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We introduce a criterion how to price derivatives in incomplete markets, based on the theory of growth optimal strategy in repeated multiplicative games. We present reasons why these growth-optimal strategies should be particularly relevant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Erik Aurell , Roberto Baviera , Ola Hammarlid , Maurizio Serva , Angelo Vulpiani

In this paper we provide a quantitative analysis to the concept of arbitrage, that allows to deal with model uncertainty without imposing the no-arbitrage condition. In markets that admit ``small arbitrage", we can still make sense of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-05 Beatrice Acciaio , Julio Backhoff , Gudmund Pammer

We consider a financial market in discrete time and study pricing and hedging conditional on the information available up to an arbitrary point in time. In this conditional framework, we determine the structure of arbitrage-free prices.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-15 Lars Niemann , Thorsten Schmidt

Employing probabilistic techniques we compute best possible upper and lower bounds on the price of an option on one or two assets with continuous piecewise linear payoff function based on prices of simple call options of possibly distinct…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Dimitris Bertsimas , Natasha Bushueva

There exist several methods how more general options can be priced with call prices. In this article, we extend these results to cover a wider class of options and market models. In particular, we introduce a new pricing formula which can…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-09 Lauri Viitasaari

We provide a Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and a Superhedging Theorem for a model independent discrete time financial market with proportional transaction costs. We consider a probability-free version of the Robust No Arbitrage…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-26 Matteo Burzoni

We introduce and discuss a general criterion for the derivative pricing in the general situation of incomplete markets, we refer to it as the No Almost Sure Arbitrage Principle. This approach is based on the theory of optimal strategy in…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-10 E. Aurell , R. Baviera , O. Hammarlid , M. Serva , A. Vulpiani

We derive the Black-Scholes-Merton dual equation, which has exactly the same form as the Black-Scholes-Merton equation. The novel and general equation works for options with a payoff of homogeneous of degree one, including European,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-20 Shuxin Guo , Qiang Liu

We consider arbitrage free valuation of European options in Black-Scholes and Merton markets, where the general structure of the market is known, however the specific parameters are not known. In order to reflect this subjective uncertainty…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-13 Hanno Gottschalk , Elpida Nizami , Marius Schubert

We consider a non-stochastic online learning approach to price financial options by modeling the market dynamic as a repeated game between the nature (adversary) and the investor. We demonstrate that such framework yields analogous…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-06-25 Henry Lam , Zhenming Liu

This paper proposes a theory of pricing premised upon the assumptions that customers dislike unfair prices---those marked up steeply over cost---and that firms take these concerns into account when setting prices. Since they do not observe…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-15 Erik Eyster , Kristof Madarasz , Pascal Michaillat

Posted price mechanisms are prevalent in allocating goods within online marketplaces due to their simplicity and practical efficiency. We explore a fundamental scenario where buyers' valuations are independent and identically distributed,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-26 José Correa , Vasilis Livanos , Dana Pizarro , Victor Verdugo

We consider statistical estimation of superhedging prices using historical stock returns in a frictionless market with d traded assets. We introduce a plugin estimator based on empirical measures and show it is consistent but lacks suitable…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-08 Jan Obloj , Johannes Wiesel

We introduce a fairly general, recombining trinomial tree model in the natural world. Market-completeness is ensured by considering a market consisting of two risky assets, a riskless asset, and a European option. The two risky assets…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-10 Jagdish Gnawali , W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev

We propose an empirical method to analyze data from first-price procurements where bidders are asymmetric in their risk-aversion (CRRA) coefficients and distributions of private costs. Our Bayesian approach evaluates the likelihood by…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-26 Gaurab Aryal , Hanna Charankevich , Seungwon Jeong , Dong-Hyuk Kim

We study a quadratic hedging problem for a sequence of contingent claims with random weights in discrete time. We obtain the optimal hedging strategy explicitly in a recursive representation, without imposing the non-degeneracy (ND)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-07 Jun Deng , Bin Zou

We study robust notions of good-deal hedging and valuation under combined uncertainty about the drifts and volatilities of asset prices. Good-deal bounds are determined by a subset of risk-neutral pricing measures such that not only…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-11 Dirk Becherer , Klebert Kentia

This paper investigates the benefits of incorporating diversification effects into the pricing process of insurance policies from two different business lines. The paper shows that, for the same risk reduction, insurers pricing policies…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-20 Hamza Hanbali

This paper is devoted to a study of robust fundamental theorems of asset pricing in discrete time and finite horizon settings. Uncertainty is modelled by a (possibly uncountable) family of price processes on the same probability space. Our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-04 Huy N. Chau

Price discrimination for maximizing expected profit is a well-studied concept in economics and there are various methods that achieve the maximum given the user type distribution and the budget constraints. In many applications,…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-03 Ghurumuruhan Ganesan
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