)d\mathbf{W}_t$. We formulate descriptions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-28 B. J. Gross , P. Kuberry , P. J. Atzberger

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

Mean-field models are often used to approximate Markov processes with large state-spaces. One-step processes, also known as birth-death processes, are an important class of such processes and are processes with state space…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Benjamin Armbruster , Ádám Besenyei , Péter L. Simon

This paper deals with control of partially observable discrete-time stochastic systems. It introduces and studies Markov Decision Processes with Incomplete Information and with semi-uniform Feller transition probabilities. The important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

These lecture notes introduce the statistical analysis of continuous-time generative models built from Markov dynamics. We begin with the stochastic-calculus foundations of score-based diffusion models, including time reversal, score…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Eddie Aamari , Arthur Stéphanovitch

We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

We study the computational complexity of central analysis problems for One-Counter Markov Decision Processes (OC-MDPs), a class of finitely-presented, countable-state MDPs. OC-MDPs are equivalent to a controlled extension of (discrete-time)…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2009-09-11 Tomáš Brázdil , Václav Brožek , Kousha Etessami , Antonín Kučera , Dominik Wojtczak

We consider a stochastic process which is (a) described by a continuous-time Markov chain on only short time-scales and (b) constrained to conserve a number of hidden quantities on long time-scales. We assume that the transition matrix of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-27 Vitaly Vanchurin

We define the concept of an "open" Markov process, or more precisely, continuous-time Markov chain, which is one where probability can flow in or out of certain states called "inputs" and "outputs". One can build up a Markov process from…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-08-22 John C. Baez , Brendan Fong , Blake S. Pollard

In the paper we consider a stochastic model which called Markov Q-processes that forms a continuous-time Markov population system. Markov Q-processes are defined as stochastic Markov branching processes with trajectories continuing in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Azam Imomov , Zukhriddin Nazarov

We introduce a new framework that yields spectral bounds on norms of functions of transition maps for finite, homogeneous Markov chains. The techniques employed work for bounded semigroups, in particular for classical as well as for quantum…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-03-16 Oleg Szehr , David Reeb , Michael M. Wolf

We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday return are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov process and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-24 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with ubiquitous applications. A general difficulty in statistical inference under partially observed CTMC models arises in computing transition probabilities when the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-10 Jason Xu , Vladimir N. Minin

The master equation and, more generally, Markov processes are routinely used as models for stochastic processes. They are often justified on the basis of randomization and coarse-graining assumptions. Here instead, we derive n-th order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-09-27 Julian Lee , Steve Pressé

We show that the scaled cumulant generating and large deviation function, associated to a two-state Markov process involving two processes, obey a symmetry relation reminiscent of the fluctuation theorem, independent from any conditions on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Tim Willaert , Bart Cleuren , Christian Van den Broeck

We present an approach for testing for the existence of continuous generators of discrete stochastic transition matrices. Typically, the known approaches to ascertain the existence of continuous Markov processes are based in the assumption…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-03-23 Pedro Lencastre , Frank Raischel , Tim Rogers , Pedro G. Lind

When simulating the dynamics of open quantum systems with quantum computers, it is essential to accurately approximate the system's behaviour while preserving the physicality of its evolution. Traditionally, for Markovian open quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-18 I. J. David , I. Sinayskiy , F. Petruccione