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Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) excel at numerical forecasting but operate as black boxes lacking qualitative reasoning. Conversely, applying LLMs directly to temporal data introduces a modality gap: text tokenizers fragment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Md Atik Ahamed , Mihir Parmar , Palash Goyal , Chun-Liang Li , Qiang Cheng , Tomas Pfister , Jinsung Yoon

Established recurrent neural networks are well-suited to solve a wide variety of prediction tasks involving discrete sequences. However, they do not perform as well in the task of dynamical system identification, when dealing with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Thomas Demeester

In this study, we develop a unified volatility modeling framework that embeds GARCH dynamics directly within recurrent neural networks. We propose two interpretable hybrid architectures, GARCH-GRU and GARCH-LSTM, that integrate the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Jingyi Wei , Steve Yang , Zhenyu Cui

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Accurate long-range prediction of geophysical systems is difficult due to strongly nonlinear dynamics, the high computational cost of full-physics simulations, and the error accumulation that arise when one-step autoregressive surrogates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Zesheng Liu , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

In the current context of Big Data, the nature of many forecasting problems has changed from predicting isolated time series to predicting many time series from similar sources. This has opened up the opportunity to develop competitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

This paper proposes a generalised and robust multi-factor Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) based Deep Learning (DL) model to forecast electricity load in distribution networks during wildfire seasons. The flexible modelling methods consider data…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-24 Weijia Yang , Sarah N. Sparrow , David C. H. Wallom

The abstraction tasks are challenging for multi- modal sequences as they require a deeper semantic understanding and a novel text generation for the data. Although the recurrent neural networks (RNN) can be used to model the context of the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-02-20 Junpei Zhong , Angelo Cangelosi , Tetsuya Ogata

Long-term investors, different from short-term traders, focus on examining the underlying forces that affect the well-being of a company. They rely on fundamental analysis which attempts to measure the intrinsic value an equity.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Jessie Sun

Self-awareness is the key capability of autonomous systems, e.g., autonomous driving network, which relies on highly efficient time series forecasting algorithm to enable the system to reason about the future state of the environment, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Minh-Thanh Bui , Duc-Thinh Ngo , Demin Lu , Zonghua Zhang

Time series analysis remains a major challenge due to its sparse characteristics, high dimensionality, and inconsistent data quality. Recent advancements in transformer-based techniques have enhanced capabilities in forecasting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Robert Leppich , Vanessa Borst , Veronika Lesch , Samuel Kounev

Methods for time series prediction and classification of gene regulatory networks (GRNs) from gene expression data have been treated separately so far. The recent emergence of attention-based recurrent neural networks (RNN) models boosted…

Recurrent neural networks have shown remarkable success in modeling sequences. However low resource situations still adversely affect the generalizability of these models. We introduce a new family of models, called Lattice Recurrent Units…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Chaitanya Ahuja , Louis-Philippe Morency

Accurate human trajectory prediction is crucial for robotics navigation and autonomous driving. Recent research has demonstrated that incorporating goal guidance significantly enhances prediction accuracy by reducing uncertainty and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Ge Sun , Jun Ma

Traffic forecasting is a problem of intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and crucial for individuals and public agencies. Therefore, researches pay great attention to deal with the complex spatio-temporal dependencies of traffic system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Yanjun Qin , Yuchen Fang , Haiyong Luo , Fang Zhao , Chenxing Wang

Recently recurrent neural networks (RNN) has been very successful in handling sequence data. However, understanding RNN and finding the best practices for RNN is a difficult task, partly because there are many competing and complex hidden…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-04-01 Guo-Bing Zhou , Jianxin Wu , Chen-Lin Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Time series forecasting is a fundamental task emerging from diverse data-driven applications. Many advanced autoregressive methods such as ARIMA were used to develop forecasting models. Recently, deep learning based methods such as DeepAr,…

A common problem to signal processing are biases introduced by correlated noise. When quantifying time delays between two signals, mixed noise introduces a bias towards zero delay in conventional delay estimates based on the cross- or…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-02 Tin Jurhar , Franziska Pellegrini , Ana I. Nuñes del Toro , Tilman Stephani , Guido Nolte , Stefan Haufe

Time series forecasting (TSF) remains a challenging problem due to the intricate entanglement of intraperiod-fluctuations and interperiod-trends. While recent advances have attempted to reshape 1D sequences into 2D period-phase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Yixin Wang , Yifan Hu , Peiyuan Liu , Naiqi Li , Dai Tao , Shu-Tao Xia

Traffic flow prediction plays a crucial role in alleviating traffic congestion and enhancing transport efficiency. While combining graph convolution networks with recurrent neural networks for spatial-temporal modeling is a common strategy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Haiyang Liu , Chunjiang Zhu , Detian Zhang