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Neural network representations of simple models, such as linear regression, are being studied increasingly to better understand the underlying principles of deep learning algorithms. However, neural representations of distributional…

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

Test-time adaptation (TTA) is an effective approach to mitigate performance degradation of trained models when encountering input distribution shifts at test time. However, existing TTA methods often suffer significant performance drops…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Minguk Jang , Hye Won Chung

Time-series forecasting is a critical challenge in various domains and has witnessed substantial progress in recent years. Many real-life scenarios, such as public health, economics, and social applications, involve feedback loops where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Zhiyuan Zhao , Haoxin Liu , Alexander Rodriguez , B. Aditya Prakash

This paper addresses the problem of multi-step time series forecasting for non-stationary signals that can present sudden changes. Current state-of-the-art deep learning forecasting methods, often trained with variants of the MSE, lack the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-18 Vincent Le Guen , Nicolas Thome

Learning from data streams is an increasingly important topic in data mining, machine learning, and artificial intelligence in general. A major focus in the data stream literature is on designing methods that can deal with concept drift, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-05 Jesse Read

The fast adaptation capability of deep neural networks in non-stationary environments is critical for online time series forecasting. Successful solutions require handling changes to new and recurring patterns. However, training deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Quang Pham , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Steven C. H. Hoi

Transformer-based models, despite their promise for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), suffer from an inherent low-pass filtering effect that limits their effectiveness. This issue arises due to undifferentiated propagation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Jingjing Bai , Yoshinobu Kawahara

The ability to forecast far into the future is highly beneficial to many applications, including but not limited to climatology, energy consumption, and logistics. However, due to noise or measurement error, it is questionable how far into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Fan-Keng Sun , Duane S. Boning

Diffusion probability models have shown significant promise in offline reinforcement learning by directly modeling trajectory sequences. However, existing approaches primarily focus on time-domain features while overlooking frequency-domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Yifu Luo , Yongzhe Chang , Xueqian Wang

In this work we propose a unified Fourier Spectral Transformer network that integrates the strengths of classical spectral methods and attention based neural architectures. By transforming the original PDEs into spectral ordinary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Beibei Li

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Xiangjie Kong , Zhenghao Chen , Weiyao Liu , Kaili Ning , Lechao Zhang , Syauqie Muhammad Marier , Yichen Liu , Yuhao Chen , Feng Xia

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Deep neural networks tend to make overconfident predictions and often require additional detectors for misclassifications, particularly for safety-critical applications. Existing detection methods usually only focus on adversarial attacks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Julia Lust , Alexandru P. Condurache

Deep learning models often struggle under natural distribution shifts, a common challenge in real-world deployments. Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) addresses this by adapting models during inference without labeled source data. We present the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-23 John Turnbull , Shivam Grover , Amin Jalali , Ali Etemad

Forecasting non-stationary time series is a challenging task because their statistical properties often change over time, making it hard for deep models to generalize well. Instance-level normalization techniques can help address shifts in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Junpeng Lin , Tian Lan , Bo Zhang , Ke Lin , Dandan Miao , Huiru He , Jiantao Ye , Chen Zhang , Yan-fu Li

Decision Transformer (DT), a trajectory modelling method, has shown competitive performance compared to traditional offline reinforcement learning (RL) approaches on various classic control tasks. However, it struggles to learn optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Xingshuai Huang , Di Wu , Benoit Boulet

Urban time series data forecasting featuring significant contributions to sustainable development is widely studied as an essential task of the smart city. However, with the dramatic and rapid changes in the world environment, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Zekun Cai , Renhe Jiang , Xinyu Yang , Zhaonan Wang , Diansheng Guo , Hiroki Kobayashi , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Time series forecasting typically needs to address non-stationary data with evolving trend and seasonal patterns. To address the non-stationarity, reversible instance normalization has been recently proposed to alleviate impacts from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Weiwei Ye , Songgaojun Deng , Qiaosha Zou , Ning Gui

Machine learning models are prone to making incorrect predictions on inputs that are far from the training distribution. This hinders their deployment in safety-critical applications such as autonomous vehicles and healthcare. The detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Ramneet Kaur , Kaustubh Sridhar , Sangdon Park , Susmit Jha , Anirban Roy , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee