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This paper investigates the state estimation problem for a class of complex networks, in which the dynamics of each node is subject to Gaussian noise, system uncertainties and nonlinearities. Based on a regularized least-squares approach,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-16 Peihu Duan , Qishao Wang , Zhisheng Duan , Guanrong Chen

This letter deals with the problem of state estimation for a class of systems involving linear dynamics with multiple quadratic output measurements. We propose a systematic approach to immerse the original system into a linear time-varying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-19 Soulaimane Berkane , Dionysis Theodosis , Tarek Hamel , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

A new semi-parametric Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation and forecasting framework is proposed. The proposed approach is based on a two-step estimation procedure. The first step involves the estimation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) at different…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-16 Giuseppe Storti , Chao Wang

We consider the problem of online prediction in a marginally stable linear dynamical system subject to bounded adversarial or (non-isotropic) stochastic perturbations. This poses two challenges. Firstly, the system is in general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Udaya Ghai , Holden Lee , Karan Singh , Cyril Zhang , Yi Zhang

In this paper, a new filter model called set-membership Kalman filter for nonlinear state estimation problems was designed, where both random and unknown but bounded uncertainties were considered simultaneously in the discrete-time system.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Ligang Sun , Hamza Alkhatib , Boris Kargoll , Vladik Kreinovich , Ingo Neumann

We consider the problem of randomly choosing the sensors of a linear time-invariant dynamical system subject to process and measurement noise. We sample the sensors independently and from the same distribution. We measure the performance of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-23 Christopher I. Calle , Shaunak D. Bopardikar

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

System identification poses a significant bottleneck to characterizing and controlling complex systems. This challenge is greatest when both the system states and parameters are not directly accessible leading to a dual-estimation problem.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-08 Matthew F. Singh , Chong Wang , Michael W. Cole , ShiNung Ching

This paper proposes a joint input and state dynamic estimation scheme for power networks in microgrids and active distribution systems with unknown inputs. The conventional dynamic state estimation of power networks in the transmission…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-04 Bang L. H. Nguyen , Tuyen V. Vu , Joseph M. Guerrero , Mischael Steurer , Karl Schoder , Tuan Ngo

In a recent methodological paper, we showed how to learn chaotic dynamics along with the state trajectory from sequentially acquired observations, using local ensemble Kalman filters. Here, we more systematically investigate the possibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-19 Quentin Malartic , Alban Farchi , Marc Bocquet

We propose a new recursive estimator for linear dynamical systems under Gaussian process noise and non-Gaussian measurement noise. Specifically, we develop an approximate maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator using dynamic programming and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Mohammad Hussein Yoosefian Nooshabadi , Laurent Lessard

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

The article considers parameter estimation constructing such as quasi-maximum likelyhood estimation and one step estimation in statistical models generated by solution of stochastic differential equation. It has been developed a software…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Dmytro Ivanenko , Rostyslav Pogorielov

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for joint state and parameter estimation for nonlinear uncertain discrete-time systems. We establish robust exponential convergence of the combined estimation error subject to process…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-25 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

Assuming stationarity is unrealistic in many time series applications. A more realistic alternative is to allow for piecewise stationarity, where the model is allowed to change at given time points. We propose a three-stage procedure for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-31 Abolfazl Safikhani , Ali Shojaie

In this paper we present a new approach to the inverse problem for relativistic stars using the piecewise polytropic parametrization of the equation of state. The algorithm is a piecewise polytropic meshing and refinement method that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-03-22 Juan Mena-Fernández , Luis Manuel González-Romero

In this paper, we develop a class of interacting particle Langevin algorithms to solve inverse problems for partial differential equations (PDEs). In particular, we leverage the statistical finite elements (statFEM) formulation to obtain a…

This paper presents two schemes to jointly estimate parameters and states of discrete-time nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded disturbances and noise and where the parameters belong to a known compact set. The schemes are based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-23 T. J. Meijer , V. S. Dolk , M. S. Chong , R. Postoyan , B. de Jager , D. Nešić , W. P. M. H. Heemels

Variance parameter estimation in linear mixed models is a challenge for many classical nonlinear optimization algorithms due to the positive-definiteness constraint of the random effects covariance matrix. We take a completely novel view on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-20 Lena Sembach , Jan Pablo Burgard , Volker H. Schulz

Input estimation is a signal processing technique associated with deconvolution of measured signals after filtering through a known dynamic system. Kitanidis and others extended this to the simultaneous estimation of the input signal and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-24 Mohammad Ali Abooshahab , Mohammed M. J. Alyaseen , Robert R. Bitmead , Morten Hovd