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Foundation models (FMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their success has not yet translated to time series forecasting. Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Lars Graf , Thomas Ortner , Stanisław Woźniak , Angeliki Pantazi

The graph Fourier transform (GFT) is a fundamental tool in graph signal processing and has recently been extended to the graph fractional Fourier transform (GFRFT). Existing sampling methods in the GFRFT domain are primarily designed to…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Yu Zhang , Jia-Yin Peng , Bing-Zhao Li

Latent force models (LFM) are principled approaches to incorporating solutions to differential equations within non-parametric inference methods. Unfortunately, the development and application of LFMs can be inhibited by their computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-30 Steven Reece , Stephen Roberts , Siddhartha Ghosh , Alex Rogers , Nicholas Jennings

Online joint estimation of unknown parameters and states in a dynamical system with uncertainty quantification is crucial in many applications. For example, digital twins dynamically update their knowledge of model parameters and states to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Liliang Wang , Alex Gorodetsky

Temporal graph learning is pivotal for deciphering dynamic systems, where the core challenge lies in explicitly modeling the underlying evolving patterns that govern network transformation. However, prevailing methods are predominantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Yijun Ma , Zehong Wang , Weixiang Sun , Yanfang Ye

In this work, we present the novel mathematical framework of latent dynamics models (LDMs) for reduced order modeling of parameterized nonlinear time-dependent PDEs. Our framework casts this latter task as a nonlinear dimensionality…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Nicola Farenga , Stefania Fresca , Simone Brivio , Andrea Manzoni

Large-scale Dynamic Networks (LDNs) are becoming increasingly important in the Internet age, yet the dynamic nature of these networks captures the evolution of the network structure and how edge weights change over time, posing unique…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Qu Wang

Modeling stochastic and irregularly sampled time series is a challenging problem found in a wide range of applications, especially in medicine. Neural stochastic differential equations (Neural SDEs) are an attractive modeling technique for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Xi Zhang , Yuan Pu , Yuki Kawamura , Andrew Loza , Yoshua Bengio , Dennis L. Shung , Alexander Tong

A novel procedure for the online identification of a class of discrete-time switched linear systems, which simultaneously estimates the parameters and switching manifolds of the systems, is proposed in this paper. Firstly, to estimate the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-08 Zengjie Zhang , Yingwei Du , Tong Liu , Fangzhou Liu , Martin Buss

We consider the reduction of parametric families of linear dynamical systems having an affine parameter dependence that differ from one another by a low-rank variation in the state matrix. Usual approaches for parametric model reduction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Christopher Beattie , Serkan Gugercin , Zoran Tomljanovic

Recent developments related to the energy transition pose particular challenges for distribution grids. Hence, precise load forecasts become more and more important for effective grid management. Novel modeling approaches such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Elena Giacomazzi , Felix Haag , Konstantin Hopf

This paper addresses identification of sparse linear and noise-driven continuous-time state-space systems, i.e., the right-hand sides in the dynamical equations depend only on a subset of the states. The key assumption in this study, is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Zuogong Yue , Johan Thunberg , Lennart Ljung , Jorge Goncalves

Detecting and analyzing complex patterns in multivariate time-series data is crucial for decision-making in urban and environmental system operations. However, challenges arise from the high dimensionality, intricate complexity, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Haowen Xu , Ali Boyaci , Jianming Lian , Aaron Wilson

Temporal variations in biological systems and more generally in natural sciences are typically modelled as a set of Ordinary, Partial, or Stochastic Differential or Difference Equations. Algorithms for learning the structure and the…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-23 Yannis Pantazis , Ioannis Tsamardinos

The problem of system identification for the Kalman filter, relying on the expectation-maximization (EM) procedure to learn the underlying parameters of a dynamical system, has largely been studied assuming that observations are sampled at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Peter Halmos , Jonathan Pillow , David A. Knowles

Estimating the parameters of nonlinear block-oriented state-space models from input-output data typically involves solving a highly non-convex optimization problem, which is prone to poor local minima and slow convergence. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Merijn Floren , Jean-Philippe Noël , Jan Swevers

Time-frequency representation (TFR) allowing for mode reconstruction plays a significant role in interpreting and analyzing the nonstationary signal constituted of various modes. However, it is difficult for most previous methods to handle…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-01 Haijian Zhang , Guang Hua

Efficient traffic management is crucial for maintaining urban mobility, especially in densely populated areas where congestion, accidents, and delays can lead to frustrating and expensive commutes. However, existing prediction methods face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Xuhong Wang , Ding Wang , Liang Chen , Yilun Lin

By exploiting a causality property of the nonlinear Fourier transform, a novel decision-feedback detection strategy for nonlinear frequency-division multiplexing (NFDM) systems is introduced. The performance of the proposed strategy is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-30 Stella Civelli , Enrico Forestieri , Marco Secondini

Control design for linear, time-invariant mechanical systems typically requires an accurate low-order approximation in the low frequency range. For example a series expansion of the transfer function around zero consisting of a mass,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-02 Hans Zwart , Daniël W. M. Veldman , Sahar F. Sharifi