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We are interested in modeling some two-level population dynamics, resulting from the interplay of ecological interactions and phenotypic variation of individuals (or hosts) and the evolution of cells (or parasites) of two types living in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-21 Sylvie Méléard , Sylvie Roelly

We investigate the statistics of the time taken for a system driven by recruitment to reach fixation. Our model describes a series of experiments where a population is confronted with two identical options, resulting in the system fixating…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-26 Tommaso Biancalani , Louise Dyson , Alan J. McKane

We consider a stochastic model describing a constant size $N$ population that may be seen as a directed polymer in random medium with $N$ sites in the transverse direction. The population dynamics is governed by a noisy traveling wave…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Aser Cortines

We analyze a variant of the Noisy $K$-Branching Random Walk, a population model that evolves according to the following procedure. At each time step, each individual produces a large number of offspring that inherit the fitness of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Colin Desmarais , Emmanuel Schertzer , Zsófia Talyigás

We analyse numerically the effects of small population size in the initial transient regime of a simple example population dynamics. These effects play an important role for the numerical determination of large deviation functions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-28 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo , Vivien Lecomte

The outcomes of evolution are determined by which mutations occur and fix. In rapidly adapting microbial populations, this process is particularly hard to predict because lineages with different beneficial mutations often spread…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-17 Evgeni M. Frenkel , Benjamin H. Good , Michael M. Desai

We introduce and study a stochastic model for the dynamics of colonial species, which reproduce through fission or fragmentation. The fission rate depends on the relative sizes of colonies in the population, and the growth rate of colonies…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Sylvain Billiard , Charles Medous , Charline Smadi

We consider a discrete-time model for random interface growth which admits exact formulas and converges to the Polynuclear growth model in a particular limit. The height of the interface is initially flat and the evolution involves the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Will FitzGerald

We consider a model of a population of fixed size $N$ undergoing selection. Each individual acquires beneficial mutations at rate $\mu_N$, and each beneficial mutation increases the individual's fitness by $s_N$. Each individual dies at…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Jason Schweinsberg

Moran Birth-death process is a standard stochastic process that is used to model natural selection in spatially structured populations. A newly occurring mutation that invades a population of residents can either fixate on the whole…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-15 Lenka Kopfová , Josef Tkadlec

We consider a Moran model with two allelic types, mutation and selection. In this work, we study the behaviour of the proportion of fit individuals when the size of the population tends to infinity, without any rescaling of parameters or…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Fernando Cordero

We consider a population evolving under mutation and selection. The genotype of an individual is a word of length $\ell$ over a finite alphabet. Mutations occur during reproduction, independently on each locus; the fitness depends on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Joseba Dalmau

We establish finite-dimensional central limit theorems for local, additive, interaction functions of temporally evolving point processes. The dynamics are those of a spatial Poisson process on the flat torus with points subject to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Efe Onaran , Omer Bobrowski , Robert J. Adler

We consider an asexually reproducing population on a finite type space whose evolution is driven by exponential birth, death and competition rates, as well as the possibility of mutation at a birth event. On the individual-based level this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-10 Anna Kraut , Anton Bovier

To understand the effect of assortative mating on the genetic evolution of a population, we consider a finite population in which each individual has a type, determined by a sequence of n diallelic loci. We assume that the population…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Alison M. Etheridge , Sophie Lemaire

Synergistic and antagonistic interactions in multi-species populations - such as resource sharing and competition - result in remarkably diverse behaviors in populations of interacting cells, such as in soil or human microbiomes, or clonal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-15 MattheW Badali , Anton Zilman

Many populations, e.g. of cells, bacteria, viruses, or replicating DNA molecules, start small, from a few individuals, and grow large into a noticeable fraction of the environmental carrying capacity $K$. Typically, the elements of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 P. Chigansky , P. Jagers , F. C. Klebaner

We consider a stochastic individual-based model for the evolution of a haploid, asexually reproducing population. The space of possible traits is given by the vertices of a (possibly directed) finite graph $G=(V,E)$. The evolution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Loren Coquille , Anna Kraut , Charline Smadi

We demonstrate a vast expansion of the theory of evolutionary stability to finite populations with mutation, connecting the theory of the stationary distribution of the Moran process with the Lyapunov theory of evolutionary stability. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Marc Harper , Dashiell Fryer

Evolutionary game dynamics in finite populations provides a new framework to understand the selection of traits with frequency-dependent fitness. Recently, a simple but fundamental law of evolutionary dynamics, which we call {\sigma} law,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-19 Changbing Tang , Xiang Li , Lang Cao , Jingyuan Zhan
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